Mckenna isn't draft eligible until 2026.
Maybe we'll think about plotting our course that way for 2025-26 if 2024-25 is especially hopeless. I'm probably not going to be a big fan of the idea.
Kraken 2024 draft
- Thread starter majormajor
- Start date
Mckenna isn't draft eligible until 2026.
Maybe we'll think about plotting our course that way for 2025-26 if 2024-25 is especially hopeless. I'm probably not going to be a big fan of the idea.
In case anyone else is interested in gaming out who will be available to us at #8-#10, this is a chart from @coooldude showing the distribution of votes in Mckenzie's poll. He said the 6-10 votes involved some guesswork based on Bob's writeup.
24 hours to the lottery.
24 hours to the lottery.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
I hope we have better luck at the lottery today than what I did in multiple runs of the tankathon draft sim today. I did probably 40ish rolls and I think majority of them had us dropping, then staying at 8 and I think 4 or 5 where we actually jumped up.
RainyCityHockey
Registered User
Well, our odds are.
1st pick --> 6.0 %
2nd pick --> 6.2 %
3rd pick --> 0.2 %
8th pick --> 54.4 %
9th pick --> 30.0 %
10th pick --> 3.2 %
That's a 1/3 chance we end up at #9.
I personally, as always, am just hoping we don't move down more than one spot.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
Yeah. I mean it is what it is. Would rather stay at 8, though genuinely this is one draft where I am not certain even if dropping down to 10 does that much damage.
RainyCityHockey
Registered User
Staying at 8, compared to dropping to 10, just means more options to choose from but doesn't guarantee a better player.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
Oh I understand. And I am just an internet scout. Not even a great one at that. But what I am saying is that with the way rankings are all over the place, there is a good chance that someone who we rank higher than 10 still drops to 10.
RainyCityHockey
Registered User
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
How bizzare no movement in the lottery.
RainyCityHockey
Registered User
The Marquis
Moderator
What in the actual f*** does this even mean? Yes, I’m VERY drunk and in Vegas but I feel like that doesn’t matter for this. What the f***.
Also, 8th is great and let’s hope the Kraken never pick before 16th again.
sharks won the first draw for 1OA, then as they were drawing for 2OA they had to redraw it twice cause the sharks won the 2nd draw and the 3rd draw forcing a double redraw. So after 2 redraws for the 2nd overall pick, chicago came up and won 2nd overall.
A redraw hasn't ever happen before in the history of the lottery when it involved drawing for 2 picks or previous rules when they drew for 3 picks. Its just as bizzare as there being no movement in the lottery which only has happened 1 other time that i can recall.
I did a little thought experiment. I eliminated the seven players that I most wanted the Kraken to take in this year's entry draft. I was curious to see what choices we would be left with after eliminating my faves. Those choices ended up being:
Parekh
Iginla
Catton
Dickinson
Brandsegg-Nygard
Yaremchuk
Eiserman
I think we are in real good shape drafting at #8.
Parekh
Iginla
Catton
Dickinson
Brandsegg-Nygard
Yaremchuk
Eiserman
I think we are in real good shape drafting at #8.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
Pretty coincidental. I was doing something similar. I ranked my top-7 prospects and was looking to see what are the leftovers ..
TOP 7
------
- Celebrini
- Demidov
- Buium
- Lindstrom
- Levshunov
- Catton
- Iginla
LEFTOVERS
-------------
- Dickinson
- Silayev
- Parekh
- Yakemchuk
- Helenius
- NBN
- Sennecke (Kid has steadily made a case to go top-10 recently)
- Eiserman
The thing is that you can make a case for most of the "leftovers" going in the top-10 or even at 8. We could potential grab Silayev/Dickinson/Parekh at 8 and say that he was our top-5 and nobody would be surprised.
San Jose may be the big winner, but what an enviable position the Blackhawks are in. Want a probable #1 D to complement Bedard?; a big, highly skilled #2 centre?; an ideal forward to play along side your franchise player? Any one of them can be yours.
Have a hunch Silayev will go top 5 and Eiserman top 10.
Have a hunch we end up with Dickinson. He will probably be the least risky pick when we choose, and he will likely be able to step in fairly quickly, if not immediately. Can't blame Francis too much as Dickinson is a solid choice, especially for a GM who needs to improve his team fast and whose job is almost certainly on the line if he fails to do so.
Have a hunch Silayev will go top 5 and Eiserman top 10.
Have a hunch we end up with Dickinson. He will probably be the least risky pick when we choose, and he will likely be able to step in fairly quickly, if not immediately. Can't blame Francis too much as Dickinson is a solid choice, especially for a GM who needs to improve his team fast and whose job is almost certainly on the line if he fails to do so.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
If I were to guess the 3 most likely players we would be interested in AND are available at 8:
- Dickinson
- Helenius
- NBN
And I have no issue with either but I would rather have someone like Catton, Senneke, Parekh, etc. Someone with the upside to be a game changing player for us down the road.
Totally agree. I'm even warming to Eiserman. I'd put him and Yakemchuk on that list.
Fistfullofbeer
Moderator
I have liked Yakemchuk for a while and have no issues with him. Not quite sold on Eiserman yet.
RainyCityHockey
Registered User
Yeah, I'd rather go for someone with a high ceiling even if it's more risky.
Though; I doubt Francis would do that.
Anyways, maybe we don't even draft at #8 and use the pick to trade for a guy like Marner.
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