StefanW
Registered User
On goaltending regression in back to back games, a few factors to remember:
1) Not all goaltenders regress equally in back to back situations. Big variance here (e.g. Rask is great in B2B situations).
2) It is not a given that you increase your chances by playing different goalies. Even when you take the level of regression in one goalie into account, he still may be a better option than your backup. E.g. if you have a starter who is stopping about 92.5% of puck, and you know from past experience that he drops to 91.5% in the second half of B2B games, he is still a better option than a backup that only stops about 91% of shots in any game he plays.
3) Some goalies just seem to play better against certain buildings and against certain teams. You'll never get a sample size big enough to really show there is something to it, but this does influence coaching decisions.
1) Not all goaltenders regress equally in back to back situations. Big variance here (e.g. Rask is great in B2B situations).
2) It is not a given that you increase your chances by playing different goalies. Even when you take the level of regression in one goalie into account, he still may be a better option than your backup. E.g. if you have a starter who is stopping about 92.5% of puck, and you know from past experience that he drops to 91.5% in the second half of B2B games, he is still a better option than a backup that only stops about 91% of shots in any game he plays.
3) Some goalies just seem to play better against certain buildings and against certain teams. You'll never get a sample size big enough to really show there is something to it, but this does influence coaching decisions.