NHL 2018/19 Team Rankings

I would like to share with you team rankings based on the ELO rating system. This is purely mathematical based on wins and losses. Each team has...
By willmma · Oct 9, 2018 · Updated Nov 12, 2018
Rating:
5/5,
  1. TaLoN

    TaLoN All Hail the FBJ!

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    It's not just who you beat, but when you beat them. Beating Nashville now is tougher than a couple weeks ago.
     
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  2. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Lol the Sens are red at 22.
    Yeah, they need to tank and rebuild.
     
  3. Tavares the Noble

    Tavares the Noble I was in the pool!!

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    I think they are worse then 22nd in the league...
     
  4. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    I didn't notice that when I posted the numbers. Good catch
     
  5. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Agreed
     
  6. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 06 2018 are

    Latest changes
    [2018-11-05, Philadelphia Flyers (5): 2428 -> 2504, Arizona Coyotes (2): 2626 -> 2550]
    [2018-11-05, Dallas Stars (1): 2571 -> 2542, Boston Bruins (2): 2541 -> 2570, OTSO]
    [2018-11-05, Montreal Canadiens (4): 2523 -> 2563, New York Islanders (3): 2632 -> 2592, OTSO]
    [2018-11-05, New Jersey Devils (5): 2415 -> 2475, Pittsburgh Penguins (1): 2489 -> 2429]
    [2018-11-05, Edmonton Oilers (2): 2626 -> 2551, Washington Capitals (4): 2432 -> 2507]
     
  7. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 07 2018

    Latest changes
    [2018-11-06, Dallas Stars (1): 2542 -> 2471, Columbus Blue Jackets (4): 2388 -> 2459]
    [2018-11-06, Vancouver Canucks (2): 2567 -> 2528, Detroit Red Wings (3): 2465 -> 2504, OTSO]
    [2018-11-06, Anaheim Ducks (1): 2344 -> 2300, Los Angeles Kings (4): 2383 -> 2427]
    [2018-11-06, Montreal Canadiens (3): 2563 -> 2498, New York Rangers (5): 2455 -> 2520]
    [2018-11-06, New Jersey Devils (3): 2475 -> 2419, Ottawa Senators (7): 2434 -> 2490]
    [2018-11-06, Minnesota Wild (3): 2655 -> 2581, San Jose Sharks (4): 2475 -> 2549]
    [2018-11-06, Carolina Hurricanes (1): 2379 -> 2344, St. Louis Blues (4): 2488 -> 2523]
    [2018-11-06, Edmonton Oilers (2): 2551 -> 2514, Tampa Bay Lightning (5): 2646 -> 2683]
    [2018-11-06, Vegas Golden Knights (1): 2473 -> 2434, Toronto Maple Leafs (3): 2553 -> 2592]
     
  8. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 08 2018

    Latest changes
    [2018-11-07, Calgary Flames (2): 2630 -> 2543, Anaheim Ducks (3): 2300 -> 2387]
    [2018-11-07, Nashville Predators (4): 2719 -> 2741, Colorado Avalanche (1): 2497 -> 2475]
    [2018-11-07, Pittsburgh Penguins (1): 2429 -> 2390, Washington Capitals (2): 2507 -> 2546]
     
  9. dcv2002

    dcv2002 Registered User

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    Power house matchup tonight. #2 Tampa Bay Lightning vs #3 New York Islanders.... :laugh::help::popcorn:
     
  10. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    NYI lost 3 of their first 5. But after that they accumulated a 6-1-2 record which is pretty impressive. They have slowly climbed up the rankings to where they are now. While TBL has the advantage if I was TBL I wouldn't sleep on the Islanders.
     
  11. dcv2002

    dcv2002 Registered User

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    I'm an Islander fan. Just odd to see. Especially after this offseason. Every game I expect them to fall off the (PDO) cliff.
     
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  12. Post Karl Malone

    Post Karl Malone Gonna cost Sergachev or Point

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    I'm big on waiting until there's a bigger sample size, but it is pretty cool seeing teams like MTL, VAN and NYI up there.
     
  13. triggrman

    triggrman Registered User

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    Trotz has never had a terrible team, even when Scott Walker was the best player on the team we still had respectable results. It's a blessing, and a curse....
     
  14. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 09 2018

    latest changes
    [2018-11-08, Vancouver Canucks (8): 2528 -> 2584, Boston Bruins (5): 2570 -> 2514]
    [2018-11-08, Carolina Hurricanes (4): 2344 -> 2398, Chicago Blackhawks (3): 2369 -> 2315]
    [2018-11-08, San Jose Sharks (3): 2549 -> 2488, Dallas Stars (4): 2471 -> 2532]
    [2018-11-08, Edmonton Oilers (1): 2514 -> 2447, Florida Panthers (4): 2390 -> 2457]
    [2018-11-08, Minnesota Wild (3): 2581 -> 2610, Los Angeles Kings (1): 2427 -> 2398]
    [2018-11-08, Buffalo Sabres (6): 2439 -> 2472, Montreal Canadiens (5): 2498 -> 2465, OTSO]
    [2018-11-08, Vegas Golden Knights (5): 2434 -> 2492, Ottawa Senators (3): 2490 -> 2432]
    [2018-11-08, Arizona Coyotes (4): 2550 -> 2518, Philadelphia Flyers (5): 2504 -> 2536, OTSO]
    [2018-11-08, New York Islanders (2): 2592 -> 2555, Tampa Bay Lightning (4): 2683 -> 2720]
     
  15. dcv2002

    dcv2002 Registered User

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    Uff. Less than two minutes :( Actually outshot TBL 37-27. (we normally have gotten destroyed by TBL so I'll take it ass a positive).
     
