Hard to really agree that Heinolas was better than Stanley all season when all Stanley’s stats are slightly better than Heinolas.
Sample sizes and context. Stanley is three years further ahead in his career, which is a whole lot for a D prospect, has played far more and far more consistently and even then they were in pretty different situations -- Heinola came in, started slowly and then was sent down as he began to settle in. Then he lived for a while in the press box, slotted in for a Moose game or two, returned to the press box, came back in after not playing for an extended period, settled in, had a rough game and was then sent down as he began to assert himself more offensively and defensively.
Stanley started the year on the third pairing, moved up and was awful, had some strong games and some truly terrible ones, was injured (or not) to give him time to get his game back together and never really did. He played more, and more consistently, and the org has done everything it could to give him favourable minutes and pairings.
To point to "slightly better" numbers for Stanley, who has had the better part of two full seasons to make his case, including last year where he played in an incredibly sheltered role, with virtually no dangerous game states play, kind of emphasizes the point some have been making. I'd argue that we know what we have in him -- the question then becomes whether what we have in is is something that benefits the team going forward over, say, Samberg or even Kovacevic.
It would be interesting to compare the two in a world where Heinola had Stanley's consistent minutes, steady workload and heavy sheltering. My bet is that he would have significantly outperformed him, but who knows?
To my eyes, Heinola is smarter, better positionally, more efficient in retrieval and boxing out, has a sharper first pass, is more aggressive in the O zone, can run the line on the PP or in the zone, and is far more mobile.
Stanley is obviously stronger, can use his size (but often doesn't), has a sneaky release and deceptively good passing ability, will pull the Beaulieu and fight. He is far more prone to gaffes and IMO has much less upside -- he's now D+6, and a lot closer to his prime years.
It's the
Who knows? that is the problem with the Jets' young D situation. We played a succession of plugs over prospects for years, and now some of those prospects are ageing out and have waiver concerns. This org has been reluctant to integrate young defensive talent early and while I understand some of the reasons, there are clear costs IMO.