Cole Caufield: Is this the year?

[Lafleurs Guy]

Sniper goes hot and cold like goaltenders, it happens to nearly everyone of them. They're needed so your option are to wish or to pray. You need a great collection, build competition within and try to play your hotter hands above your colder hands.

its the Stephane Richer law.

But when a sniper goes cold, he’s not usually putting up 300 shots a year. Usually the play falls off with the goals.

If you get 300 shots, 30 goals is almost a certainty. Usually you’ll get 40+. A 7 percent season is unheard of with that many shots.

To put it in perspective, he already has slightly more shots than Richer did in both his 50 goal seasons.

Look at Richer’s seasons

263 shots: 50 goals
214 shots: 25 goals
269 shots: 51 goals
221 shots: 31 goals

The shots drop off a fair bit in this non 50 goal years. Here you’ve got a guy who’s already exceeded the shot totals of all those seasons and sitting at 21 goals.

For comparison:

Caufield has 275 shots and 21 goals.

 

[rik schau]

OT goals by default mean an auto W and a GWG , they are actually worth something
You make it sound like they are worthless empty net goals...?

Yes I am fully aware of what OT goals mean but that is not what I was eluding to. OT hockey in the regular season is not real hockey and stats from OT pad stats,but after checking,not all that much.
He now has 2 goals in his last 20 for a total of 21,if you take away his 3 OT goals that a total of 18 on the season. For 7.8 mill a season,that total needs be much higher. 20-30 goal scorers are not rare and can be had for less. Take away his OT points and he's sitting at 51 on the season.

Not something I recommend,but the main boards is suggesting Reinhart will resign with Florida at not more than 8.5.

 

[Tabarouette]

LG in this thread vs LG in the suzuki thread

 

[Ozmodiar]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

LG in this thread vs LG in the suzuki thread

View attachment 845418

Hey, I gave Suzuki props. I didn’t think he’d step up but he has. I underestimated him.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

Thanks for coming out Stu.

 

[Tabarouette]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

There's 40 different things that you can point at to try and explain Caufield's problems, and Stu picks the one that is demonstrably wrong

 

[Beer and Chips]

The answer is no. Can we close this and start a new thread next season?

 

[Fatbiggie]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

That's some serious analysis

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

The answer is no. Can we close this and start a new thread next season?

Indeed we will. But not yet.

He has 7 games to score more 28 goals. I think he can get there. It’s only 4 per game.

 

[Tyson]

That's some serious analysis

Sometimes it's that simple

 

[rik schau]

The answer is no. Can we close this and start a new thread next season?

Would have been wiser to give him a bridge contract.

 

[Heffyhoof]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

Better that he write out the entirety of his insights on X's platform with its limits than subject readers to paragraph after paragraph of meaningless fluff.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

Would have been wiser to give him a bridge contract.

Absolutely not. The guy had 48 in 82 coming into this season and will have 300 shots on net this year. I get that it’s a disappointing season but a 7 percent couldn’t have been predicted as is highly unlikely to be repeated.

That should be a steal of a contract. Moreover, he and Suzuki signing team friendly deals will help us sign more of these kinds of contracts in the future.

 

[Tyson]

Absolutely not. The guy had 48 in 82 coming into this season and will have 300 shots on net this year. I get that it’s a disappointing season but a 7 percent couldn’t have been predicted as is highly unlikely to be repeated.

That should be a steal of a contract. Moreover, he and Suzuki signing team friendly deals will help us sign more of these kinds of contracts in the future.

Soon Cole Caufield's contract will become a bargain.

 

[Ozmodiar]

Better that he write out the entirety of his insights on X's platform with its limits than subject readers to paragraph after paragraph of meaningless fluff.

Very true!

 

[admiralcadillac]

I do think he's a better player this year... ironically.

 

[GoodKiwi]

Absolutely not. The guy had 48 in 82 coming into this season and will have 300 shots on net this year. I get that it’s a disappointing season but a 7 percent couldn’t have been predicted as is highly unlikely to be repeated.

That should be a steal of a contract. Moreover, he and Suzuki signing team friendly deals will help us sign more of these kinds of contracts in the future.

You should change your nickname to "48in82" already. I get it, "PricerStopDaPuck" wasn't available earlier, but it's your time now.

 

[The Real Timo]

some in depth analysis for all to enjoy.

I spent all these years wondering why people don’t score. There it is. They miss the net. f***… brilliant!!!

Soon Cole Caufield's contract will become a bargain.

I think as soon as game one of 2024-25 season.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

You should change your nickname to "48in82" already. I get it, "PricerStopDaPuck" wasn't available earlier, but it's your time now.

Yeah, people said looney things on Price as well. A HOF goalie - maybe the best the league has seen since Roy/Brodeur and people shat on him if he had a bad game. The idea that we should’ve bridged CC is nuts. Might as well just say we should’ve traded Price instead of Halak.

Players get injured and shit happens but you make the decisions based on past performance. No reason to doubt a player with that kind of scoring history. Barring health issues that contract will be a steal.

 

[The Real Timo]

Yeah, people said looney things on Price as well. A HOF goalie - maybe the best the league has seen since Roy/Brodeur and people shat on him if he had a bad game. The idea that we should’ve bridged CC is nuts. Might as well just say we should’ve traded Price instead of Halak.

Players get injured and shit happens but you make the decisions based on past performance. No reason to doubt a player with that kind of scoring history. Barring health issues that contract will be a steal.

Halak > Price!!!

I loved that debate.

 

[Kimota]

Last year he was an important piece of our future and now he's "if we can pass him in a trade"....

 

[Habs]

Last year he was an important piece of our future and now he's "if we can pass him in a trade"....

Important pieces can be used to improve the team though.

 

[Kimota]

Important pieces can be used to improve the team though.

Yea if we can trade him with other guys to get someone better, we should do it.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

Yea if we can trade him with other guys to get someone better, we should do it.

That’s true of any player.

But don’t be surprised if you trade him that he scores 50 goals somewhere else.