1) Why does NJ really care if he's NHL ready or not? I mean as long as Hall is convinced to stay long term I don't mind Jack spending a year getting stronger and not burning it off his ELC. It's not like we're going to be contending for a cup next year unless we make a huge FA splash.
This is totally true. Even if Kakko is bit better induvidual, than Hughes, if Devils convince Hall to stay and they have dynamic duo its way better than bit better induvidual. And also what I understanded there is other ties which makes propably Hughes great choose for NJD.
2) A lack of NHL readiness doesn't mean he won't go 1OA as he's still a far better talent than Kakko.
I think that at this point Kakko is better talent. But in my point of view I havent ever seen junior dominant in Fel so much on ice after Rantanen. But even Rantanen is outshined by Kakkos stickhandling and goal scoring ablitity while hockey iq is atleast at same lvl.
Anyway atm we are more speaking of Hughes ceiling and potential. And when that happens thing can be totally different in question who is better. But if he is far better talent than Kakko and if I compare Kakko to Aho, Barkov, Laine, Rantanen, Teräväinen at draft season I think Kakko is beyond all them as full packet. So if Hughes ceiling is even above that we are speaking of franchise if not of generational talent. And atm thats hard to believe. But I rather believe that Hughes will have same kind rapid "growup" like Laine/Kakko has during end of draft season (that they improved almost all aspects of game during 6 months way more than anyone expected.) Kakko after WJC u20 was actually participating on around 50% off all TPS goals. On playoffs that number was around 70%.
But comparing first half of season before u20 kakko had 9+11 points in 27g. And rest regular season 13+5 in 18g. Its pretty huge change in performing in 6 months and bet thats kind rapid growing we be also comming Hughes case.
3) Almost all 1OA picks play in their D+1 so I tend to think Kakko will play. He has a summer to train and bulk up and going into the season after camp and preseason is a lot different than going into a tournament on big ice, with new teammates and no practice/chemistry.
This is totally true. But I think that with those few month + postseason he will find he's spot. He also has small taste of small ice from WJC u20 this year. So we cant compare that to Hughes atm. I think that we would see totally different Hughes in this touranment even with few week practice with team and few practice matches on big ice. Still think that Hughes will shine during this tournament.
Shame IIHF dont have stats of PP PK ice times. Its also one factor which is totally different compare Kakkos stats to Hughes atm. Its totally different to play when you are on PP or play against opponent with empty net. But still Kakko have shown great skills during this tournament at 5vs5 with +8. And being on ice on 11 goals of Finlands 12 goals With participacing game with points 6+1 and 4 times on ice with 2 times 3th pass (critical for game). Thats is impressive performance, but then we can't forget than Hughes and Colefield dynamic duo during u18. Pure talents. Thats also one reason I'm pretty confident that Hughes is bit underperforming and that we really havent seen he's real potentional at current state. And even he woudln't be ready at start of season, he might be already at midseason, so thats not big lose (besides 1 y. of rookie contract) .
Anyway I think that this debate will continue years from now and maybe then we can really make conclusions how things goes. But according showdowns, current info and their succeed during past 2 years I can say that we gonna se for sure atleast 2 new eliteplayers in league. Who is better better player or making more cash or mediasexy are subjects for future.
So when all thing are combined I also thing that J. Hughes is solid #1 pick for NJD, but wouldn't be suprised if NJD choose otherwise.