I really have no idea what Pauls party is gonna ask for. Gonna be interesting. Anything under 3 and I would go long term
If I'm Ottawa, I sign him for 2.5 mil for 3-4 years, and then offload him when he hits 30 and is about to a) make more money, and b) functionally decline.
Realistically, he's gonna ask for 1-3 years, never more. Connor Brown is the perfect example of a contract progression. Signed 3 years at 2.1 mil at 23 years old, then 3 years at 3.5 mil at 26, and is going to be getting a significant pay bump at 29 years old in his "prime" thanks both his development hitting a new level but also to a breaking out team. Brown is going to get 4.5+ mil for 5 years from someone, book it.
If I'm Paul, I sign a 2 mil x 2 years contract, and hit my prime with the young developing corp that's gonna maximize my point production and get me that 4+ million contract by carrying my points to the 35+ mark.
As a fan, I'm happy with either scenario, but I see the team rolling more in 3-4 years for the Cup, so would prefer him on the cheap for 4 years and lose his cap hit when those ELCs are up for renegotiation.