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Pre-Game Talk: Maple Leafs @ Predators - February 3rd on TSN4 - Rinne is injured, so we'll win

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Erndog

Erndog

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Jul 17, 2007
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I would wager good cashola on the Leafs tonight.

In fact, I think I will.
 

Shwaguy*

Guest
Well I wouldn't mind another L here for the Tank as we're getting VERY close to top 5 pick.


I wouldn't mind seeing a couple games at least where Mo absolutely puts the team on his back and carries us to a win


with the way he's playing I could see it happening tonight.
 

indigobuffalo

Portage and Main
Feb 10, 2011
6,790
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SticksandStonez said:
Ya know, I bet someone could make a fortune just betting against the Leafs for the duration of the season.
Click to expand...

Unfortunately the odds makers know the Leafs suck too, so teams usually get pretty low return.

For example, TheScore.com posts a scoreline for each game in the game info page.

The Predators are -223 favourites to win tonight. That means the odds makers are giving the Predators a 69% chance to win tonight. That's actually pretty heavy odds.

Basically, what -223 means is that if you want to make $100.00 you'd have to bet $223.00 on the Predators to win. i.e. bet=$223, payout if NSH wins =$323

So I suppose if you had something like $100,000.00 burning a hole in your pocket, you could head down to the local sportbook (check your casino) and, assuming the Preds win, walk out with your $100,000.00 plus the nice $44,843.05 you make as profit.

Granted, that's a decently healthy amount of money, but that's also a lot of money to risk for what is only a 69% chance of realizing on your investment.

For comparative purposes, the Habs are -372 favourites to beat the Sabres. If you bet $100,000.00 on that game and the Habs won, you'd only leave with $26,881.72. Although again, the chance of you walking home with that profit is better at 78.8%. So for an increase in likelihood to realize (by 9.8%) you give up $17,961.33 in potential earnings.

For what it's worth, while it pains me to say this, the chances of the Leafs winning tonight is probably much, much worse than 31%, so the better value bet is probably on the Predators winning, compared to the Habs. Not because the Preds are more likely to win than the Habs, but the value you get would be better.
 
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paulhiggins

paulhiggins

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Feb 4, 2006
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Why would any team in their right mind not choose to rest their #1 goalie when playing us? (Unless they think that by being in net, he will get a rest against us).
 
Jerkini

Jerkini

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May 31, 2003
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noway said:
Why would any team in their right mind not choose to rest their #1 goalie when playing us? (Unless they think that by being in net, he will get a rest against us).
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They want to increase their goalie's chances of winning the Vezina? :laugh:
 
WilliamNylander

WilliamNylander

Papi's home
Jul 26, 2012
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Looks like Rielly on the top PP tonight

Might as well give him 25+ minutes a night from here on out, play him top PP, 2nd unit PK, etc.
 

Raym11

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Oct 6, 2009
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we cant afford to win these games vs the top teams, hoping we get smashed.


Nashville has an amazing team this year so it should be expected
 
wadesworld

wadesworld

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Jan 24, 2011
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Nashville, TN
Does not look like Rinne will go tonight. You guys get Hutton. Could be the good Hutton, or could be the bad Hutton. We'll see.

Here's to an injury-free game.
 

mikebel111*

Guest
WilliamNylander said:
Looks like Rielly on the top PP tonight

Might as well give him 25+ minutes a night from here on out, play him top PP, 2nd unit PK, etc.
Click to expand...

If they dont have Kadri on top PP unit today, than the coaching staff are a bunch of clowns
What will it take to realize Bozak does nothing on PP.
Rielly and Kadri have nice chemistry with each other so it only makes sense to seperate them:facepalm:
 
WilliamNylander

WilliamNylander

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Jul 26, 2012
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mikebel111 said:
If they dont have Kadri on top PP unit today, than the coaching staff are a bunch of clowns
What will it take to realize Bozak does nothing on PP.
Rielly and Kadri have nice chemistry with each other so it only makes sense to seperate them:facepalm:
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Bozak has 3 power play points in his last 28 games. Just terrible - only way i can fathom him getting top 6 ice time right now is because they're trying to raise his trade value.
 
hoglund

hoglund

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Dec 8, 2013
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It wouldn't surprise me that the Leafs win tonight. They seem to play well vs the good teams and they ARE due for a win. The last few losses, the Leafs have been the better team (out shooting and puck possession) especially the NJ game, tonight they'll be out shot and out played, but win.
 
ThatQuietGuy93

ThatQuietGuy93

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Apr 23, 2013
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hoglund said:
It wouldn't surprise me that the Leafs win tonight. They seem to play well vs the good teams and they ARE due for a win. The last few losses, the Leafs have been the better team (out shooting and puck possession) especially the NJ game, tonight they'll be out shot and out played, but win.
Click to expand...

I'm not so sure about that.
 
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