Nah it is based on actually watching Kessel play hockey. Stange eh? I admit the team is not good defensively, but that is due in large part to Kessel and JVR, two of the players who play top minutes for us and are bad without the puck.
Explain to me what Kessel does good? He is strong on the PP where he is given time and space to make a play, which he normally is pretty good at. He can use his vision and passing abilities to open up lanes for his teammates, or he can use his quick release to beat the goalie or generate a rebound.
In 5 on 5 play, the majority of the play, Kessel is very ineffective. He is weak in his own zone without the puck, but is also weak in the offensive and neurtal zone as well when he doesn't have the puck. Everyone wants a puck possession team, but you can't play a cycle game along the boards with Kessel on your line, because he simply won't play hard along the wall and try and win puck battles, or fight through contact.
He relies on blowing the offensive zone early to gain a step or two on the defender so he is able to get behind them and use his quick release to beat the goalie. He does have good vision and can find teammates with quick passes in the neutral zone, but then he rarely follows the play up. He also turns the puck over quite a bit when trying to break out of his zone, on the times he actually doesn't fly the zone early.
I used to be a big Kessel fan and appreciated his play, but now it is just tiresome watching him play. He hasn't changed his game up one bit since he's been in Toronto, he doesn't drive the net or even hang around by the net, unless it's on the PP. Also, he doesn't seem like a very bright guy, although many will disagree. For a player like him, who apparently despises the media and knows how brutal they can be, why on gods earth would he openly admit that he skated MAYBE 10 times all summer? Especially when the biggest criticism of him is that he doesn't show a consistent work ethic and doesn't seem to care. Just because he says he cares and loves to win, how about he shows it once in a while. Scoring the 5th goal in a 6-2 win and then go silent for games on end does not equate to really trying or caring. I'm sure Phil loves to play hockey in Toronto as he knows if they ever do get successful, he will be a god here, but he doesn't seem to actually want to put the work in to achieve said success.
So no, my "beliefs" on Kessel are not just based on being negative, but on reality. If you can't see this with Kessel, hockey is not your sport. You may like watching hockey and love the Leafs, but that doesn't mean you actually understand and know what you're watching.