A look back at Sidney Crosby's defense over the past decade

Midnight Judges

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Feb 10, 2010
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This is the end of a decade so it's a good time to look back at defensive statistics over that span. Much has been made of points for this decade, but obviously goals against are also important, especially in terms of evaluating if a player has an elite defensive impact.

This is a comparison of goals against with Sidney Crosby on the ice vs elite defensive players. I threw in Ovechkin for reference:

09/10 through 18/19 Regular Season
CrosbyBergeronOvechkinToewsKopitarDatsyuk
EV GA481379548470493240
EV TOI10717102511221811276123508438
Total EV GA/602.6932.2182.6912.5012.3951.707
PPSHGA532451313116
PP TOI261019333271219824051343
Total1.2180.7450.9350.8460.7730.715
EV+PP GA534403599501524256
EV+PP TOI13327121841548913474147559781
EV+PPGA/602.4041.9852.3202.2312.1311.570
PK TOI29514172111561493295
PK TOI/GP27 seconds1:572 seconds1:351:5741 seconds
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
"PPSHGA" = power play short handed goals against.

And playoffs:

09/10 through 18/19 Playoffs
PlayerCrosbyBergeronOvechkinToewsKopitarDatsyuk
EV GA985876703627
EV TOI19121789176819001293931
Total EV GA/603.0751.9452.5792.2111.6711.740
PPSHGA843213
PP TOI483320463326268203
Total0.9940.7500.3890.3680.2240.887
EV+PP GA1066279723730
EV+PP TOI239521092231222615611134
EV+PPGA/602.6561.7642.1251.9411.4221.587
PK TOI24.5 Minutes2254:2419716256
PK TOI/GP13 Seconds1:542 seconds1:472:030:57
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
The stat that jumps out here is Pavel Datsyuk's EV GA/60. It is positively miniscule! Easy to understand why he was a Selke favorite. He's a true shutdown forward, and these weren't even his best seasons!

Patrice Bergeron is also a standout here, preventing goals against in all situations and taking heavy penalty killing duties.

Same goes for Kopitar, and especially in the postseason, he has played as a true shutdown C.
 

Trade

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Why is Ovi included in the chart? He’s a few good tiers below the others listed.
 

Jacob

as seen on TV
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81j3Gva27yL._SL1500_.jpg
 

Hockey Outsider

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But do the numbers lie?

I've spot-checked many (but not all) of the numbers, and it looks like what he's posted is accurate.

Some important context is missing though - what type of goaltending were these players in front of? Crosby's playoff numbers aren't very good (in terms of goals against per minute), but Marc Andre Fleury was awful four years in a row (posting numbers that would have been respectable in the 1980's). Bergeron has never played in front of goaltending that stopped fewer than 90.5% of their shots in any playoff run in the 2010's.

(That being said - there's no question that Bergeron is a better defensive player than Crosby. But I think the gap between them is smaller than the numbers suggest, because we're comparing Thomas and Rask to some truly awful years from Fleury).
 
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HockeySniper

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May 13, 2018
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Numbers don’t lie. Guess people just have narratives. I’ve seen Crosby a million times his defensive game isn’t that great and is vastly overrated. I think defense generally as a foward is completely blown out of proportion. There’s a lot of things in hockey that needs fixing
 

TheAngryHank

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May 28, 2008
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I've spot-checked many (but not all) of the numbers, and it looks like what he's posted is accurate.

Some important context is missing though - what type of goaltending were these players in front of? Crosby's playoff numbers aren't very good (in terms of goals against per minute), but Marc Andre Fleury was awful four years in a row (posting numbers that would have been respectable in the 1980's). Bergeron has never played in front of goaltending that stopped fewer than 90.5% of their shots in any playoff run in the 2010's.

(That being said - there's no question that Bergeron is a better defensive player than Crosby. But I think the gap between them is smaller than the numbers suggest, because we're comparing Thomas and Rask to some truly awful years from Fleury).
Context does matter .
Some of the above posters blew it off because of the op. Everyone has an agenda behind every post ,doesn’t mean the context is not accurate.
 

Midnight Judges

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Some important context is missing though - what type of goaltending were these players in front of? Crosby's playoff numbers aren't very good (in terms of goals against per minute), but Marc Andre Fleury was awful four years in a row (posting numbers that would have been respectable in the 1980's). Bergeron has never played in front of goaltending that stopped fewer than 90.5% of their shots in any playoff run in the 2010's.

I considered that but having looked at on-ice goal tending save percentages on Natural Stat trick for Sid and Ovie and Bergeron, nothing really jumped out. Bergeron has the best on-ice save percentage of the three spanning two main goalies. IMO the data suggests that Thomas and Rask had excellent save percentages because of Bergeron (and other skaters), not despite them.

Also, Marc-Andre Fleury is currently being debated as a hall of famer:

Is Marc-Andre Fleury a Hall-of-Famer?

Playing in front of MAF is not some significant disadvantage relative to the other players in the OP. MAF's save percentages over the years are generally average to above average. Yes, his stats look bad over a very small sample of playoff games over four seasons (one of which Crosby didn't even play), but if you recall, the Pens playoff style from the time - particularly the playoff series against the Flyers in 2012 which was completely out of control - there wasn't much defense being played at either end of the ice by the skaters, and definitely not by Sid (who somehow managed to score 5 even strength points and still wind up at plus minus negative 3 for the 6 game series). Sid's offensive numbers greatly benefitted from the firewagon style that his team deployed at times, this is merely the other side of that coin.

I'm skeptical of trying to evaluate goal tending based on save percentage and concluding the pattern is unrelated to individual skaters even in a very large sample size (such as what is in the OP).
 

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