Gamer2006
Registered User
- Oct 8, 2014
- 19
- 0
Hello everyone. I'm pleased to present my rankings for 2015 draft. I'm ready for negative feedback, so feel free to say what you think.
Please ask questions if you don't understand something.
If you want to see my previous drafts rankings, follow this link - http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showthread.php?t=1802725
Potential level i will describe in points per game (ppg) in players best full NHL regular seasons (70+ games, but better all 82 in 2 seasons minimum) and 4 rounds in playoffs. Less games is inaccurate small sample size. One level is a 0,1 ppg. 0,8 for example, means 0,81-0,90 ppg.
I think it's a very serious weakness if D plays bad defensively, in this case i cut his numbers by 0,3 ppg, 0,1 or 0,2 is not enough, so if D have 0,8 ppg and good defense his level will be the same, with bad defense his true level will be 0,5 ppg. Therefore value of good defense is 0,3 ppg. This is also works, if i compare forward and defenseman by adding 0,3 ppg. For example, 0,8 ppg D with good defense (Pronger) + 0,3 ppg = 1,1 ppg two-way forward (Datsyuk). Level of forwards who don't play defense or play it irregularly is cut by 0,1 ppg, because they have far less responsibility compared to D. Since forwards need only desire to become two-way i will not consider defensive play in their rankings. Also players like Green, Letang, Karlsson are halfbacks, they constantly leave their position, get deep in the offensive zone to score more points. It's not right to directly compare them with defenseman, so minus 0,1 ppg, or plus 0,2 compared to forward. Don't know any halfbacks who play good defense and i think this is highly unlikely to happen, so pretty much guaranteed minus 0,4 ppg while in halfback mode.
For example, if you surprised by my evaluation of Hanifin or Werenski, I think that most likely they would be 0,4-0,5 ppg D or halfbacks with bad defense. In this case i cut numbers by 0,3 or 0,4 (HB) and true level is third or fourth pairing.
There is also anomal seasons with inflated or deflated ppg, I think they are not indicative and don't consider them in my rankings.
My grading:
First line/pairing minimum, minimum star level - 0,9 ppg (forwards), 0,6 (defenseman).
Second line/pairing - 0,7-0,8 and 0,4-0,5 respectively.
Third line/pairing - 0,5-0,6 and 0,2-0,3.
Top goalie - many seasons at the top.
1) Connor McDavid (F) - 1,5-1,6 (95%).
2) Arseni Eltyshev (F) - 1,2-1,3 (50%), 1,1 (95%).
3) Mathew Barzal (F) - 1,1 (95%).
Ivan Provorov (D) - 0,8 (90%), def. 80%.
4) Jack Eichel (F) - 1,1 (50%), 1 (80%), 0,9 (95%).
5) Yakov Trenin (F) - 1-1,1 (5%), 0,9 (90%), 0,8 (95%).
6) Mitchell Marner (F), Daniel Sprong (F) - 0,9-1 (10%), 0,8 (90%), 0,7 (95%).
7) Dylan Strome (F), Evgeni Svechnikov (F) - 0,9-1 (5%), 0,8 (80%), 0,7 (95%).
8) Kyle Connor (F), Alexander Zhebelev (F) - 0,9-1 (2%), 0,8 (50%), 0,7 (90%).
9) Aleksi Saarela (F), Artur Tyanulin (F) - 1,2-1,3 (5%), 1,1 (50%).
10) Alexander Kozyrev (D) - 0,7-0,8 (50%), 0,6 (90%), def. 1%.
11) Pavel Zacha (F), Nick Merkley (F), Travis Konecny (F), Conor Garland (F), Denis Malgin (F), Nikita Korostelev (F), Kirill Pilipenko (F), Kirill Kaprizov (F), Ivan Kashtanov (F), Dmitri Zhukenov (F) - 0,8 (40%), 0,7 (50%).
Jakub Zboril (D), Yegor Rykov (D).
