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Betting on the sens to win the cup this year?

dumbdick

dumbdick

Galactic Defender
May 31, 2008
11,360
3,776
I'm interested in putting some money on the sens to win the Stanley Cup this year.

Before everyone laughs me off, I figure:

1) NHL is a crazy unpredictable league
2) Sens are underrated right now, and the payout probably would never get bigger
3) We've got at least a few potential breakout/comeback players this year (basically our whole team is new or coming off a lousy season)
4) There's at least one team that surprises each year.
5) Most importantly, it will add some enjoyment for my season if I know I've got a few bucks on the line that I'm not afraid to lose.

I know some casinos in Vegas will take bets on the Stanley Cup winner. Are there any legal ways to bet on the Stanley Cup winner in Canada? Anyone have any experience on this? Anyone know where I can find the current odds?

And, for a fun discussion...does anybody else agree with me that the sens have at least have an outside chance of winning the cup this year?
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Jackson12

Registered User
Feb 28, 2008
97
0
Ottawa
I don't see a Cup this year. We did a great job in the draft this year and to be completely honest I would rather Ottawa flop hard and get a top 3 pick (preferably Yakupov) instead of fluctuating all year and not making a strong playoff run.

I think pro line would be your best legal bet.
 
Shanny

Shanny

Let's Win It All
Jun 12, 2009
7,723
10
Bytown
Anderson must win the Vezina
Alfie must play like he's 34 again
Spezza must win the Hart
Filatov must turn into the superstar everyone used to think he could be
The rookies must have the quickest learning curve ever
Karlsson must play Duncan Keithlike

if alll that happens, I'd say we have a good shot this year.
 

Manny*

Guest
As long as it's not a tonne of money, I say go for it.
The pay off would be pretty great, as unlikely as it is. I'm not into the whole tanking thing, and if money on the line gets you more excited about the season, I see nothing wrong with it.
 
dumbdick

dumbdick

Galactic Defender
May 31, 2008
11,360
3,776
Any legal options for doing this? Does Pro-Line take Stanley Cup Winner type bets?
 
Shanny

Shanny

Let's Win It All
Jun 12, 2009
7,723
10
Bytown
Jackson12 said:
I don't see a Cup this year. We did a great job in the draft this year and to be completely honest I would rather Ottawa flop hard and get a top 3 pick (preferably Yakupov) instead of fluctuating all year and not making a strong playoff run.

I think pro line would be your best legal bet.
Click to expand...



I kind of disagree with this logic,

hypothetically speaking, if we squeek in this year.....anything can happen.

In the playoffs....all bets are off; passion and heart(with some good goaltending) trumps logic sometimes.
 
Do Make Say Think

Do Make Say Think

& Yet & Yet
Jun 26, 2007
51,207
9,960
It really depends on the odds. I would do it if they were astronomical and the minimum bet isn't something like 100 dollars.
 
playasRus

playasRus

Registered User
Mar 21, 2009
9,284
2,015
Shanny said:
I kind of disagree with this logic,

hypothetically speaking, if we squeek in this year.....anything can happen.

In the playoffs....all bets are off; passion and heart(with some good goaltending) trumps logic sometimes.
Click to expand...

I'd rather forget about years we played 'meh' than remember years where we bombed and got "Daigled"
 
Lexicon Devil

Lexicon Devil

Registered User
Apr 21, 2002
8,343
0
Kuba Troopa said:
Odds on the sens winning the cup are 66 to 1. $50 bet pays $3300.
Click to expand...

I don't know where you got those odds, but that is truly a terrible line. They are a major underdog to even make the playoffs, and then a huge underdog if they do. The chances of the Sens winning the Cup this year are somewhere between 200-to-1 and 500-to-1, IMO.
 
CanadianHockey

CanadianHockey

Smith - Alfie
Jul 3, 2009
30,584
558
Petawawa
twitter.com
Shanny said:
I kind of disagree with this logic,

hypothetically speaking, if we squeek in this year.....anything can happen.

In the playoffs....all bets are off; passion and heart(with some good goaltending) trumps logic sometimes.
Click to expand...

I disagree with this. There is a correlation between regular season standing and playoff success; low seeds are lucky to make it out of the 2nd round, let alone win the Cup.
 
VermetteFan

VermetteFan

Registered User
Aug 15, 2007
596
1
Ottawa, Ontario
Apparently the sens are the least likely team to win the cup next year according to the odds makers. LOL
From oddsmaker.com:
ueIKS.png
 
Shanny

Shanny

Let's Win It All
Jun 12, 2009
7,723
10
Bytown
Lexicon Devil said:
I don't know where you got those odds, but that is truly a terrible line. They are a major underdog to even make the playoffs, and then a huge underdog if they do. The chances of the Sens winning the Cup this year are somewhere between 200-to-1 and 500-to-1, IMO.
Click to expand...

han+solo.jpg
 

Son of bodacious

Registered User
Apr 17, 2006
454
0
Keep in mind a couple of things on sports odds

First - Odds are understated so that the house doesn't lose - so if the odds range from 65:1 to 100:1 then the actual odds would be much higher.

Second - If all teams were equal, the odds to win the cup would be 29:1. So a rebuilding team would rightly command several multiples higher.

Third and most important, the odds don't actually reflect the odds of winning - they reflect the projected amount of money by betters. The goal being to evenly distribute the bets across all teams which will guarantee a profit margin for the house. Popular teams like Detroit attract more bettors and drive the odds for that team lower than normal. The reverse is true for unpopular teams.
 
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