How will we know the rebuild is over?

rdawg1234

Registered User
Jul 2, 2012
4,586
0
That said, they could make the playoffs earlier than the 5 year timeline,but they won't be serious contenders in my opinion.

I wont care as long as we become competitive again, it would be great to be like a calgary or ottawa this year in a couple seasons, competiting for the last spot, makes the regular season amazing to watch(I remember feeling this back in 2010-11 when reimer came in, thought the leafs were on the rise that year).

then you just build on that success, any kind of playoffs is great, then after a couple years of making it and winning a round or two is when the team will probably start contending for a cup, if everything goes well, which is not easy to accomplish.
 

Beaviz81

Registered User
Mar 8, 2015
354
0
You could do like San Jose, always being dominant in the regular season, yet never a true contender due to lack of team toughness and defense. I mean it would be amazing hearing the more delusional fanbois of TML then yap about how close they would be to win the cup.
 

A1LeafNation

Obsession beats talent everytime!!
Oct 17, 2010
27,470
17,456
The rebuild hasn't even started yet and someone is wondering when it going to be over???

It could be over by the draft if everything goes Leafs way.

Win the draft lottery. Sign Babcock. Trade Kessel+ for Jones(NASH)+.

Babcock

JVR McDavid Nylander
______Kadri _______


Rielly Jones
Gardiner Phaneuf


Bernier

..rebuild over.
 

tooncesmeow

Registered User
May 3, 2013
1,162
3
Melbourne, FL
Not really. Even if we get McDavid a lot of our prospects aren't necessarily ready, besides, you guys seriously overrate how much a top pick does for a team. Look at Colorado or Edmonton. Duchene+Mackinnon+Johnson+Landeskog and they are still a basement team or at best a fringe playoff contender. And those are only on the nights where Varlamov carries them. Edmonton is in what? Year 6 of their rebuild? They still don't look any closer to contending.

Calgary on the other hand started their rebuild in earnest in the summer of 2012? That was with their selection of Jankowski at 21. And yet, despite only picking in the top 10 twice (6 and 4) they've managed to put together a young roster with lots of upside with late draft picks like Gaudreau, Brodie, frugal pick ups like Giordano (undrafted) Russell ( 5th roundpick) Drew Shore (free agent signing) Jiri Hudler (free agent signing) and Jonas Hiller (free agent signing)

In 3 years they've overhauled their roster and will probably compete in the playoffs and be a bigger threat then the Leafs in the 5 years of building this team to knock it back down.
 

Trainspotter

Registered User
May 28, 2013
424
0
Not really. Even if we get McDavid a lot of our prospects aren't necessarily ready, besides, you guys seriously overrate how much a top pick does for a team. Look at Colorado or Edmonton. Duchene+Mackinnon+Johnson+Landeskog and they are still a basement team or at best a fringe playoff contender. And those are only on the nights where Varlamov carries them. Edmonton is in what? Year 6 of their rebuild? They still don't look any closer to contending.

This depends partly on the quality of the top pick. McDavid is heads-and-tails above all of the players either of those teams have picked. And, of course, this also depends on how you surround those players. Edmonton's drafting philosophy has been "Defense? Who needs that?" You could say something similar about COL. Johnson has always been a dubious 1st Overall pick.

Calgary on the other hand started their rebuild in earnest in the summer of 2012? That was with their selection of Jankowski at 21. And yet, despite only picking in the top 10 twice (6 and 4) they've managed to put together a young roster with lots of upside with late draft picks like Gaudreau, Brodie, frugal pick ups like Giordano (undrafted) Russell ( 5th roundpick) Drew Shore (free agent signing) Jiri Hudler (free agent signing) and Jonas Hiller (free agent signing)

In 3 years they've overhauled their roster and will probably compete in the playoffs and be a bigger threat then the Leafs in the 5 years of building this team to knock it back down.

Calgary is a house built on sand.
 

Wafflewhipper

Registered User
Jan 18, 2014
14,114
5,694
In a bit of a grim epiphany, I realized today that I'll be cheering for the Leafs to lose for roughly the next 2 years and started thinking to myself.. when am I going to cheer for them to win again?