  16. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 10 2018

    Latest changes
    [2018-11-09, Minnesota Wild (5): 2610 -> 2632, Anaheim Ducks (1): 2387 -> 2365]
    [2018-11-09, New York Rangers (2): 2520 -> 2493, Detroit Red Wings (3): 2504 -> 2531, OTSO]
    [2018-11-09, San Jose Sharks (0): 2488 -> 2443, St. Louis Blues (4): 2523 -> 2568]
    [2018-11-09, New Jersey Devils (1): 2419 -> 2392, Toronto Maple Leafs (6): 2592 -> 2619]
    [2018-11-09, Colorado Avalanche (2): 2475 -> 2424, Winnipeg Jets (5): 2468 -> 2519]
    [2018-11-09, Columbus Blue Jackets (2): 2459 -> 2521, Washington Capitals (1): 2546 -> 2484]
     
  17. Snakepit

    Snakepit Registered User

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    Been interesting to follow, that is for this
     
  18. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 11 2018

    Lates changes
    [2018-11-10, Toronto Maple Leafs (1): 2619 -> 2554, Boston Bruins (5): 2514 -> 2579]
    [2018-11-10, Vancouver Canucks (3): 2584 -> 2543, Buffalo Sabres (4): 2472 -> 2513, OTSO]
    [2018-11-10, Detroit Red Wings (4): 2531 -> 2538, Carolina Hurricanes (3): 2398 -> 2391, OTSO]
    [2018-11-10, New York Rangers (5): 2493 -> 2522, Columbus Blue Jackets (4): 2521 -> 2492, OTSO]
    [2018-11-10, Nashville Predators (5): 2741 -> 2739, Dallas Stars (4): 2532 -> 2534, OTSO]
    [2018-11-10, New York Islanders (2): 2555 -> 2491, Florida Panthers (4): 2457 -> 2521]
    [2018-11-10, Calgary Flames (1): 2543 -> 2573, Los Angeles Kings (0): 2398 -> 2368]
    [2018-11-10, Vegas Golden Knights (4): 2492 -> 2438, Montreal Canadiens (5): 2465 -> 2519]
    [2018-11-10, Chicago Blackhawks (0): 2315 -> 2293, Philadelphia Flyers (4): 2536 -> 2558]
    [2018-11-10, Arizona Coyotes (0): 2518 -> 2450, Pittsburgh Penguins (4): 2390 -> 2458]
    [2018-11-10, Ottawa Senators (6): 2432 -> 2516, Tampa Bay Lightning (4): 2720 -> 2636]
     
  19. triggrman

    triggrman Registered User

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    So Preds win in OT on the road but lose 2 points?
     
  20. devbouz12

    devbouz12 Eugene's dad

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    You get points by beating higher-rated teams if I understand correctly. You guys are at the top so I'm not sure how you collect points lol
     
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  21. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Yeah, sucks being so good. Reminds me of a friend of mine in university was an A+ student. She was pretty upset when her over GPA went down after she got an A on a course.

    Elo calculates an expected result based on the difference of team scores. More like a probability to win. In this case the that was around 77%. An OT win is scored as 75. So they didn't meet expectations, they missed by 2 points. And lost 2 points.

    Had they won in regulation they would have got 100, beat expectations by and earned 23 points.

    And if they lost in OT they would lose 52 points. And would have lost 77 points for regulation loss.
     
  22. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 12 2018

    Latest changes
    [2018-11-11, Vegas Golden Knights (1): 2438 -> 2407, Boston Bruins (4): 2579 -> 2610]
    [2018-11-11, Colorado Avalanche (4): 2424 -> 2477, Edmonton Oilers (1): 2447 -> 2394]
    [2018-11-11, Ottawa Senators (1): 2516 -> 2467, Florida Panthers (5): 2521 -> 2570]
    [2018-11-11, Calgary Flames (1): 2573 -> 2505, San Jose Sharks (3): 2443 -> 2511]
    [2018-11-11, Minnesota Wild (3): 2632 -> 2673, St. Louis Blues (2): 2568 -> 2527]
    [2018-11-11, New Jersey Devils (2): 2392 -> 2360, Winnipeg Jets (5): 2519 -> 2551]
    [2018-11-11, Arizona Coyotes (4): 2450 -> 2505, Washington Capitals (1): 2484 -> 2429]
     
  23. willmma

    willmma Registered User

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    Updated rankings for Nov 13 2018.

    Latest changes:
    [2018-11-12, Nashville Predators (1): 2739 -> 2674, Anaheim Ducks (2): 2365 -> 2430, OTSO]
    [2018-11-12, Chicago Blackhawks (2): 2293 -> 2282, Carolina Hurricanes (3): 2391 -> 2402, OTSO]
    [2018-11-12, Columbus Blue Jackets (2): 2492 -> 2548, Dallas Stars (1): 2534 -> 2478]
    [2018-11-12, Vancouver Canucks (1): 2543 -> 2490, New York Rangers (2): 2522 -> 2575]
     
  24. MNNumbers

    MNNumbers Registered User

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    And, Elo doesn't know anything about home ice, although there are ways to make the expected points from each game consider that. But the OP here had chosen not to do that.
     
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  25. klabob

    klabob Registered User

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    3rd to last in point in the league but 6th in ELO, nice.
     
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