12) Jansen Harkins (F), Sebastian Aho (F), Jeremy Bracco (F), Nathan Noel (F), Dante Salituro (F), Dmytro Timashov (F), Mikhail Byakin (F) - 0,8 (5%), 0,7 (20%).
Denis Smirnov (F) - 0,9-1 (1%), 0,7-0,8 (10%).
Ilya Samsonov (G), Daniel Vladar (G).
13) Lawson Crouse (F), Mikko Rantanen (F), Colin White (F), Timo Meier (F), Anthony Beauvillier (F), Brock Boeser (F), Denis Gurianov (F), Filip Chlapik (F), Radovan Bondra (F), Jesse Gabrielle (F), Ryan Gropp (F), Pavel Karnaukhov (F), Keegan Kolesar (F), Blake Speers (F), Tyler Soy (F) - 0,8 (2%), 0,7 (5%).
Noah Hanifin (D, HB), Oliver Kylington (D, HB), Thomas Chabot (D), Nicolas Meloche (D), Ethan Bear (D), Alexandre Carrier (D), Travis Dermott (D), Alexander Schemerov (D).
Mackenzie Blackwood (G), Callum Booth (G).
14) Paul Bittner (F), Jake DeBrusk (F), Alexander Dergachyov (F), Jordan Greenway (F), Roope Hintz (F), Thomas Novak (F), Nicolas Roy (F) - 0,8 (1%), 0,7 (2%).
Zachary Werenski (D, HB), Jeremy Roy (D, HB), Ryan Pilon (D, HB), Brandon Carlo (D), Gabriel Carlsson (D), Noah Juulsen (D), Sebastian Aho (D, HB), Rasmus Andersson (D, HB), Vince Dunn (D, HB), Vladislav Gavrikov (D), Caleb Jones (D), Yevgeni Nazarkin (D), Alexei Platonov (D), Mikhail Sidorov (D), Jonas Siegenthaler (D), Mitch Vande Sompel (D, HB), Parker Wotherspoon (D), Sergei Zborovsky (D), Chaz Reddekopp (D).
Please ask questions if you don't understand something.
If you want to see my previous drafts rankings, follow this link - http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showthread.php?t=1802725
Potential level i will describe in points per game (ppg) in players best full NHL regular seasons (70+ games, but better all 82 in 2 seasons minimum) and 4 rounds in playoffs. Less games is inaccurate small sample size. One level is a 0,1 ppg. 0,8 for example, means 0,81-0,90 ppg.
I think it's a very serious weakness if D plays bad defensively, in this case i cut his numbers by 0,3 ppg, 0,1 or 0,2 is not enough, so if D have 0,8 ppg and good defense his level will be the same, with bad defense his true level will be 0,5 ppg. Therefore value of good defense is 0,3 ppg. This is also works, if i compare forward and defenseman by adding 0,3 ppg. For example, 0,8 ppg D with good defense (Pronger) + 0,3 ppg = 1,1 ppg two-way forward (Datsyuk). Level of forwards who don't play defense or play it irregularly is cut by 0,1 ppg, because they have far less responsibility compared to D. Since forwards need only desire to become two-way i will not consider defensive play in their rankings. Also players like Green, Letang, Karlsson are halfbacks, they constantly leave their position, get deep in the offensive zone to score more points. It's not right to directly compare them with defenseman, so minus 0,1 ppg, or plus 0,2 compared to forward. Don't know any halfbacks who play good defense and i think this is highly unlikely to happen, so pretty much guaranteed minus 0,4 ppg while in halfback mode.
For example, if you surprised by my evaluation of Hanifin or Werenski, I think that most likely they would be 0,4-0,5 ppg D or halfbacks with bad defense. In this case i cut numbers by 0,3 or 0,4 (HB) and true level is third or fourth pairing.
There is also anomal seasons with inflated or deflated ppg, I think they are not indicative and don't consider them in my rankings.
