Taze em
Registered User
- Apr 20, 2012
- 8,401
- 670
people on this board --- from my perspective --- wildly over-value draft picks. Players who have already been drafted, developed over time and shown to be contributors are known commodities and their value is largely well known. A draft pick (20 years or younger) is still an unknown and the vast majority do not meet expectations. To think of trading Sharp, TT, Seabrook and Shaw for the #2 pick (as one poster suggests) is beyond absurd. If they asked for Seabrook and Shaw and our 2nd round pick I would say no. Seabrook is excellent. Shaw contributes. Eichel is an unknown. He may be awesome down the road or he may be merely very good to excellent (like... Seabrook) or he may, like so many, be but a contributor and nothing special. Let us not overvalue picks. For every pick that produces as one expects there are 4-5 picks that do not. Proven, developed players -- know what you are getting.
To me, this over-valuing of draft picks is just so much projecting onto a name (Eichel in this case) a quality of play you imagine of him (the next HOF guy). It is not rational. Picks do matter --- of course --- but you do not trade 5-6 known commodities (some of high value) for a pick!
Everything about this post is wrong. Top 2 picks don't bust.
Since the lockout all top 2 picks:
Ovechkin
Malkin
Crosby
Ryan
EJ
Staal
Kane
JVR
Stamkos
Doughty
Tavares
Hedman
Hall
Seguin
RNH
Landeskog
Yak
Murray
Mackinnon
Barkov
Ekblad
Reihart
... there are no busts on that list and probably 50% on pace for Hall of Fame careers. The value of a top 2 pick is pretty well established. You are getting a guaranteed all star with a realistic shot at a HOFer.