I agree with all of this 100%. I will admit I do find myself listening to Sinbin’s podcasts and periscope’s because we don’t have a lot of content like that available here but.. I wonder sometimes if Ken even believes half the shit he says. I think he just loves the controversial hot takes for clicks.
I think if the front office traded Shea Theodore for a 7th round pick tomorrow and the fan base erupted, Ken would post a story titled “why I think trading Theodore for a 7th round pick was the right move”. I listened to one of their podcasts a month or so back and Ken was arguing for why he thinks they should trade Lehner lol.
Anyway, I like your takes on stuff and you seem to know your hockey and was wondering what you see Glass’ ceiling being.
I honestly feel like ceiling may be rendered irrelevant at this point. I think if
everything had gone perfectly to this point and going forward we may have had a Schiefele-esque 85 point 1c on our hands. I know that's bold but I do watch a fair bit of prospects hockey when time permits and used to a lot more between 2009-2015. Glass to me struck me more than many others I've watched in the past for his vision, overall hockey IQ, general game sense, and a passing ability that to me stood out as outstanding. What I felt he needed work on was, obviously, his lean frame, his tendency to spend more time analyzing the situation on the ice and waiting for the right moments to get involved rather than actively pressing the issue with or without the puck, and his work along the boards ranged from average to poor. Also his skating was and still is pretty average but there are plenty of first line centers that aren't speedsters even today. But all his strengths to me indicated a potential playmaking phenom and someone I felt was on track to be a star first line center. (I think because Glass played a more cerebral style of hockey rather than an explosive and exciting McDavid-esque style, Ken at SinBin assumed that meant he wasn't 1c material, which was right about when I first stopped taking his opinions seriously).
Taking last season (and the situation this season) into account, multiple factors need to be considered.
1. He spent far too many of his 39 games in the NHL playing on his off position. For some centers like Malkin, Giroux, etc. this isn't a big deal as they can spend any amount of time on the wing and are naturally disposed for return to center duties as the need arises. Glass' playstyle and frame on entry in the NHL meant he wasn't going to be the guy to make space for himself and his linemates. Playing with Stone and Pacioretty he got the benefit of getting to take faceoffs and have his linemates open up space
for him, which in a situation like that gives him the flexibility to organically learn on his own how to play the position in a much faster and bigger NHL. Having to play wing on a line with horrendous puck possession players like Eakin and guys with no finish like Nosek and the snakebitten version of Tuch he had to play with meant that Glass wasn't getting gametime faceoff conditioning, wasn't playing with guys who could hone his playmaking ability to an NHL star's level, and had to spend far too much time trying to get the puck back from bottom 6 grinders who largely played grinder style hockey. No amount of bulking up would ever make Cody a grinder. It's just not in his game. And wasting away playing that style of hockey when he should've been learning how to play an offensive star's brand of playmaking either in our top 6 or on the first line in Chicago was a terrible deployment decision. At the very least Eakin could've been moved to the fourth line C spot and let Cody ply his development at his natural position but they wouldn't even do that out of some clearly outdated sense of loyalty to Eakin whose confidence and play seemed destroyed by the Game 7 major penalty call.
2. Everything listed above along with the injuries he suffered as a likely direct result from having to muck it up against bigger grinders by the necessity of Eakin's constant turnovers probably significantly harmed his confidence. On his return there were parts of his game I liked but many I didn't. He was constantly getting the puck tied up between his feet, he seemed hesitant to go to open areas or engage in chasing 50/50 pucks and even seemed to be second guessing passing opportunities he'd normally attempt to execute. I mean this can just as much be a consequence of not having played a single game in about a year but yanking him for two consecutive games hot off his first goal of the year and not having a regular spot for a fourth line grinder's sake probably isn't doing any favors for what could be a shaken confidence.
3. This factor really can't be considered a direct and negligent failure of development so much as it is an unfortunate consequence of our coaching. But the little time Glass got to be play with real talent last year was on the powerplay. And then, continuing into now, Vegas' powerplay has been abysmal, especially with Glass out. But even with him in, the puck movement style and the lack of movement from the players without the puck has led to a powerplay that, for the most part, has to operate on kicking the puck back to the point for outside shots. Which means, all Cody has been and is getting out of it is a bit of practice passing the puck with one less defending player on the ice. He's not being asked to generate creative playmaking solutions to a penalty kill defense because there's nothing creative about VGK's PP approach. So there was and is nothing really growing Glass' innate talents on the rare occasions he gets to play with our team's more talented players.
Take that all together and considering the kid will be 22 in April, and players usually see their prime years between 23 and 27, I think Glass' development since joining the VGK roster has been bungled too significantly for him to reach his absolute ceiling. I think at this point, if the team pulls its head out of its ass and starts developing him correctly, I think the best we can hope for is a Monahan level 1c. Not elite, may put up 70-75 points with the right goal support from his wingers, but just a middling 1c talent at best. (Ironically enough, I see this as Krebs' absolute ceiling and that's if everything goes right. Cody's experience makes me doubt it will
I think more realistically though, with the way things are going and seeing what this team's priorities are, I think it's more likely Cody ends up a 40-55 point second line center. The longer the team drags their feet on this Kolesar bullshit, the shorter his sample of games in an already shortened season will be. I mean, maybe if Cody hires some premium dev coaches in the offseason he can get to his ceiling on his own, but that's a big maybe.
So
TL;DR: Absolute ceiling 80-85 point star 1c. Best case scenario is 65-75 point middle tier 1c. Likely result: 40-55 point 2c.