My point was that I don’t think the numbers will come down until spring. I don’t think it will grow exponentially but even with all these strict measures I think we hum along at these case numbers all winter. If a business gets shut down now my guess is it stays shut down all winter unless the goal posts get moved.
World numbers are already down, and have been for around 3-4weeks. World infection numbers peaked, now a decline. Last 20 days 15 of the case counts were way down from a mark established 3 weeks ago. Only 5 matched it. This is a trend I have been pointing out for awhile. First noted that numbers had seemingly peaked 2 weeks ago.
As I mentioned only the US numbers are holding this up. Without near 200K infections/day comign from the US alone people would be seeing drastic, instead or marginal worldwide decrease in daily case numbers.
In any wave of Covid-19 thus far, almost any area (except US) Covid rages, then slows down. Thats the pattern it has shown almost everywhere. The waves generally last 2mths.
So there isn't exponential increase globally, there isn't currently increase in daily numbers at all. Not only was there plateau, now numbers declining.
This isn't going to last in great numbers all winter just from what I've seen. Unless Canada somehow fails as badly at this as the US has. But EVEN in the pandemic gongshow US the numbers were decling the last week. But now Thanksgiving, then black friday..
US is the worst nation for this. A country that has a unique and almost constantly contentious view of liberty, a country where people will do whatever regardless, and where people typically downplay problems of any kind. I don't think theres a place on Earth that believes more in mans dominion over nature, and thus does not believe that we are at the mercy of forces greater than our own. The US is really founded on denial. Overall an odd country.
All that meant to depict that the look of the pandemic curve in NA is different than almost anywhere else where most countries are getting over this wave and hitting vastly declining numbers.