Is the Jets Development side broken?

heretik27

Registered User
Apr 18, 2013
8,974
6,306
Winnipeg
Well if your gifting jobs to prospects then I think there are issues.

I think Petan needs to go to the AHL when Raffl is good and healthy. Let him play top minutes there and develop as opposed to spending the majority of games watching the hockey from the bench. He's talented, but the coaches aren't going to give him top 6 minutes or even a 3rd line role this season. Ehlers didn't really have anything left to prove in the Q, and Copp has been alright in the 4th line Center role. I'm more worried about the fact that our AHL team is awful and the only prospects there that look capable of stepping into the NHL if called up are the goalies. At least it looks like Connor/Roslovic are doing well with their respective teams.
 

WaveRaven

Registered User
Apr 30, 2011
2,735
2,245
MB
I think Petan needs to go to the AHL when Raffl is good and healthy. Let him play top minutes there and develop as opposed to spending the majority of games watching the hockey from the bench. He's talented, but the coaches aren't going to give him top 6 minutes or even a 3rd line role this season. Ehlers didn't really have anything left to prove in the Q, and Copp has been alright in the 4th line Center role. I'm more worried about the fact that our AHL team is awful and the only prospects there that look capable of stepping into the NHL if called up are the goalies. At least it looks like Connor/Roslovic are doing well with their respective teams.
Ehlers is in a special situation but he could use AHL time also.

Copp and Petan should be in the A playing 20 minutes a night. Until they prove they are NHL players.

What happened to all the competition for spots they were promoting ? Push from within, over ripen prospects ?
 

heretik27

Registered User
Apr 18, 2013
8,974
6,306
Winnipeg
Ehlers is in a special situation but he could use AHL time also.

Copp and Petan should be in the A playing 20 minutes a night. Until they prove they are NHL players.

What happened to all the competition for spots they were promoting ? Push from within, over ripen prospects ?

Ehlers can't play in the AHL this season, part of the reason why he was promoted from the Q to the Jets rather than shipped overseas to develop further against men.
 

Whileee

Registered User
May 29, 2010
46,075
33,132
Ehlers is in a special situation but he could use AHL time also.

Copp and Petan should be in the A playing 20 minutes a night. Until they prove they are NHL players.

What happened to all the competition for spots they were promoting ? Push from within, over ripen prospects ?

How do you prove you are an NHL player from the AHL? O'Dell was a pretty good AHLer, but a marginal NHL player.

I think Copp has already shown that he's ready for the NHL.

Petan has struggled playing the wing, and without skilled linemates. I expect that he would be more effective in a different role in the NHL.
 

BigZ65

Registered User
Feb 2, 2010
12,355
5,319
Winnipeg
Ehlers is in a special situation but he could use AHL time also.

Copp and Petan should be in the A playing 20 minutes a night. Until they prove they are NHL players.

What happened to all the competition for spots they were promoting ? Push from within, over ripen prospects ?

Ehlers is easily one of our top 5 forwards. He doesn't need AHL time. He can play at a level as a 19 year-old such that he can develop in the NHL.
 

BigZ65

Registered User
Feb 2, 2010
12,355
5,319
Winnipeg
How do you prove you are an NHL player from the AHL? O'Dell was a pretty good AHLer, but a marginal NHL player.

I think Copp has already shown that he's ready for the NHL.

Petan has struggled playing the wing, and without skilled linemates. I expect that he would be more effective in a different role in the NHL.

If you replaced "Petan" with "Wellwood" it would be like HF Boards Leafs in 2006....just for some perspective.
 

KingBogo

Admitted Homer
Nov 29, 2011
31,715
39,935
Winnipeg
Ehlers is in a special situation but he could use AHL time also.

Copp and Petan should be in the A playing 20 minutes a night. Until they prove they are NHL players.

What happened to all the competition for spots they were promoting ? Push from within, over ripen prospects ?

Disagree about Ehlers. He needs to be in the NHL and learning to adapt against the best. Earlier in the season he took advantage of the room available to him in the center of the ice, due in part because he was unknown, and part we were playing most of our games against the East which tend to play it a little more wide open. Now against some of the tougher teams in the Central that room is being closed down. Time and space has disapeared for him. He needs to find ways to generate offense against the tight checking of the West. While Ehlers can't go to the A, going down to less skilled competition just allows him to do things he is already good at with the room to do it. To excel in the NHL he needs to learn how to do it against the players he will be lining up against for the next 15 years, not against players he can dominate against.
 

