The Canucks only needed one more win to be Stanley Cup champions, and they had two opportunities at it. That's pretty darn close. I can't imagine him feeling more confident about winning the Stanley Cup at any point in the Finals last year than he would have at the end of Game 5 in Vancouver. The Kings led last year's series 3-0 going into Game 4, and were shut out 3-0 in Game 3. They only made it to 5 games.
There's no way to interpret the Rangers as ever having been closer to the Cup than Vancouver was in 2011. The Cup was in TD Garden in Game 6 just in case the Canucks won that game...
Of course they needed only one more win.
I never thought they'd get that win unless Luongo was lights out because there was no other way the team was going to win. They were too beat up. And given I sat in TD garden during game 3 watching that Luongo performance which reminded me sooooo much of several other performances of his (simply giving up, no fight) I didn't have a lot of confidence that they could get that win. I'm sure if you had an honest discussion with the players and coaching staff about it now they'd tell you something similar (without throwing Luongo under the bus).
But seeing as this seems to be misinterpreted...I was providing reasoning as to why AV could very well think that outside of a "i coach this team now" reason. I wasn't trying to say that I personally thought the Rangers had a hope. I didn't. They were, IMO, lucky to even get to the final. I admit my wording in the first post was ambiguous at best.