So first there are the raw stats:
13 points in 76 games and a -11.
However, I won't hit him *too* hard on those since every Dman outside of Hedman has been pretty bad offensively this year. (Note that Dotchin already has 8 points in 31 games, though, so is outpacing Sustr by decent clip).
Sustr is rocking a sub 50 CF% (although admittedly it was higher than I expected). He has a CA/60 of 56.02 (versus 50.7 for Dotchin), which means he is a much higher event player.
But here's the biggest thing, and this reflects best the eye-test issue with when Sustr makes a mistake, it's a big one and it ends up hitting twine.
Sustr's GA/60 is 2.45. Dotchin's is 1.43. Sustr's GF% is 43.21%, while Dotchin's is 60% (likely to come down, though). That is despite Sustr having an xGF% of around 49% (Dotchin's is around 53%).
Considering the number of minutes Sustr has played, either he is the victim of awful puck luck (PDO isn't great but that can also be a result of his mistakes leading to more GA than raw shot totals would indicate).
So curious, I looked at the previous season stats to see if Sustr had a similar trend (lower GF% than xGF%, sub 100 PDO, etc.).
Sustr's xGA/60 last year was 2.26, actual GA/60 2.58. PDO was actually higher, but that was entirely due to a higher shooting percentage (his save% was the lowest of all the defense and lowest of any player not on the fourth line while his shooting% was the highest of the defense by far and third behind Drouin and Palat overall).
Every indication is that Sustr is bad defensively, and makes mistakes that end up in the back of the net more than anyone else on the team. And all that does is confirm what the eye test tells us - Sustr is a wreck defensively.