When will we know this rebuild is over and that we're committed to icing a competitive team again?

When we have a definitive 1C, 1D and 1G? How do we know these youngsters won't be a flash in the pan? What types of metrics would qualify them as a 1C, etc etc beyond the vague ranking on Hockey's Future?

When we stumble into the playoffs again?

When we start beating winning teams consistently with the advanced stats to back it up?

Your thoughts?

When our depth is perceived to be elite. Nothing else should be considered done. Competition from below when the team is top 10 in the league is the indicator. They need to stock and develops for three years with no desire to fast track.
 

pucky

Registered User
Jan 11, 2011
8,079
172
In a bit of a grim epiphany, I realized today that I'll be cheering for the Leafs to lose for roughly the next 2 years and started thinking to myself.. when am I going to cheer for them to win again?

When will we know this rebuild is over and that we're committed to icing a competitive team again?

When we have a definitive 1C, 1D and 1G? How do we know these youngsters won't be a flash in the pan? What types of metrics would qualify them as a 1C, etc etc beyond the vague ranking on Hockey's Future?

When we stumble into the playoffs again?

When we start beating winning teams consistently with the advanced stats to back it up?

Your thoughts?
My thoughts?: Where's the evidence that there's a rebuild? Provide it.

The Leafs still had most of their core and won some games. They beat Tampa, even. I say they are not really rebuilding. There's even reports that Nonis will remain as GM. So, where's the evidence of them rebuilding? Waiting...
 
Sep 18, 2009
8,902
4,355
It could be over by the draft if everything goes Leafs way.

Win the draft lottery. Sign Babcock. Trade Kessel+ for Jones(NASH)+.

Babcock

JVR McDavid Nylander
______Kadri _______


Rielly Jones
Gardiner Phaneuf


Bernier

..rebuild over.
That is not even a playoff team, let alone a cup contender.
 

tooncesmeow

Registered User
May 3, 2013
1,162
3
Melbourne, FL
This depends partly on the quality of the top pick. McDavid is heads-and-tails above all of the players either of those teams have picked. And, of course, this also depends on how you surround those players. Edmonton's drafting philosophy has been "Defense? Who needs that?" You could say something similar about COL. Johnson has always been a dubious 1st Overall pick.



Calgary is a house built on sand.

Calgary has a decent prospect pool, and has center depth, when you look at free agency, theres a lot of scoring wingers that can be had to fill out the bottom 9 positions for decent money. Still they have good prospects, the only thing they lack is a young superstar D but even then Brodie and Giordano are great players and Calgary gets better goaltending and has a full healthy roster they can probably make a deep playoff run. They're certainly in a much, much bettter position then say.. we are.

Besides if Edmonton built a decent D, it still wouldn't be enough. Drafting at the top slots definitely helps, but you need to be better then that. Even if McDavid is the next Crosby, it still took guys like Letang at 62nd overall, or guys like Orpik, Kunitz, Gonchar, etc. to get them to where they went. Malkin, Crosby, Fleury helped, it really did, but it could never have gotten them to the cup on their own. If the Leafs want to win, and if the rebuild is going to take less then 8 years, it'll be through getting NHL players from the later rounds and making frugal acquisitions in free agency and trades.
 

RayNibbs

Registered User
Mar 26, 2015
474
1
Toronto, ON
Not really. Even if we get McDavid a lot of our prospects aren't necessarily ready, besides, you guys seriously overrate how much a top pick does for a team. Look at Colorado or Edmonton. Duchene+Mackinnon+Johnson+Landeskog and they are still a basement team or at best a fringe playoff contender. And those are only on the nights where Varlamov carries them. Edmonton is in what? Year 6 of their rebuild? They still don't look any closer to contending.

