GDT: Draft Lottery: Habs Picking Top-3 (Wish for Very Few Whistles in Sharks/Knights Game)

[OldCraig71]

You all know we are taking Tkachuk right, I think Bergevin played with his father.

 

[Cobra Commander]

Garbage, not excited at all for next season.

 

[MarkovsKnee]

Well that sucked. Was sure we got #2.

#3 is a little more open. I mean Zadina is the consensus but......

 

[sergejean]

We just can't win.... possibly the worst pick we could get.

 

[1909]

well at least #3 is way batter than 6 or 7.

Not really.

After the first two, guys ranked between #3 and #9 have about the same value. Hopefully, Habs gonna pick the best of them.

 

[Frank Drebin]

We just can't win.... possibly the worst pick we could get.

Worse than 4th? Or 7th?

 

[nhlfan9191]

well at least #3 is way batter than 6 or 7.

Not really. It’s better but not by much. And Bergevin and his crew can mess it up since the players after the top 2 are so close.

 

[Frenchy]

Anybody else disappointed? (Yuk.)

it is , it's very disappointing because we were hoping to draft first OV , but at 3 we'll get a good player.

 

[TT1]

Well Svechnikov could drop to #3..

 

[sampollock]

Agreed

 

[Cobra Commander]

Trade down and pick a CENTER, or trade the pick for one. Zadina is not what we need.

 

[Redux91]

Man, i guess im bummbed because instead of wahlstrom we'll be getting zadina, but its not the worst thing in the world..

what a waste of waiting lol i just cant believe he revealed our logo 3rd..

 

[Belial]

Anticlimactic af!!!!!!!!!

 

[paddy]

It won't get any better. I'm pretty sure they'll pick Tkachuk at 3. It's not even a sarcastic comment, unfortunately.

 

[NobleSix]

Habs better draft Zadina because if I hear "from Boston University" leave Timmin's f***in' lips at the podium there will be hell to pay.

 

[Shabs]

I was so sure we were going to win. But we beat the odds to move up instead of down. I am afraid that bozovin will trade 3rd OA to the flames for Bennett+.

 

[Runner77]

Will I have to change my username to Zaidina ???

Too soon.

 

[Habs100]

Odds matter when the differences are large and when the event gets repeated over a significant number of times.

They are largely irrelevant when it's a one off event and the margin is small.

Odds are based on normal distributions. They are comprised of saying 'if you do this a 1000+ times,' this is what the distribution will look like.

The draft lottery isn't like this. It would matter if you had a 90%+ chance of winning for example. But we don't. 60 vs 30 in a one off event is largely irrelevant.

Well we had an 80% chance of drafting top 2 coming in. I'd consider that pretty significant. But just like in poker, sometimes the crappy hand gets lucky and wins.

By the way, the odds aren't based on normal distributions or simulations. They're based on probability. You count every possible scenario that can occur and then divide all the scenarios that have Montreal winning by that number to get our odds of winning.

 

[CristianoRonaldo]

Should trade down and take Wahlstrom.

 

[Frenchy]

Will I have to change my username to Zaidina ???

nope

 

[greyboy67]

Honestly, I would think about trading #3 to the Islanders for #11 and #12. Zadina doesn't look like a sure thing to me.

 

[bsl]

Worst possible result in top 3. Tcacuk still a risk. And if Carolina had won Habs could have traded for hanifin.

f***. f***. Will Habs ever pick no one?

 

[Hannibal]

It's funny to read the Tkachuk hate on this board.

Haters gonna hate.

 

[1909]

We should all know by now waht is a LOTTERY.

No need to cry over that result.

 

[Frenchy]

Im really happy we are picking top 3

but man i wanted #2 so bad..

#2 ? I wanted number 1