1. New England Patriots (9-4)
FPI chances to make playoffs: 98.5%
FPI chances to win division: 66.3%
The Patriots' throwback season continued Monday night with their seventh consecutive victory. The win put them in the driver's seat in the AFC East and gives them by far the best chance to clinch home-field advantage as the AFC's top seed, per FPI. This was a huge leverage game for the Patriots. Had they lost, their FPI chances to win the division would have been just 15.5%, with an 8.5% chance to clinch home-field advantage.
The Patriots now have a Week 14 bye -- the latest in NFL history thanks to the expanded 17-game season -- to rest up for the stretch run.
Next up: at Colts (Week 15)
7. Buffalo Bills (7-5)
FPI chances to make playoffs: 84.4%
FPI chances to win division: 33.7%
The Bills missed a massive opportunity Monday night to put themselves in position to win the AFC East and challenge the for home-field advantage in the playoffs. Ultimately, though, the Patriots looked more comfortable on a classic night in Western New York. Had they managed to pull out a win, they would have had a 62.6% chance to win the division and a 42.3% chance to clinch home-field advantage. Now, they're more likely to be fighting for an AFC wild-card spot, with a tough schedule that includes games against the Buccaneers and at the Patriots.
Next up: at Buccaneers
FPI chances to make playoffs: 98.5%
FPI chances to win division: 66.3%
The Patriots' throwback season continued Monday night with their seventh consecutive victory. The win put them in the driver's seat in the AFC East and gives them by far the best chance to clinch home-field advantage as the AFC's top seed, per FPI. This was a huge leverage game for the Patriots. Had they lost, their FPI chances to win the division would have been just 15.5%, with an 8.5% chance to clinch home-field advantage.
The Patriots now have a Week 14 bye -- the latest in NFL history thanks to the expanded 17-game season -- to rest up for the stretch run.
Next up: at Colts (Week 15)
7. Buffalo Bills (7-5)
FPI chances to make playoffs: 84.4%
FPI chances to win division: 33.7%
The Bills missed a massive opportunity Monday night to put themselves in position to win the AFC East and challenge the for home-field advantage in the playoffs. Ultimately, though, the Patriots looked more comfortable on a classic night in Western New York. Had they managed to pull out a win, they would have had a 62.6% chance to win the division and a 42.3% chance to clinch home-field advantage. Now, they're more likely to be fighting for an AFC wild-card spot, with a tough schedule that includes games against the Buccaneers and at the Patriots.
Next up: at Buccaneers