Jamie
Registered User
Which prospects do you see either being picked in later rounds (no 1st round expected players) that might turn out to be gems/diamonds in the rough/etc? Or someone on know ones radar that might jump into the first round?
Is that a real team name? Weird oneThis one is likely completely off the board (he has a slight chance of being a 7th round pick), but I’ll mention Luke Mylymok. Played for Salmon Arm in the BCHL this year, and even though his regular season numbers were average at best, he has tools that could make him a decent player at higher levels. Also for what this is worth, in the most important games of the year (games vs top teams, playoff games, etc), he was far and away the best player on the ice
That’s the City, The team is the Silverbacks.Is that a real team name? Weird one
That’s the City, The team is the Silverbacks.
Matteo Costantini. High end IQ, great hands, very good vision and goal scoring ability, super smooth skating and good feet(great at corralling bad passes without losing much speed), possesses a high work ethic and is extremely humble.
I wouldn’t be shocked if he ended up the 7th rd diamond in the rough a la Ondrej Palat
He’s been overlooked his entire life. And playing in the OJ obviously doesn’t help with that. I’m not sitting here saying he’s Cale makar.First time I'm hearing this name, so just out of curiosity: If his entire skillset is high-end, why will he drop to the 7th round?
Instead of trying to find players I like, I tend to look at categories of players that are undervalued. Today I'll write about birthdate.
These are picks after pick 50. If you look at forwards by age they were selected (x axis), and the pick used (the y axis), then calculate the number of NHL games played using 2005-2015, you see that if draft first-time players (17 year olds), there are 594 picks. They produce about 28.5 games per pick (as of now). Picking D1 players (18 year olds), 215 picks with 27.7 NHL games per pick, and D2 players (19 year olds), 105 picks produce 25.4 NHL games per pick. Nothing exciting.View attachment 350218
But if you divide by month, it shows that the most undervalued players were undrafted and young (May to Sept birthday) and chosen in their second year.
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The image may be too blurry to see, but the green bars (NHL games played per pick) are much bigger for the group selected just over 1 year in. Also note how little you receive from drafting Jan, Feb, and March born players (bars 6-8 for 17 year olds, bars 18-20 for 18 year olds)
Defensemen are a little simpler. You get almost twice as many games from 19 year old picks as you do from 17 year olds. Over this 10 year span, there were 374 17 year old defensemen picked, generating an average of 15.9 NHL games per pick. 18 year olds were 103 pics with 22.2 NHL games per pick, and 19 year olds 62 picks, 27.8 NHL games per pick.
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Defensemen by month creates a chart with green bars very similar to forwards.
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Next time I sit down, I will talk about the players that fit into this undervalued areas.