Jetfaninflorida

Southernmost Jet Fan
Dec 13, 2013
15,677
18,937
Florida
Disagree about Ehlers. He needs to be in the NHL and learning to adapt against the best. Earlier in the season he took advantage of the room available to him in the center of the ice, due in part because he was unknown, and part we were playing most of our games against the East which tend to play it a little more wide open. Now against some of the tougher teams in the Central that room is being closed down. Time and space has disapeared for him. He needs to find ways to generate offense against the tight checking of the West. While Ehlers can't go to the A, going down to less skilled competition just allows him to do things he is already good at with the room to do it. To excel in the NHL he needs to learn how to do it against the players he will be lining up against for the next 15 years, not against players he can dominate against.

I agree with this. Out of the four newbies, Ehlers is the one that is ready and can contribute now. It won't be easy and there will be peaks and valleys. One of my concerns is that there is still a lot of east / west in his game. If he lets his guard down for a moment, he could really get crushed playing with the big boys. But by all accounts he is very aware out there. I think that awareness has him a bit more timid than at the beginning of the year based upon the angle and approach that he now takes going into puck battles along the boards. By the way, that's probably a good thing. His impact will be felt on the open ice, not in the corners.
 

Derfel*

Guest
I agree with this. Out of the four newbies, Ehlers is the one that is ready and can contribute now. It won't be easy and there will be peaks and valleys. One of my concerns is that there is still a lot of east / west in his game. If he lets his guard down for a moment, he could really get crushed playing with the big boys. But by all accounts he is very aware out there. I think that awareness has him a bit more timid than at the beginning of the year based upon the angle and approach that he now takes going into puck battles along the boards. By the way, that's probably a good thing. His impact will be felt on the open ice, not in the corners.

Certainly Ehlers is in the right place now - and I agree with the east/west thing, although I've seen a bit less of it in the last few games. I'm wondering if it's something they've been advising him about, and he's been "overthinking" it which would slow him down a bit?
 

veganhunter

Mexico City Coyotes!
Feb 15, 2010
2,934
3
Calgary
What this team is doing makes no sense to me whatsoever. They had 2 real options this summer

1. Commit to a youth movement and year of development: that involves sticking with your talented rookies through thick and thin. Letting them play and taking your lumps that come with their learning curve.

2. Being a real playoff contender this year: that involved signing some veterans that are actually talented and maybe adding 1 rookie but having the depth to shelter him and remain competitive.

Instead what the Jets have chosen to do is to fill 3 forward spots with rookies, shelter 1, continuously take 1 in and out of the line up for a guy who has 11 career points in 115 career games, and yo-yo 1 rookies minutes down to 4-5 with no special teams minutes, when the aforementioned rookie comes out for the aforementioned lunkhead.

So your not letting 2 of these guys really develop but you don't have any NHL level talent to replace them to be a playoff contender. What are you trying to accomplish?
 

Jetfaninflorida

Southernmost Jet Fan
Dec 13, 2013
15,677
18,937
Florida
What this team is doing makes no sense to me whatsoever. They had 2 real options this summer

1. Commit to a youth movement and year of development: that involves sticking with your talented rookies through thick and thin. Letting them play and taking your lumps that come with their learning curve.

2. Being a real playoff contender this year: that involved signing some veterans that are actually talented and maybe adding 1 rookie but having the depth to shelter him and remain competitive.

Instead what the Jets have chosen to do is to fill 3 forward spots with rookies, shelter 1, continuously take 1 in and out of the line up for a guy who has 11 career points in 115 career games, and yo-yo 1 rookies minutes down to 4-5 with no special teams minutes, when the aforementioned rookie comes out for the aforementioned lunkhead.

So your not letting 2 of these guys really develop but you don't have any NHL level talent to replace them to be a playoff contender. What are you trying to accomplish?

We went through something different but similar at the trade deadline in the 13-14 season. We were 1 point out of a playoff spot a few weeks after Maurice came in. The team was playing very well. Our number 2 center went down with a knee injury. So normal course of action was to either pick someone up at the trade deadline to make a run for the playoffs, or bail and trade away our free agents for value. We did neither.

Now Seto and the Joker weren't worth much. But late draft picks here and there all help. Either as throw ins to close future trades, or to maybe get lucky with a diamond in the rough provided you have a strong development program.
 
Last edited:

lomiller1

Registered User
Jan 13, 2015
6,409
2,967
I’m somewhat concerned about the number of player who start falling short of expectations once they hit our AHL system. Sure it’s bound to happen to some prospects, but it seems to happen almost across the board.
 

BigZ65

Registered User
Feb 2, 2010
12,355
5,319
Winnipeg
I’m somewhat concerned about the number of player who start falling short of expectations once they hit our AHL system. Sure it’s bound to happen to some prospects, but it seems to happen almost across the board.

