Series Discussion: 2021 Playoffs Watch

[tenken00]

And the matchups are set.

1 Pittsburgh vs 4 NY Islanders
2 Washington vs 3 Boston





Updated for 5/9/2021

MassMutual East	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	HOME	AWAY	S/O	L10
1 y-Pittsburgh	56	37	16	3	77	.688	29	34	196	156	+40	22-4-2	15-12-1	3-1	8-2-0	W3
2 x-Washington	55	35	15	5	75	.682	28	32	189	162	+27	16-8-3	19-7-2	3-2	6-3-1	W1
3 x-Boston	54	32	15	7	71	.657	25	28	164	132	+32	17-7-3	15-8-4	4-2	6-3-1	L1
4 x-NY Islanders	55	32	17	6	70	.636	24	28	154	125	+29	21-4-3	11-13-3	4-3	4-4-2	W1

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Remaining Games

Washington

5/11 Boston

Boston

5/10 NY Islanders
5/11 @ Washington

NY Islanders

5/10 @ Boston

Pittsburgh

No games remaining

Click to read more...

 

[kicksavedave]

Rags have a really tough road to get in. They will need some help, but if they make it in they will have earned it down the stretch and not be any fun to play against. Who cares, gotta play the cards that are dealt.


Except in some forms of poker where you can literally exchange your cards for new ones.

 

[Calicaps]

Jinx thread.

 

[tenken00]

Jinx thread.

I didn't declare anything to jinx!

Hmmm

But I did want to update the standings and matchups and schedules.

Doo we clinch tonight? doo be dobey doo

 

[Calicaps]

I didn't declare anything to jinx!

Hmmm

Just want to update the standings and matchups and schedules.

It's the poll, mainly. Bad juju. But it's done now, so here's hopin'....

 

[tenken00]

I was gonna delete and inquire what poll?

But it's been voted upon already

 

[twabby]

For what it's worth:

There's also a 0.03% chance of missing the playoffs according to hockeyviz.

 

[Ovechkins Wodka]

Wont read this Jinx thread. Play whoever we get

 

[txpd]

Rags have a really tough road to get in. They will need some help, but if they make it in they will have earned it down the stretch and not be any fun to play against. Who cares, gotta play the cards that are dealt.


Except in some forms of poker where you can literally exchange your cards for new ones.

Rangers have 6 games left. The only part of that that is a tough road are the 2 with the Caps. The Islanders and Bruins games are what they need/want to get in. Head to head chances to gain ground.

 

[kicksavedave]

Rangers have 6 games left. The only part of that that is a tough road are the 2 with the Caps. The Islanders and Bruins games are what they need/want to get in. Head to head chances to gain ground.

Well the PEns have us twice then four vs Buff and NJ, easier games. Point is they play playoff teams (the Rags do), so if they get in they will have earned it.

 

[txpd]

Well the PEns have us twice then four vs Buff and NJ, easier games. Point is they play playoff teams (the Rags do), so if they get in they will have earned it.

Yes, the Pens have an easier sched but the Rangers dont want one. If those 6 games were all Sabres and Devils and they won all 6 they would probably miss the playoff. They can win those 4 games v the Islanders and Bruins and get in. They might need a point or two off the Caps

 

[ALLCAPSALLTHETIME]

Didn't vote as there is no "Whatever team is fine."

 

[twabby]

For what it's worth:

There's also a 0.03% chance of missing the playoffs according to hockeyviz.

There is now a 0.00% chance of missing the playoffs.

 

[tenken00]

Didn't vote as there is no "Whatever team is fine."

What do you mean? There is definitely a Whatever team is fine option

 

[ALLCAPSALLTHETIME]

What do you mean? There is definitely a Whatever team is fine option

Done and done.

 

[AlexBrovechkin8]

There is now a 0.00% chance of missing the playoffs.

 

[Melkor]

Bruins are the easiest matchup. They're a very good team but for some reason it always feels like Caps know the solution for them. That said, goalies need to keep the team afloat during rough stretches otherwise even Bruins will smack them. Rangers are the toughest matchup. Penguins are the most exciting matchup. Islanders the most meh matchup. Voted Bruins but honestly would be more excited to face Rags and Pens.

 

[tenken00]

Rangers are pretty much out of it. Would have to run the table 4-0 last four games (including 2 against us) and would still need a lot of help. 1 point by Boston in any of the 6 games ends any chance.

 

[twabby]

Updated first round opponent probabilities from Micah:

 

[ALLCAPSALLTHETIME]

Glad to see the Rangers out of the picture.

 

[tenken00]

Glad to see the Rangers out of the picture.

Rangers officially eliminated and removed above. All four teams of Washington, Pittsburgh, NY Islanders and Boston have now clinched.

 

[DWGie26]

All 4 teams that clinched have pretty easy schedules. But whomever is fine.

 

[twabby]

Today's update from Micah:

 

[tenken00]

4 days left and we still don't know who is going where. Anywhere.

 

[twabby]

4 days left and we still don't know who is going where. Anywhere.

There's a little more clarity.

The Islanders are almost surely going to be the 4th seed after last night's results. Boston would need to lose their next 3 in regulation and the Islanders would need to win their next 2 games in order for NYI to get the third seed. Moneypuck has NYI at 98.5% as the #4 seed.

Here is the entire Moneypuck odds for where each team will finish (updated this morning):

	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
WSH	57.9%	24.4%	17.7%	0%
PIT	29.6%	60.5%	10.0%	0%
BOS	12.6%	15.1%	70.8%	1.5%
NYI	0%	0%	1.5%	98.5%

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I'll post the Hockeyviz odds when they are up at 1:00 PM today.