Calgary on the other hand started their rebuild in earnest in the summer of 2012? That was with their selection of Jankowski at 21. And yet, despite only picking in the top 10 twice (6 and 4) they've managed to put together a young roster with lots of upside with late draft picks like Gaudreau, Brodie, frugal pick ups like Giordano (undrafted) Russell ( 5th roundpick) Drew Shore (free agent signing) Jiri Hudler (free agent signing) and Jonas Hiller (free agent signing)

In 3 years they've overhauled their roster and will probably compete in the playoffs and be a bigger threat then the Leafs in the 5 years of building this team to knock it back down.

Calgary hit gold drafting monahan and bennett. They're going to be absolutely great in a couple years, with monahan already being dominant. Also with gaudreau becoming as good as he is, which is mindblowing at times. Their scouting did very, very well, we can only hope we get similar scouting in the coming drafts. Also they have hartley as their coach, that guy has control of the room and this shows on the ice. If the leafs can pickup a coach that is willing to lead the young guys and play them, and is compentent ofcourse, not horabad, then we MAY be able to compete for a spot in 2-3 years.
 

King of Arcadia

Registered User
Feb 11, 2010
585
1
They need to bring in Jay Feaster, the man built a Cup winner in Tampa. That wuould accelerate the rebuild by 2 years.
 

RyanOhReally

Registered User
Jan 21, 2015
2,368
1
Georgetown, ON
I think after next year we'll kind of grow some expectations of a possible surprise, and then get shut down a couple of months in when we still realize that we're the worst team in the league...

With the draft changing to how it is, we have start tempering our tank-spectations. No longer will it be "Matthews/Chychrun" but more "Steel/Day" with the 4th/5th pick.

But yeah, we're looking to build a hard working team so I'd say that in 2-3 years we'll be looking for how Calgary's season went this year but for us. It could be more of a case of how the Jets have been. A clearly solid team that just can't make the Playoffs with such good teams in the division/conference.

Rangers
Canadiens
Lightning
Islanders
Penguins
Red Wings
Capitals
Panthers
Sabres
Blue Jackets
Flyers
Senators
Bruins

I don't see us being better than any of those teams in 3 years. Which is good for a tank, but most fans won't want to tank for more than 2-3 years.
 

HoweHullOrr

Registered User
Oct 3, 2013
11,623
2,227
It could be over by the draft if everything goes Leafs way.

Win the draft lottery. Sign Babcock. Trade Kessel+ for Jones(NASH)+.

Babcock

JVR McDavid Nylander
______Kadri _______


Rielly Jones
Gardiner Phaneuf

Bernier

..rebuild over.

Three step program?

1. McDavid
2. Stamkos
3. Cup


;)
 

paulhiggins

Registered User
Feb 4, 2006
2,807
827
You will know it's over when they trade a 1st round pick for an established player, to put them over the top. I hope they don't do it but I fear they will, and trade it way too early.
 

Marmoset

Registered User
Apr 4, 2015
712
362
GTA
When the Leafs start making a few short-term moves to "win now", that will be the signal that the rebuild is over.

As we know, this doesn't mean those moves will always be made when they should be, but it's the most significant indicator of management's direction.

In the Calgary case, even though the team is doing well, they clearly did not make those types of moves at the trade deadline (which most people including me was the right decision). They realize that even though they are having a surprisingly good year, there is a lot of work to do.

I hope that Leafs management, whoever it is, doesn't jump at our first somewhat competitive season and decide they can start trading picks and prospects again to make the playoffs. This needs to be a long term project, even if the team starts winning sooner than expected.
 

tolwyn

Registered User
Feb 4, 2015
196
3
It could be over by the draft if everything goes Leafs way.

Win the draft lottery. Sign Babcock. Trade Kessel+ for Jones(NASH)+.

Babcock

JVR McDavid Nylander
______Kadri _______


Rielly Jones
Gardiner Phaneuf


Bernier

..rebuild over.

This is a joke right? JVR (one of the worst defensive forwards in the league) and two rookies with 0 nhl games, and a 2nd line center.... followed by 3 defensemen who have been on this team and put up some of the worst defensive numbers/shots against in modern history. Yeah, no. This kind of thinking is exactly what they CAN'T do to build a winning team.
 

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