Like who? Most of our top prospects have been ushered right into the NHL and it's way too soon to judge Morrissey.
 

YWGinYYZ

Registered User
Jul 3, 2011
28,480
7,117
Toronto
Like who? Most of our top prospects have been ushered right into the NHL and it's way too soon to judge Morrissey.

If you ignore the fact that Scheif, Trouba, Ehlers, Petan, et al spent time in either the NCAA or back with their CHL clubs, sure. None of them have gone through the AHL - arguably Petan should have. Ehlers is a bit of a special case - too good to go back to the Q, and not eligible for the A.
 

Gm0ney

Unicorns salient
Oct 12, 2011
14,609
13,361
Winnipeg
Like who? Most of our top prospects have been ushered right into the NHL and it's way too soon to judge Morrissey.

So is it a good thing that Red Berenson has developed more Jets prospects than Keith McCambridge?
 

Grind

Stomacheache AllStar
Jan 25, 2012
6,539
127
Manitoba
They are DEEP though, and 99% of that is homegrown. We're happy about Lowry and they have a dozen of those guys, some of them can score too. You could argue objectively that the Jets haven't drafted and developed a top-end defenseman since Enstrom with Trouba at a crossroads.

Makes me shudder a bit to think about where our franchise would be if Chicago didn't have to dump salary a couple times.

Detroits system is really interesting to look at.

19 players on their roster drafted by the organization.

but all the big names are over 30

Gustav Nyquist? He's 26

Tatar Is 24.

Any drafted player under 24 is playing bit part/low scoring role with the redwings at this point (aside from Larkin)

If not for snaggin Larkin they'd look really odd with old father time catching up to Kronwall, Zetterberg, Franen, and Datsyuk.

they've got a tonne of bit pieces there, but they haven't managed to snag many high performers.

Interestingly enough, they've hit on 2nd and 4th round picks almost as frequently as they have with their 1st rounders (larkin, Sheahan, Kindle, and Kronwall VS Jurco, Tatar, Ferraro, Abdelkader VS Athanasiou, Pulkkinen, Nyquist, and Quincy)

I just don't understand it.

While they hit consistently they don't get much gold.

That being said, they are almost never drafting higher then 20th overall (and the one time they do they grab Larkin)

It's mind boggling.

Keep in mind though, it's impossible for the jets to have mimiced something like this given the amount of time it takes.

the jets first crop of draft prospects are only 22.

Detroit's under 22 list is Jurco (4gp), Athansio (5gp), and larkin.

Meanwhile the Jets is Scheifele, Lowry, Trouba, Ehlers, Petan( bit part), Copp (4th line/bit part)
 

veganhunter

Mexico City Coyotes!
Feb 15, 2010
2,934
3
Calgary
We went through something different but similar at the trade deadline in the 13-14 season. We were 1 point out of a playoff spot a few weeks after Maurice came in. The team was playing very well. Our number 2 center went down with a knee injury. So normal course of action was to either pick someone up at the trade deadline to make a run for the playoffs, or bail and trade away our free agents for value. We did neither.

Now Seto and the Joker weren't worth much. But late draft picks here and there all help. Either as throw ins to close future trades, or to maybe get lucky with a diamond in the rough provided you have a strong development program.

Ahhhhhhh I remember the deadlines prior to last oh so fondly. Rife with indecision.
 

BigZ65

Registered User
Feb 2, 2010
12,355
5,319
Winnipeg
So is it a good thing that Red Berenson has developed more Jets prospects than Keith McCambridge?

Again, who has busted with the IceCaps?

McCambridge has not had the opportunity to coach any significant prospects, outside of maybe Lowry and Hellebucyk. I'm not defending him, that's just the truth.

Saying that guys fail to meet expectations with our farm team is bunk because pretty much all of our prospects with actual NHL potential have started their pro career in the NHL.
 

Gm0ney

Unicorns salient
Oct 12, 2011
14,609
13,361
Winnipeg
Again, who has busted with the IceCaps?

McCambridge has not had the opportunity to coach any significant prospects, outside of maybe Lowry and Hellebucyk. I'm not defending him, that's just the truth.

Saying that guys fail to meet expectations with our farm team is bunk because pretty much all of our prospects with actual NHL potential have started their pro career in the NHL.

It's more of an observation about the development methodology the Jets are employing. Trouba came straight from Michigan, as did Copp. Scheifele came from Barrie. Ehlers from Halifax. Petan from Portland. The Jets aren't developing a lot of these guys in the sense that they have direct control over them on the farm...
 

