Locks among active or recently activish players (played within last 1.5 years):
Bergeron
Chara
Thornton
Karlsson
Marleau (yeah, he will make it)
Kopitar
Doughty
Kane
Keith
Crosby
Malkin
Fleury
Ovechkin
Stamkos
Hedman
Josi
Weber
McDavid
Weird cases, probably closer to locks, Quick is a bit weaker:
Toews
Price
Quick
Almost locks, need just a couple of good or one more great season (for Perry and Giordano relative to their current limited roles):
Burns
Perry
Kucherov
Vasilevskiy
Giordano
Big ol’ names, nice stats, no personal hardware. Somewhat strong outside chance:
Tavares
Giroux
Backstrom
Letang
Pietrangelo
Big ol’ names, nice stats, no personal hardware. Somewhat weak outside chance:
Getzlaf
Suter
Wheeler
Staal
Trending there, but need more than a couple of good seasons. Top-5 is projecting to be soon to be almost locks:
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Matthews
Makar
Barkov
Marchand
Gaudreau