The way I see it, Toews has a chance to go #1, but it's a slim one. I think he'll be a very good pro, and could very well be a much better NHLer than Kessel. Toews has to severely outperform Kessel to get the nod for first forward draft pick, but I think Johnson will most likely overtake Kessel.
Kessel is not the player most think he is, if he were playing in the CHL, he would not be leading any league in scoring. Toews has a different game. I happen to like his game a lt, even enough to say I personally would take hm at #2. However, I think Toews draft position is going to be determined by 2 people. Kessel and Johnson, depending on their performance.
And just for the record, the WJCs were not a fluke. The US team was beaten sorely, more than once, and Canada dominated.
Canada >>>>>Russia>>>>>USA>>>>>Finland