With the loss of Gonchar and Lundin, those are two bodies that need to be replaced either from within or elsewhere. Add in the potential loss of Benoit, and that's three guys who played this year who we don't have the luxury of using if there are injuries etc.
Karlsson-Methot
Cowen-FA/Trade
Phillips-Weircioch
Gryba
If Benoit is back in the fold, I think that eliminates the need for a "top 4" signing, as you can move Weircioch up and slide Gryba in, but I'd still like to see us bring in a depth guy.
I think they start the yr with:
Methot - Karlsson
Cowen - Phillips
Wiercioch - Gryba/Benoit
I think they finish the yr with:
Methot - Karlsson
Cowen - Ceci
Phillips/Wiercioch - Gryba / Benoit as the extra injury replacement.
- I think Phillips splits time on the 3rd pairing between Gryba & Wiercioch depending on who is playing well at the time. Phillips has the experience at playing both the right & left side on defense.
Methot-Karlsson
Cowen-?
Phillips-Wiercioch
Gryba
^^^
This is how I hope to come into the season with. We're not going anywhere with the other mentioned top 4s.
But there were a lot of circumstances that happened last year that, in my opinion, are no guarantees to happen again.Same as last year, while the names may have changed the storyline is the same.
The Sens made the playoffs without Cowen and Karlsson for the most part. Yet losing Gonchar and having Cowen and Karlsson back with the rest of the D that got them to round 2, the team is suddenly going anywhere unless Gonchar is replaced.
I think the Sens making the playoffs so early in the rebuild have lead people to believe this team is one or two players away, realistically its not.
So players like Wiercoich, Gryba, and Boro are going to be given the opportunity to show they are NHL players and until it is proven they aren't, they are going to play.
While adding a player like Blum is conceivable as insurance for the right side of the D, Wiercoich will get every opportunity to be a regular next season, as will Gryba.
Murray is also likely to sign Benoit as insurance.
Ference wouldn't be the worst of additions on a short term deal. He's got experience, he's a leader, and he could be slotted into the top-4 with Cowen.
Methot - Karlsson
Ference - Cowen
Phillips - Wiercioch
Gryba
Perhaps equally importantly - if Wiercioch shows up to camp and outplays Ference, it's not a travesty or an insult to relegate the latter onto the third pairing.
But there were a lot of circumstances that happened last year that, in my opinion, are no guarantees to happen again.
I think the team can make the playoffs with that group of 6, but I certainly don't think it can do any damage in the playoffs.
All I'm saying is that with the current crop of defenders, we aren't going anywhere.Can't disagree, but there is a long list of things that could happen that would leave this team near the bottom of the standings.
The what if list :
Spezza's back issues render him ineffective
Karlsson's ankle does return to 100%, losing his speed and quickness
Michalek's knee doesn't hold up
Anderson has an off year
Phillips finally declines
Alfie performance is final caught by Father Time
etc
etc
etc
GMs can't plan that way, otherwise Murray would have to replace most of his top six forwards and 1/2 his D.
Melnyk and Murray committed to the rebuild and at that time felt the team would be a playoff contender in 2-3 years, NOT a Cup contender.
So the team is ahead of schedule, it doesn't mean the Sens should now abandon the plan that got them here, if anything it reinforces the plan should be adhered to.
Therefore players like Ference shouldn't be considered until trade deadline day, until then continue the youth movement and live with its ups and downs.
PS None of the above precludes adding a young proven top six forward or top 4 D, though it is highly unlikely Murray has the assets to acquire both.
All I'm saying is that with the current crop of defenders, we aren't going anywhere.
With a solid 2nd pairing RD, we can go somewhere.
People can go along with this we're not a cup contender stuff all they want, but if the pros of each of the last two years join forces then we'd be pretty damn close.
They need a veteran minute eater for two more years until we see if Wiercioch, Cowen, Gryba or Ceci are legit top 4 guys at this point none of them have proven it.
I think they should go after Boyle.
If I wanted to discuss the team's needs up front, I'd do so in a different thread.I don't understand the preoccupation with the defense corps, the belief that a top-4 d-man will make us contender and the implications that somehow our forwards aren't even less proven or more likely to hold us back than the defense corps.
Karlsson (27:09) and Methot (22:13) are proven top-4 d-men. Do I need to prove this? That's 50% of our top-4.
Chris Phillips (21:02) has been a top-4 d-man for over a decade, but that's not enough for the crowd who think he's finished. The coach of the year just played him as the #3 on a team that made the playoffs. He is still capable of being a top-4 d-men, even though he'll likely have his minutes cut back to the 19 he played the year before.
Cowen (20:17) missed most of the season, but was used heavily as a 5th d-man in his rookie year. He should be expected to take the step forward next season into the top-4.
Gryba (20:16) just played most of the season as the #4 on a playoff team in his rookie year.
Bryan Murray, the guy who did nothing to add another d-man when Karlsson & Cowen were "injured for the rest of the season" during Gryba and Wiercioch's rookie seasons... probably sees this as five top-4 d-men.
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Meanwhile, in the rosy world up front:
Spezza 92
Michalek 66
Greening 37
C. Neil 33
4 ****ing forwards out of 13 signed and RFA forwards have ever had a 30+ point season in their lives.
Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Neil, Smith, Condra, Zibanejad, Silfverberg, Conacher, Turris, O'Brien, Pageau, Kassian
Why can't Phillips, Cowen and Gryba compete for two spots in the top-4?
... Oh, because they're not "proven".
What the **** have these players proven that those d-men haven't?
Greening, Neil, Smith, Condra, Zibanejad, Silfverberg, Conacher, Turris, O'Brien, Pageau, Kassian
Let us be clear; the goal is to make a strong push for the cup next year.