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I don't expect that he'll suddenly bounce back to being an elite goaltender again, but the way goaltending stats tend to go it's just as unlikely that he's actually a sub .900 goalie because of a single season. That .905 to .910 range would put him in the 33 to 24 range in terms of goalies which is right about where he's being paid. Those are 1B numbers that will allow Demko to take some nights off without hanging the team out to dry.Edit: Going to rephrase this
He's not performed at his actual elite level since the end of 2017. In the season they won the cup, he had lost his starting job but gained it back. If you were to plot his trajectory based on the previous five years, you'd see a harsh downward curve.
Obviously the last season alone was ridiculously bad but it's also not likely for him to be the same .915-925 goalie he was from 2010-2017.
My guess is he falls somewhere in the .905-910 range.
Because that's what it took to sign him and there weren't many better options floating around?Why is he on a starting goalie contract?
Paying a significant portion of your cap to a 1B imo is wasteful, at least it's not 3 years like Ryan Miller's.
I think people are in dream land if they expect Holtby and Myers to be the expansion guys, unless Seattle extorts some sweeteners out of us to do it. Myers was barely a top 4 defensman last year and the Hughes and Edler pairings with Myers on them performed worse than with the alternatives....he spent the biggest chunk of his icetime next to Fantenberg/Benn on the bottom pair.
Here's a list of the goalies that signed this offseason (Contract Signings - CapFriendly - NHL Salary Caps) unless I'm mistaken about some of the 24-year-olds, here are our options among goalies that anybody is actually interested in:
M. Subban: His career stats are a 2.97 GAA and .899 Sv%. He's trash and not a realistic option to tandem with Demko.
M. Murray: He signed for 4-years at $6.25 million AAV and his numbers as a starter look like a bad rollercoaster if you care to graph them.
C. Talbot: He'd save us less than a million in AAV, signed for an extra year, and has been worse than Holtby in every season except the 26 games he played this past season.
A. Khudobin: Was never an option to sign anywhere but Dallas and a player unlikely to be willing to play a 1B role to a rookie.
K. Kinkaid: Do I even need to say anything here? He's played for some bad teams but his numbers are pedestrian at best and his last two seasons stank.
A. Forsberg: A 28-year-old with 48 NHL games played... Next.
T. Greiss: The best option thus far. He only saves 700k per season and probably wouldn't like the role Vancouver wants him for.
A. Dell: If Demko had played a full season as a starter already I'd have liked a backup like Dell but I'd have no faith in Dell to take over a starting role if Demko isn't ready.
L. Ullmark: I'd have interest but given that he went back to Buffalo he probably wasn't an option.
The goalies that haven't signed yet are a graveyard of those that are either used up or who never had the talent to stick at the NHL level in the first place.
So who among the available options would you rate as a better option than Holtby and do you think they were actually a reasonable option for the Canucks to sign?