GDT: Draft Lottery: Habs Picking Top-3 (Wish for Very Few Whistles in Sharks/Knights Game)

[sergejean]

Well...that sucks

 

[Kairi Zaide]

Happy with the outcome. #3 is an improvement over #4 (since I see it as Dahlin > Svech >= Zadina > a group of 4-5 players FOR NOW, things will obviously be different a couple years down the road as usual with any draft).

 

[buddahsmoka1]

Do you play poker, Texas Hold em? If you do, you'll know that having the better hand before the final card, or in this case the final 2 cards come.

What would you rather be facing the turn, and the river with, a pair of Aces vs. a pair of Kings or a pair of Kings versus a pair of Aces? When it comes to this final section, we're holding the Aces, compared to Carolina holding the kings. Buffalo has 3 of a kind.

There's always a chance someone gets lucky (ex. Carolina here), but if you look at it, the team with the best odds and the team with the 4th best odds (although our odds were almost the same as Ottawa and Phoenix's) made the final 3. So odds do matter.

Odds matter when the differences are large and when the event gets repeated over a significant number of times.

They are largely irrelevant when it's a one off event and the margin is small.

Odds are based on normal distributions. They are comprised of saying 'if you do this a 1000+ times,' this is what the distribution will look like.

The draft lottery isn't like this. It would matter if you had a 90%+ chance of winning for example. But we don't. 60 vs 30 in a one off event is largely irrelevant.

 

[googlymoogly]

But we will take him just watch

 

[greyboy67]

Anybody else disappointed? (Yuk.)

 

[1909]

Zvechnikov would had been a good consolation prize... Zadina, not so much.

 

[HabsWhiteKnightLOL]

W

All things considered, Buffalo deserved this.

Why did they deserve this they picked 8-8-12-12-2-2 last 6 years and got RoR for free and still sucks

 

[donghabs98]

They really couldn't have just done that during the first intermission or all at once?

 

[Peanut]

I just hope were not dumb and trade it away for immediate help

 

[Kimota]

Trade it.

 

[Schwang]

The same was said of the oilers.

 

[Habs76]

Here's to hoping we pick a dman

 

[theghost1]

Carolina will take Zadina to have him play with fellow czech Necas.

 

[NobleSix]

Damnit. Really wanted Svetch at least.

 

[Habs100]

well at least #3 is way batter than 6 or 7.

 

[G0bias]

I'm floored.

 

[MeanMugging91]

Zadina or Boqvist please

 

[Kairi Zaide]

Anybody else disappointed? (Yuk.)

I don't see any reason to be disappointed.

 

[Runner77]

I'm happy for Buffalo. They got screwed over Connor McDavid.

It shouldn't have happened at our expense. Six years of shit management, would have made a huge difference for us. f***.

 

[LastRide]

MB better make some big moves or I won't bother with next year, and save $200 for the ticket.

 

[Kairi Zaide]

Will I have to change my username to Zaidina ???

 

[Jabba11]

No one here has the right to be disappointed. We went from 4th to 3rd. The 1st overall pick was never ours. It's time to embrace Filip Zadina joining our team guys!!!!

FILIP ZADINA on the RW!

 

[G0bias]

well at least #3 is way batter than 6 or 7.

It isn't. 3-7 are equivalent.

 

[HabsWhiteKnightLOL]

Im really happy we are picking top 3

but man i wanted #2 so bad..

 

[Team_Spirit]

Another Galchy or better hopefully oh well