The Oilers are a good team. They just don't play like one consistently. And it's very easy for opposition to make a game plan vs. Edmonton. Here's what you need to do:
-- heavy-ass forecheck
-- don't take penalties
The Oilers somehow get fooled by this every time---like Charlie Brown trying to kick the football from Lucy---and end up giving pucks away under forecheck and then get running around and take penalties. At the end of most nights, the Oilers are outshot (they haven't outshot a playoff team yet this season) and have had 1 PP to the opposition's 5. Or whatever.
What's very evident to me is that when the Oilers' lines are all skating hard and they apply the heavy-ass forecheck themselves, and when they're aggressive (not sitting back) on the PK, they are a very good team. But for some reason, they only occasionally play this way and they ALWAYS suck in the first 10 minutes of every game.
I was saying this two years ago and I'm saying it again: There is some sort of leadership problem with Edmonton. Of course, I'm speculating, but there's enough evidence now that I'm pretty sure this is a thing. (It's not a coaching problem because three coaches have seen it happen.) They just are not ready to go at puck-drop.
I have to conclude that the core players such as Nurse, Drai, McDavid and Nuge somehow aren't firing up the other guys, or themselves, and aren't ready to go (esp. defensively) at the start of games.
Honestly, if I were Woodcroft now, I think my strategy for the season would be this: First 10 minutes of every game is NO OFFENSE. Like, if you get a breakaway or turn a puck over, sure, go for it. But otherwise, the entire team's purpose for the first 10 minutes of every frickin' game is to NOT GET SCORED ON.
Maybe if they started with this kind of mentality*, they wouldn't be giving up 20 shots every 1st period and be down to start every game.
* If Louie Debrusk says "shooter mentality" one more time, Imma lose my shit