If the NHL delivered no goodwill to the Hamilton area, how did this 'greatest unserved NHL hockey market in the world' develop? Did Balsillie just snap his fingers one day and it magically appeared?
And I don't care what Zimbalist's resume says. Anyone who came up with "fee should be 11.2 to 12.9 million" ought to be severely embarrassed because those numbers simply haven't the faintest link to credibility or reality.
You keep saying this yet you haven't offered up what the appropriate methodology should be, nor has anyone offered up the contents of the NHL's experts' methodology. You just seem to like their number better. Furthermore, you completely have ignored that the two experts came up with numbers that are almost $100 MM apart! What
methodology delivers that big of a difference?
On the goodwill aspect:
Isn't the value of a franchise in any 'new' location inherently based on the good will built up by a league? We're not selling capital equipment or land here, but a right to own and operate a team as part of that league. Using Raiders as the precedent seems to recognize the current value of each location, and then recognize the difference. Zimbalist clearly is adding on the difference.
You'll find it on the balance sheet of every team in the NHL. Take your pick. If you want to look more specifically to this case, the Leafs and the Sabres balance sheets will do.
A part of where this 'goodwill' discussion is warped is that Rodier's arbitrary definition of goodwill for what suits Balsillie best is being applied by unilaterally Rodier/Balsillie. That is to say that Rodier believes that the only way goodwill is accrued for a territory is by direct expense to a specific area. I think the M&A accountants will have a field day with that definition for a variety of reasons. Two of them would be:
a) because that isn't the only way one would look at what went into developing goodwill for an area. For example, why shouldn't semi-national or broader goodwill efforts over the decades that included the Hamilton area not count?
b) "a)" above isn't the only way goodwill is achieved in the accounting world.
If there's one thing I've learned in this case, it's that just because a sleazy guy like Rodier says something, that most certainly doesn't make it so.
Quantify it then. I think my explanation above captures one way to look at value. What is yours?
I'm not going to waste any more time on Zimbalist. His report is utter garbage nonsense and in previous posts I've covered off why I think that is so. There are definitely some legit facts contained in his report but the mix of how and where he takes those facts to get to the conclusion he does is completely absurd.
Again, you keep saying this without being willing to lay it out on a table, get the competing experts' opinion, and then discuss why one or the other is better. In my opinion, it doesn't seem the methodology is what you're questioning, but the number derived from each.... And again, you ignore the huge difference between the two NHL numbers. How
absurd is it that they can be that far apart?
I didn't say the groups who came up with the $101-195 mil range were bang on either. But I will say this: they're a lot closer to reality than Zimbalist.
Which reality?