BigG44
Registered User
- Jul 12, 2007
- 24,127
- 1,579
Today, Dallas made an obvious statement that they think they can make the playoffs this year. Here is their current situation.
I already looked at some worst case scenarios if Dallas was 5 points back on trade deadline day in a different thread. I though I'd play with some numbers to try and find a positive angle. These projections do not just look at overall points percentage. Instead, I broke down the teams home and away points percentage to project their current total at the end of the year. This way teams like LA wouldn't get a bump for their fantastic home record. LA has more away games than home, and they've got a terrible road record. I feel this method will give us the best guess at where teams are headed for now.
Seed|Team|Points
5|WINNIPEG| 97
6|CALGARY |96
7|VANCOUVER |96
8|SAN JOSE |94
9|MINNESOTA |92
10|LOS ANGELES |88
11|DALLAS |88
12|COLORADO |84
These projections don't factor in tonight's games.
So ... do you think adding Enroth will earn Dallas an additional 7 points to catch and pass SJ? With 28 games remaining, that would mean Dallas earned 37 of 56 points or a winning percentage of 66.1%.
Keep in mind that for the season, Dallas has accumulated 53.7% of available points to this point in the season. In the last 28 games, Dallas essentially needs to go 16-6-5.
Like Razor said ... they need one run of 8 or 9 wins in 10 games. If they can pick up 17 points in a 10 game stretch, they'd only have to pick up 20 points in the other 18 games or go 8-6-4.
So what do you think? Can they get to 95 points? One hot 10 game stretch and some .555 hockey could make them catch SJ.
I already looked at some worst case scenarios if Dallas was 5 points back on trade deadline day in a different thread. I though I'd play with some numbers to try and find a positive angle. These projections do not just look at overall points percentage. Instead, I broke down the teams home and away points percentage to project their current total at the end of the year. This way teams like LA wouldn't get a bump for their fantastic home record. LA has more away games than home, and they've got a terrible road record. I feel this method will give us the best guess at where teams are headed for now.
5|WINNIPEG| 97
6|CALGARY |96
7|VANCOUVER |96
8|SAN JOSE |94
9|MINNESOTA |92
10|LOS ANGELES |88
11|DALLAS |88
12|COLORADO |84
These projections don't factor in tonight's games.
So ... do you think adding Enroth will earn Dallas an additional 7 points to catch and pass SJ? With 28 games remaining, that would mean Dallas earned 37 of 56 points or a winning percentage of 66.1%.
Keep in mind that for the season, Dallas has accumulated 53.7% of available points to this point in the season. In the last 28 games, Dallas essentially needs to go 16-6-5.
Like Razor said ... they need one run of 8 or 9 wins in 10 games. If they can pick up 17 points in a 10 game stretch, they'd only have to pick up 20 points in the other 18 games or go 8-6-4.
So what do you think? Can they get to 95 points? One hot 10 game stretch and some .555 hockey could make them catch SJ.