Speculation: Early predictions: contracts for UFAs and RFAs next year

Discussion in 'Montreal Canadiens' started by Harpo, Oct 18, 2018.

  1. Harpo

    Harpo Lyle forever

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    Some players need a new contract next year. It's still early in the year, so I thought it might be fun to predict what will happen with our UFAs and RFAs will get on their next contract.

    Up for renewal:

    UFA:
    Plekanec
    Benn
    Niemi

    RFA:
    Armia
    Scherbak
    Lehkonen
    Hudon
    Reilly
    Ouellet

    Without much thoughts or research, my predictions:

    UFA:
    Plekanec: Traded at the deadline. Won't come back
    Benn: Not re-signed
    Niemi: Not-resigned

    RFA:
    Armia: One year contract, 2,8 milllions.
    Scherbak: Already traded or lost to waivers.
    Lehkonen: Re-signed 5 years, 3,6 millions AAV.
    Hudon: Re-signed 3 years, 2,2 millions AAV
    Reilly: Re-signed 3 years, 3,5 millions AAV.
    Ouellet: One year contract, 1,2 milllion.
     
  2. Toene

    Toene "Che" Weber

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    Id look to trade Ouellet tbh. He's okayish as a bottom pair guy buy not really worth a one-way contract imo with our glut of NHL tweeners and the Alzner question... a youngster or one of the Czech dmen can do his job.
     
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  3. Harpo

    Harpo Lyle forever

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    I would too, but that's what I think will happen.
     
  4. sandviper

    sandviper No Ragrets

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    UFA:
    Plekanec: Not re-signed
    Benn: Not re-signed
    Niemi: Not-resigned

    I see us being stubborn all season and I fear we may even be buyers at the TDL.

    RFA:
    Armia: One year contract, 2,8 milllions.
    Scherbak: TRADED!
    Lehkonen: Re-signed 5 years, 3,6 millions AAV.
    Hudon: Re-signed 3 years, 2,2 millions AAV
    Reilly: Re-signed 3 years, 3,5 millions AAV.
    Ouellet: Not re-signed

    Dollar-wise, I am with @Harpo. I do see Scherbak gone though, IF we are buyers like I said earlier. Even if we end up being sellers, I don’t think he is going to crack the roster. Ouellet I don’t see sticking around.​
     
  5. MarkovsKnee

    MarkovsKnee Global Moderator

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    Only Niemi has a chance at coming back on a one year contract. That'll depend on how he plays this year and if they believe Lindgren can back up.

    Scherbak will be gone. Poehling might just step into the NHL next year. There's barely room for Scherbak now.

    Armia, Lehkonen and Reilly are the only sure things.

    50/50 that they retain Hudon and Ouellet.
     
  6. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    way too early to say, as the season goes on we'll see what happens to the team.

    UFA:

    Plekanec - retired
    Benn - traded or walks
    Niemi - gone
    Agostino - gone

    RFA:
    Armia - resigned
    Scherbak - traded
    Lehkonen - resigned
    Hudon - resigned maybe traded
    Reilly - resigned
    Ouellet - maybe gone
    McCarron - early yet but re-signed if he keeps it up
    Audette- gone
    Shinkaruk - gone
    Kulak - resigned
    Olofsson - resigned maybe depending on injuries
    Lernout - resigned most likely
     
  7. HabsWhiteKnightLOL

    HabsWhiteKnightLOL Registered User

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    I dont see why Lekohen deserves close to 4m and Armia 3m lmao awful signs
     
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  8. Legend123

    Legend123 Registered User

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    We need our contracts tho when the draft is over and or to ink some recently drafted youngsters like Poehling.
     
  9. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    I'm sure we'll look at a few undrafted UFA's as we should have a good amount of room and that's if we don't trade a few players later this year. Here's who's under contract,

    G - Price, Lindgren, McNiven (3)

    D - Weber, Petry, Juulsen, Mete, Alzner, Brook, Fleury, Sklenicka, Moravcik, Schlemko (10)

    F - Drouin, Tatar, Shaw, Gallagher, Domi, Danault, Peca, DLO, Kotka, Byron, Evans, Suzuki, Vejdemo, Verbeek, Waked, Alain, Teasdale, Pezzetta, Chaput (19)

    So that's 32 contracts. Then,

    UFA - Agostino, Benn, Niemi, Froese (say all are gone)

    RFA - Armia, Lehkonen, Scherbak, Hudon, McCarron, Reilly, Ouellet, Audette, Shinkaruk, Kulak, Olofsson (defense), Lernout. (now say 7 of them are back, Armia, Lek, Hudon, McCarron, Reilly, Kulak, Ouellet)

    So that would be 39 contracts.

    Needing contracts,

    Tyszka, Walford, Koberstein, so that would be 1 or 2 contract spots, I'll guess 2. So we would be at 41. We'll need another goalie, maybe Harvey from the Q who was at our development camp, a few defensemen. That would put us around 44/45.
     
