So far he's looked more like a bottom-6 player than a top-6. And more often than not he doesn't generate anything. Plays die when he touches the puck.
First 3 years in Ottawa : 0.69 PPG (below median 1st line production)
2016-17 : 0.40 PPG (median 3rd line production) but was a beast in the playoffs with 15 pts in 19 games (including 3 GWG, 2 in OT)
Last year 0.53 PPG (below median 2nd line production)
This year : 0.63 PPG (above median 2nd line production)
Numbers tell otherwise, I could go deeper with xGF, SC/60 and HD/60
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You say "more often than not he doesn't generate anything. Plays die when he touches the puck". Coincidentally, I analyzed his play on the PP last night :
1st PP :
- shot/pass towards the net that jut missed, scoring chance
- connects the pass for the zone entry
- keep the play at blueline, passing to the other side, keeping the offense going, Stone then made a pass to White who missed his shot bu not by much, scoring chance
- keep the play alive along the boards by winning his battle, creates space, pass using the board to Chabot at the point, that leads to a Stone shot and rebound that Duchene just missed, scoring chance
- Retrieves the puck along the boards, pass it to a wide open Chabot, that leads to another Stone shot and rebound that Duchene missed again, scoring chance.
- Gets the puck in the slot, shots and beats Rask but Carlo saves the day, high danger scoring chance. Then Stone could have scored afterwards but Rask closed the door. Another scoring chance
2nd PP :
- receives a pass in the skates, somehow succeeds to keep it alive and pass it to the point to Chabot
- after the draw quick pass to Chabot that opens up some space
- Makes a dangerous pass/shot to the front of the net, hits Rask pad without him knowing, scoring chance
- wins a race/battle along the boards, blocks a clearing attempt but eventually the Bruins get it out as there was 3 Bruins players in that corner.
- after the 2nd PP unit sucked for about 1 min, Ryan back on the ice, makes a nice stretch pass that sends Duchene on the left side, but the angle wasn't great so Rask had no problem stopping the shot. scoring chance.
- Not long after the PP is over while Ryan is still on the ice, creates a turnover by knocking down an aerial pass, the Sens counter but Smith can't do anything with it as he is contained by several Bruins players.
3rd PP :
- 2nd unit started this PP, so after 45 seconds, Ryan is back on the ice. Duchene centering pass that was intended to Ryan but Rask stick got a piece of it leaving the puck right in the slot but White's shot went wide.
- Ryan hurries to go help White along the boards keeping the play alive, it leads to a Duchene shot from a sharp angle though, but another scoring chance
- Ryan subtly retrieves the puck then battles in the corner with 2 Bruins on his back but is somehow able to pass it back to Chabot at the point, who has a lot of open space. That leads to a Chabot shot that is deflected on the way by Stone, great save by Rask. scoring chance
- Ryan retrieves the rebound, controls the puck with poise, creates space for himself, then set up Chabot perfectly for a one-timer : GOAL with 30 seconds left on the PP.
4th PP (Ryan's is the one that got tripped for that PP) :
- game was 4-1 Boston at that point so the Sens probably already had their spirits down but nonetheless : Ryan blocks a clearing attempt with his stick after an action in front of the net, goes behind the net and makes a reverse pass to White, who can't even touch it (looks like it was going too fast for White on that sequence)
- After the Bruins wasted a bit of time off the Sens PP, Ryan can't handle a puck that was rimmed along the boards in the defensive zone, the puck goes back to Andy who throws it in the corner, Sens lose a few more seconds as a result. First "meh" play by Ryan on the PP.
- After the 2nd unit was on the ice for about 45 seconds, Ryan is back on the ice with only 28 seconds left on the PP, he nicely retrieves and control a bad pass by Duchene at the point, then a skilled little backhand pass to Chabot who shots the puck towards the net but Rask swallows it as there was no traffic in front.
5th PP :
- Not any openings, Ryan shots towards the net with Duchene and White in front, puck is deflected onto Duchene who sends it back in front but over White's stick.
- Stone makes a bad zone entry, white blocks the clearing attempt, Ryan tries to handle the puck but confusion with White prevents him from doing it cleanly but the play continues in the Bruins zone.
- Duchene tries a pass that gets deflected by a Bruins stick and ends up saved by Rask's pad, rebound goes to Ryan who shots it right away but it's either a very nice save by Rask who followed through nicely with quick lateral movement or it hit the side of the post. TV didn't give an aerial view so very hard to say.
- saucer pass to Chabot who tries a one-time pass the other side but isn't handled by Stone, too bad it could have lead to another good scoring chance.
- gets a nice pass by Stone, has an opportunity to shoot but stickhandles too much (probably to put the puck square on the ice) but it gives time to the Bruins player to come close to him and make a nice stick play deflecting the puck away, then the Bruins player with a wise elbow to separate Ryan from the puck and then clears the zone. Second "meh" play by Ryan on the PP in the game but the Bruins deserves credit there. After 1:25 on the ice, the first unit comes off.
It's just one game, the Sens had 5 PPs so Ryan had several opportunities to showcase his talent with other skilled players but under Boucher it hasn't always been like that. Yes, he doesn't always make the right play or some plays might "die on his stick" but it is exactly the same for every player, only elite players rarely give up possession. If you don't put a microscope on a player, you see things very differently. I'm very attentive watching the game (not in bar drinking beer with people for example).
Personally when I watch a game I don't even look at the player's number at first, it allows me to watch the game without any bias. I notice the number after the play is made, and if I couldn't see it, I can easily go back and forth since I have every Sens game on PVR.
I can tell you that Ryan makes a lot of good (subtle or not) plays during a game. He has off-games like most players but the HF narrative is purely from the fact that he was acquired for a darling prospect and a famous 1st round pick and he is now banged up and overpaid.
Comments in the GDTs reveals me bias and agendas or who is just not attentive enough or maybe doesn't understand the game enough. It allows me to establish levels of credibility. Problem is that other people reading don't necessarily know with how many grains of salt they should take some comments.