My unscientific way to predict the regular season

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Very basic, just plugged in a rating out of 10 for each team's O, D and G and totalled it up to see what it comes out as playoff contenders.

Lines taken from here: http://www.chirphockey.com/nhl-line-combinations/

Got to say, the result is quite realistic IMO even if I don't particularly like it as a Buffalo fan.

Of course it is easy to argue that goaltending doesn't have the same value as D and especially F but whatevs

Click to read more...

 

[Wayne Primeau]

Toronto, Chicago, and Calgary out? The Kings, Jets, and Panthers in? Yikes.

Florida isn't going anywhere, after losing Marchessault, Smith, Jagr, Jokinen, and Vanek. I'm still not completely sold on the Jets' goaltending, they have an awful coach, and I think Scheifele and Wheeler have had their career seasons and could regress (although I still quite like that team's future). And the Kings can't score and haven't really addressed that issue outside of Mike Cammalleri.

 

[djdub]

Still trying to figure out what these colors mean...

 

[johna2626]

Very basic, just plugged in a rating out of 10 for each team's O, D and G and totalled it up to see what it comes out as playoff contenders.

Lines taken from here: http://www.chirphockey.com/nhl-line-combinations/

Got to say, the result is quite realistic IMO even if I don't particularly like it as a Buffalo fan.

Of course it is easy to argue that goaltending doesn't have the same value as D and especially F but whatevs

Can't see how Ottawa gets a 7 on defense, but Edmonton only has a 5. Edmonton doesn't has a star like Karlsson, but Klefbom-Larsson is a legit top pairing and are 3 pairs deep.

Also, Dubnyk gets a 7, while Schneider gets a 9? Can't see why that is after last season

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Toronto, Chicago, and Calgary out? The Kings, Jets, and Panthers in? Yikes.

Florida isn't going anywhere, after losing Marchessault, Smith, Jagr, Jokinen, and Vanek. I'm still not completely sold on the Jets' goaltending, they have an awful coach, and I think Scheifele and Wheeler have had their career seasons and could regress (although I still quite like that team's future). And the Kings can't score and haven't really addressed that issue outside of Mike Cammalleri.

Bolded's where the too much effect from G starts influencing things unfortunately.

I would not be shocked if any of the above you listed happen but can also easily see Toronto, Calgary making it and Kings and Panthers missing out. I think there's a good chance Chicago miss out and Jets to make it looking at purely roster constructions. Of course this also doesn't take into account fans, system, coaching, team atmosphere, schedule and so on. There's a lot of factors that come into play in the end.

*and injuries... ask Stamkos and Tampa about that one..

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Can't see how Ottawa gets a 7 on defense, but Edmonton only has a 5. Edmonton doesn't has a star like Karlsson, but Klefbom-Larsson is a legit top pairing and are 3 pairs deep.

Also, Dubnyk gets a 7, while Schneider gets a 9? Can't see why that is after last season

I would have put 8 or 9 for Minny if they didn't have Svedberg as a backup according to the line combo site I was using. Not that Kinkaid is amazing but whatever. Not saying this is like 100% accurate. On the D, Karlsson makes a difference. I know it's just 1 player but it makes a difference when he has a relatively acceptable surrounding cast.

 

[FDBluth]

You're right, this is unscientific.

 

[TheGoldenJet]

This is...elementary, my dear Watson.

But I did find it fun/interesting. Who knows, maybe it shakes out like this in 9 months, we'll see.

 

[3074326]

Toronto, Chicago, and Calgary out? The Kings, Jets, and Panthers in? Yikes.

Florida isn't going anywhere, after losing Marchessault, Smith, Jagr, Jokinen, and Vanek. I'm still not completely sold on the Jets' goaltending, they have an awful coach, and I think Scheifele and Wheeler have had their career seasons and could regress (although I still quite like that team's future). And the Kings can't score and haven't really addressed that issue outside of Mike Cammalleri.

Columbus went from nearly dead last to 4th. This method is probably as accurate as any. Most of the methods suck.

I'm not saying it's valid, but it's as valid as anything else because nothing works.

 

[member 157595]

I choose the Cup winner by putting cat treats on printed copies of the team logos and seeing which one the cat chooses first.

I should note that the cat recently chose the Avalanche so I believe my method is flawed.

 

[ManofSteel55]

Must be summer...

 

[Zegs2sendhelp]

Why did the leafs goaltending get a 4?

Andersen is a pretty capable goalie... id imagine their goalie rating should be at least up to 8 unless backup goalies are included in which case I guess a 7 would be acceptable.

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Must be summer...

It is very sunny outside.

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Why did the leafs goaltending get a 4?

Andersen is a pretty capable goalie... id imagine their goalie rating should be at least up to 8 unless backup goalies are included in which case I guess a 7 would be acceptable.

Backup included but obviously starter has bigger weight. Dont think Andersen is anything more than average NHL starter (a 5...) with downgrade to 4 due to backup.

 

[Nithoniniel]

A subjective measure gets subjective results. Most notable thing would be Nashville getting an 8 in goaltending. Rinne hasn't had a good season in what, 5 years?

 

[Aceboogie]

For the Oilers this is pretty terrible- although you do get to a similar spot in the end

Forwards arent a 9- maybe a 7 at best. Defense is a 7 as id rank the D as being as impactful as the forwards (Klefbom/larsson just a criminally underrated top pairing), and Talbot is a 8 at min. So id say 22, but not far off from the 20 in the end

 

[Aceboogie]

A subjective measure gets subjective results. Most notable thing would be Nashville getting an 8 in goaltending. Rinne hasn't had a good season in what, 5 years?

List seems entirely stereotypical from last 5/6 years. Agree that Rinne is not good whatsoever but still living off past hype

 

[trentmccleary]

Teams NHL ranks aren't usually too far off of the average of their GF & GA ranks. So a team that has an average of 15th (20th in GF, 10th in GA), will usually finish near 15th in the overall standings.

If you try to guess those GF and GA ranks, you might come closer to the actual standings.

 

[nmbr_24]

Your rankings is based on what? Your opinion? I can't figure it out.

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Jeez..Nashville have quite a decent backup in Saros. And Pekka looked good last season...maybe 7 overall but whatever. They will make the playoffs regardless of goaltending. Think I went for 6 on Edmonton due to backup.

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Your rankings is based on what? Your opinion? I can't figure it out.

God spoke them to me. What do you think?

 

[ACC1224]

Pretty poor rankings. Throwing darts may have returned more realistic results if you're looking for an "unscientific" method.

 

[Rasmus CacOlainen]

Pretty poor rankings. Throwing darts may have returned more realistic results if you're looking for an "unscientific" method.

Cause Leafs don't make it? The west came out quite realistic I think in terms of overall qualification and wild cards. Maybe one of Calgary/Chicago makes it instead of LA/Minny for example but that's about it. The east is crapshoot any method you use so yeah, maybe next time I try darts for the east. Maybe that puts Toronto in the playoffs and all of a sudden this is the most valid method known to man.

 

[Knave]

I have Ottawa at 10/10/10 so we're definitely winning it all.

 

[EpicDing]

A chart with colors where we aren't told what the colors mean is utterly useless.