  10. Legend123

    Legend123 Registered User

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    Plus for next years draft prospects
     
  11. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    if they are CHLers and don't make the NHL their contracts won't count against the 50 limit. So only Euro picks would count.
     
  12. dcal64

    dcal64 Registered User

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    Even if you don't re-sign Agostino and Froese, you will need to sign AHL vets to replace them, and all the good AHL vets will demand a 2-way NHL deal, you also forgot Poehling.
     
  13. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    yes and they will have around 39 contracts but if this team struggles as the season goes on who's to say if they don't trade a few players. Petry, Schlemko, Shaw, etc.. We should have decent enough room. For Laval they should be looking at,

    Evans, Alain, Chaput, Vejdemo, Pezzetta, Verbeek, Waked, Teasdale, maybe one or two guys on AHL contracts (Belzile, Martineau types). Then there's Poehling, Suzuki who would be there. So that would be 10 forwards, they will need 2 or 3 plus an AHL contract or two or three.

    On defense with Kulak (assuming he's resigned), Fleury, Brook, Tyszka, Sklenicka, Moracvik, plus if they sign Walford. There's Larmarche, Lernout as maybe they want to bring one back. Clearly spots on the blueline will be tight.
     
  14. Legend123

    Legend123 Registered User

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    but ur disregarding the chances of drafting in the top 10, and even winning the lottery (which is obviously possible as long as we dont make the playoffs), and drafting a CHL NHL-ready. It doesnt matter how low the chances when and if it happens.
    So yeah really no space to hand out freebies to overagers. Sign them ONLY if they deserve it.
     
  15. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    That's still just 1 spot, we should have a good bit of room, if we really struggle that badly then hopefully MB trades a few guys. We are at 45 this year and have never hit the 50 mark so I wouldn't worry about the draft.
     
  16. Legend123

    Legend123 Registered User

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    kk but tbh I would rather prioritize a player like Schuldt than Hancock.
     
  17. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    i wouldn't sign either. We need a goalie for sure, maybe two unless they bring Niemi back but I would be surprised. Depending on trades, the blueline spots will be tight. At forward we'll likely need a few players.

    On defense it's going to be tight to find ice time for Brook, Fleury, Sklenicka, etc... in Laval. Now maybe they could sign Tyszka and send him back to the dub as an overager and maybe they sign Walford and put him in the ECHL, but you want to make sure you have a good team in Laval but also have the quality ice for top guys like Brook, Fleury.

    I could see us being around 48 or so contracts when all is said and done next year. 45 is low but you don't want to be at 49 or 50 and end up giving away a player like Bitten for free instead of picking a player off waivers that they wanted. But we'll see what happens.
     
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  18. Legend123

    Legend123 Registered User

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    very true but if he Schuldt would want to sign here, why would we say no, I mean he can turn into a gem (small odds but still). Hes been great in college hockey, a much superior league than the OHL. Imo it would be worth signing him, playing him in the A and if he has a good year, keep him within the team. Otherwise, just get rid of him easily.
     
  19. montreal

    montreal Go Habs Go

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    they would need to weight the options, make sure they have enough ice for Brook, Fleury and others. As long as they thought it would work and didn't have better options then by all means sign him as I could see Poehling in Laval next year so it would be good for him to have a teammate with him although I'd still prefer that teammate to be Jackson as long as he picks up the scoring. He's been Poehling's LW for the past 2 years, they always play together, he's got a lethal release on his wrist shot but he's undersized.
     
  20. Habs10025

    Habs10025 Registered User

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    Montreal have 5 players that are restricted after this season . Armia , Lehkonen , Hudon , Reilly , Kulak .

    Question is who will they resign because each player need to receive qualifying offers from the team or they become unrestricted.

    Armia
    Currently - 1 850 000 per due 100 % increase ( 3.7 00 000 per )

    Lehkonen
    Currently - 839 166 per due 105 % increase ( 1.720 290 per )

    Hudon
    Currently - 650 000 per due 110 % increase ( 1. 365 000 per )

    Reilly
    Currently - 725 000 per due 105 % increase ( 1.486 250 per )

    Kulak
    Currently - 900 000 per due 105 % increase ( 1.845 000 per )
     
    Last edited: Feb 23, 2019
  21. LyricalLyricist

    LyricalLyricist Registered User

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    Why do you say they’re due a 100% increase?

    Is that your estimation of what they’ll get or do you think that’s their QO?
     
  22. Binary Code

    Binary Code How do I change that

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    I don’t think we QO Hudon
     
  23. Deebs

    Deebs Best Dog Ever

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    Pass on Hudon, try and sign the rest
     
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  24. Runner77

    Runner77 **********************************************

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    Depending on next summer's moves, do you still see both Reilly and Kulak as part of the roster next year?

    Yeah, Hudon is done.
     
  25. MarkovsKnee

    MarkovsKnee Global Moderator

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    I wouldn't even bother qualifying Hudon.

    Armia isn't getting $3,7m. That's absurb. He will get a raise though probaby $2,25m. Maybe $2,5m.

    Kulak $1m

    Lehkonen $1,125m

    Reilly $1,35m
     

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