My grading:
First line/pairing minimum, minimum star level - 0,9 ppg (forwards), 0,6 (defenseman).
Second line/pairing - 0,7-0,8 and 0,4-0,5 respectively.
Third line/pairing - 0,5-0,6 and 0,2-0,3.
Top goalie - many seasons at the top.
1) Connor McDavid (F) - 1,5-1,6 (95%).
2) Arseni Eltyshev (F) - 1,2-1,3 (50%), 1,1 (95%).
3) Mathew Barzal (F) - 1,1 (95%).
Ivan Provorov (D) - 0,8 (90%), def. 80%.
4) Jack Eichel (F) - 1,1 (50%), 1 (80%), 0,9 (95%).
5) Yakov Trenin (F) - 1-1,1 (5%), 0,9 (90%), 0,8 (95%).
6) Mitchell Marner (F), Daniel Sprong (F) - 0,9-1 (10%), 0,8 (90%), 0,7 (95%).
7) Dylan Strome (F), Evgeni Svechnikov (F) - 0,9-1 (5%), 0,8 (80%), 0,7 (95%).
8) Kyle Connor (F), Alexander Zhebelev (F) - 0,9-1 (2%), 0,8 (50%), 0,7 (90%).
9) Aleksi Saarela (F), Artur Tyanulin (F) - 1,2-1,3 (5%), 1,1 (50%).
10) Alexander Kozyrev (D) - 0,7-0,8 (50%), 0,6 (90%), def. 1%.
11) Pavel Zacha (F), Nick Merkley (F), Travis Konecny (F), Conor Garland (F), Denis Malgin (F), Nikita Korostelev (F), Kirill Pilipenko (F), Kirill Kaprizov (F), Ivan Kashtanov (F), Dmitri Zhukenov (F) - 0,8 (40%), 0,7 (50%).
Jakub Zboril (D), Yegor Rykov (D).
12) Jansen Harkins (F), Sebastian Aho (F), Jeremy Bracco (F), Nathan Noel (F), Dante Salituro (F), Dmytro Timashov (F), Mikhail Byakin (F) - 0,8 (5%), 0,7 (20%).
Denis Smirnov (F) - 0,9-1 (1%), 0,7-0,8 (10%).
Ilya Samsonov (G), Daniel Vladar (G).
13) Lawson Crouse (F), Mikko Rantanen (F), Colin White (F), Timo Meier (F), Anthony Beauvillier (F), Brock Boeser (F), Denis Gurianov (F), Filip Chlapik (F), Radovan Bondra (F), Jesse Gabrielle (F), Ryan Gropp (F), Pavel Karnaukhov (F), Keegan Kolesar (F), Blake Speers (F), Tyler Soy (F) - 0,8 (2%), 0,7 (5%).
Noah Hanifin (D, HB), Oliver Kylington (D, HB), Thomas Chabot (D), Nicolas Meloche (D), Ethan Bear (D), Alexandre Carrier (D), Travis Dermott (D), Alexander Schemerov (D).
Mackenzie Blackwood (G), Callum Booth (G).
14) Paul Bittner (F), Jake DeBrusk (F), Alexander Dergachyov (F), Jordan Greenway (F), Roope Hintz (F), Thomas Novak (F), Nicolas Roy (F) - 0,8 (1%), 0,7 (2%).
Zachary Werenski (D, HB), Jeremy Roy (D, HB), Ryan Pilon (D, HB), Brandon Carlo (D), Gabriel Carlsson (D), Noah Juulsen (D), Sebastian Aho (D, HB), Rasmus Andersson (D, HB), Vince Dunn (D, HB), Vladislav Gavrikov (D), Caleb Jones (D), Yevgeni Nazarkin (D), Alexei Platonov (D), Mikhail Sidorov (D), Jonas Siegenthaler (D), Mitch Vande Sompel (D, HB), Parker Wotherspoon (D), Sergei Zborovsky (D), Chaz Reddekopp (D).