BigZ65

Registered User
Feb 2, 2010
12,355
5,319
Winnipeg
It's more of an observation about the development methodology the Jets are employing. Trouba came straight from Michigan, as did Copp. Scheifele came from Barrie. Ehlers from Halifax. Petan from Portland. The Jets aren't developing a lot of these guys in the sense that they have direct control over them on the farm...

It's especially odd given how specific comments were made to the effect that Atlanta did not give their prospects due time to develop. I guess letting a guy play junior to 20 and then putting him up in the NHL is the counter to that? I had assumed that meant they'd want guys to start in the AHL and the exception would be guys who made the jump immediately. Our only 1st rounder who hasn't is Morrissey.
 

KingBogo

Admitted Homer
Nov 29, 2011
31,715
39,935
Winnipeg
I agree with this. Out of the four newbies, Ehlers is the one that is ready and can contribute now. It won't be easy and there will be peaks and valleys. One of my concerns is that there is still a lot of east / west in his game. If he lets his guard down for a moment, he could really get crushed playing with the big boys. But by all accounts he is very aware out there. I think that awareness has him a bit more timid than at the beginning of the year based upon the angle and approach that he now takes going into puck battles along the boards. By the way, that's probably a good thing. His impact will be felt on the open ice, not in the corners.

Except the only time he plays east - west in the offensive zone, where east - west means cutting through the scoring zone exactly like the big point getters do. The kid plays a type of game that will produce a lot of points one day.
 

Mortimer Snerd

You kids get off my lawn!
Sponsor
Jun 10, 2014
57,426
29,282
It's more of an observation about the development methodology the Jets are employing. Trouba came straight from Michigan, as did Copp. Scheifele came from Barrie. Ehlers from Halifax. Petan from Portland. The Jets aren't developing a lot of these guys in the sense that they have direct control over them on the farm...

This is an imaginary thing based on small sample size more than anything else. What you are describing is perfectly normal. Top 15 (more or less) picks don't need time in the A. Copp chose to stay in NCAA. We are talking 1 player here. If Petan gets sent down which it is looking more and more like he should, he will be the highest drafted player McCambridge has had the opportunity to work with.
 

Mortimer Snerd

You kids get off my lawn!
Sponsor
Jun 10, 2014
57,426
29,282
It's especially odd given how specific comments were made to the effect that Atlanta did not give their prospects due time to develop. I guess letting a guy play junior to 20 and then putting him up in the NHL is the counter to that? I had assumed that meant they'd want guys to start in the AHL and the exception would be guys who made the jump immediately. Our only 1st rounder who hasn't is Morrissey.

Yes to the bold, without the ?. That is opposed to throwing them into the NHL at 18. 18 to 20 is a big difference. High draft picks with star potential don't normally need AHL time.
 

Gm0ney

Unicorns salient
Oct 12, 2011
14,609
13,361
Winnipeg
This is an imaginary thing based on small sample size more than anything else. What you are describing is perfectly normal. Top 15 (more or less) picks don't need time in the A. Copp chose to stay in NCAA. We are talking 1 player here. If Petan gets sent down which it is looking more and more like he should, he will be the highest drafted player McCambridge has had the opportunity to work with.

Josh Morrissey (13th overall) and Joel Armia (16th overall) say hello... ;)

And I don't buy the "Top 15 picks don't need time in the A" stuff - Top 5 picks maybe.

Most guys picked 6-15 spend some time in the AHL. Some guys can make the jump, but a lot can't - or shouldn't. Some of the guys who do move right into the NHL played pro in Europe.

I imagine it's pretty rare to see two guys with 1 game of pro experience between them to be NHL linemates...not what I'd call a 'position to succeed'...
 

mcpw

WPG
Jan 13, 2015
10,024
2,072
Most guys picked 6-15 spend some time in the AHL. Some guys can make the jump, but a lot can't - or shouldn't. Some of the guys who do move right into the NHL played pro in Europe.

I looked at the nonrepresentative sample of 6-15 picks from 2006-2009 - skaters, >100 NHL GP.

>=40 AHL GP (17 players)
D.Brassard, B.Little, J.Tlusty, M.Grabner, L.Couture, K.Ellerby, B.Sutter, L.Eller, C.Wilson, M.Boedker, C.Hodgson, Z.Boychuk, N.Kadri, M.Paajarvi, R.Ellis, C.deHaan, P.Holland

<40 AHL GP (15 players)
K.Okposo, P.Mueller, J.Sheppard, M.Frolik, S.Gagner, J.Voracek, R.McDonagh, K.Shattenkirk, J.Bailey, T.Myers, E.Karlsson, O.Ekman-Larsson, J.Cowen, Z.Kassian, D.Kulikov

(best players bolded). "Forced" shortened season AHL games didn't count. Looks like a completely mixed bag to me.
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad