MS
1%er
It should affect your projections, you just don't want to make the mistake of overlooking pedigree and the entire body of evidence.
It's no secret that the players that typically fall out of favour the most are usually the guys that suffer injuries or are the ones making big leaps up in competition. Do both of those things in the same year and you will get a compounding affect. Unsurprisingly, the 3 guys that have fallen the most are the 3 guys that suffered injuries, while also making a big jump in competition in Juolevi, Gadjovich and Lind.
Nothing wrong with questioning these guys. Just don't be surprised if things look drastically different next season if they are healthy.
What’s actually no secret is that prospects who can’t skate generally crash and burn when transitioning to the AHL. See Cole Cassels and Dane Fox. And so it really shouldn’t be surprising that those three guys with major skating issues nosedived.
What’s also no secret is that after guys crash and burn as rookie pros, almost none of them ever recover.