Master_Of_Districts
Registered User
They don't, and that is why it's flawed. It's the entire reason the Leafs look terrible in advanced statistics... they treat low quality shots as equal to high quality shots and with the Leafs system, they allow a lot of low quality shots against and generate most of their offence off the rush which means low quantity, but high quality of shots for them.
Differential shot quality may have some explanatory role, but the impact is less than you think.
For example, shot distance is, far and away, the most important component of shot quality.
In 2012-13, the average shot the Leafs took at even strength was taken from a distance of 35.6. Conversely, the average shot they conceded at even strength was taken from a distance of 37 feet.
So - in support of your point - it appears that the Leafs did, in fact, take higher quality shots than their opponents during even strength play last season. But the difference is quite small - only about 1.4 feet.