NHL Draft Software: Final Rankings | Top200

I firmly believe that this software can be a useful tool to support the evaluation of prospects, in fact, I would even go as far as to say that it...
Rating:
5/5,
  1. ProspectsFanatic
    Final Rankings:
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    Text version:
    NAME
    Rasmus Dahlin
    Andrei Svechnikov
    Jesperi Kotkaniemi
    Olivier Wahlstrom
    Filip Zadina
    Noah Dobson
    Quinn Hughes
    Evan Bouchard
    Adam Boqvist
    Brady Tkachuk
    Vitaly Kravtsov
    Joseph Veleno
    Joel Farabee
    Ty Smith
    Jonatan Berggren
    Serron Noel
    Martin Kaut
    Mattias Samuelsson
    K'Andre Miller
    Alexander Alexeyev
    Barrett Hayton
    Ty Dellandrea
    Bode Wilde
    Rasmus Kupari
    Isac Lundestrom
    Filip Hallander
    Grigori Denisenko
    Ryan Merkley
    Liam Foudy
    Dominik Bokk
    Jonny Tychonick
    Bulat Shafigullin
    Jared McIsaac
    Jan Jenik
    Akil Thomas
    David Gustafsson
    Niklas Nordgren
    Jesse Ylonen
    Jacob Olofsson
    Jack McBain
    Ryan Mcleod
    Kirill Marchenko
    Calen Addison
    Kevin Bahl
    Rasmus Sandin

    Albin Eriksson
    Allan McShane
    Jacob Bernard-Docker
    Jake Wise
    Jay O'Brien
    Ivan Morozov
    Nils Lundkvist
    Stanislav Demin
    Jachym Kondelik
    Alec Regula
    Jack Drury
    Nicolas Beaudin
    Martin Fehervary
    Jett Woo
    Carl Wassenius
    Ty Emberson
    Jakub Lauko
    Benoit-Olivier Groulx
    Danila Zhuravlyov
    Cam Hillis
    Ryan O'Reilly
    Philipp Kurashev
    Milos Roman
    Xavier Bernard
    Johnny Gruden
    Libor Zabransky
    Sampo Ranta
    Adam Ginning
    Alexander Khovanov
    Aidan Dudas
    Blade Jenkins
    Riley Sutter
    S. Der-Arguchintsev
    Xavier Bouchard
    Luka Burzan
    Cole Fonstad
    Blake Mclaughlin
    Adam Mascherin
    Filip Kral
    Tyler Weiss
    Olivier Rodrigue
    Curtis Douglas
    Sean Durzi
    Nathan Dunkley
    Ruslan Iskhakov
    Linus Karlsson
    Matthew Struthers
    Dmitri Zavgorodny
    Gabriel Fortier
    Kyle Topping
    Jacob Ragnarsson
    Nando Eggenberger
    Axel Andersson
    Giovanni Vallati
    Chase Wouters
    Curtis Hall
    Filip Johansson
    Tyler Madden
    Logan Hutsko
    Lukas Dostal
    Toni Utunen
    Spencer Stasney
    Anderson MacDonald
    Pavel Gogolev
    Scott Perunovich
    Jakub Skarek
    Marcus Westfalt
    Alex Steeves
    Riley Stotts
    Alexis Gravel
    Amir Miftakhov
    Krystof Hrabik
    Nikolai Kovalenko
    Jordan Harris
    Oscar Back
    Yegor Sokolov
    Patrick Khodorenko
    Jacob Ingham
    Justin Brazeau
    Martin Pospisil
    Brendan Budy
    Vladislav Kotkov
    Danila Galenyuk
    Liam Kirk
    Shawn Boudrias
    Justus Annunen
    Lukas Wernblom
    Severi Lahtinen
    Eric Florchuk
    Karel Plasek
    Kevin Mandolese
    Michal Kvasnica
    Linus Nyman
    Connor Roberts
    Kirill Nizhnikov
    Matej Pekar
    Vlasislav Yeryomenko
    Jordan Koy
    Samuel Fagemo
    Joey Keane
    Gavin Hain
    Adam Samuelsson
    Adam McCormick
    Jacob Pivonka
    Merrick Rippon
    Veini Vehvilainen
    Caleb Everett
    Riley Damiani
    Paul Cotter
    Kody Clark
    Jack Perbix
    Jerry Turkulainen
    Matthias Laferriere
    Ryan Chyzowski
    Einar Emanuelsson
    Johan Sodergran
    Nikita Rtishchev
    Luke Henman
    Declan Chisholm
    Carter Robertson
    Olof Lindbom
    Jack Deboer
    Jack Randl
    Patrick Giles
    Alexander Romanov
    Justin Almeida
    Mathias E. Petterson
    Erik Middendorf
    Austin Wong
    Pavel Shen
    Lenni Killinen
    Michael Kesselring
    Jaxon Nelson
    Demid Mansurov
    Simon Johansson
    Nikita Rozhkov
    Connor Corcoran
    Micha Ivan
    Wyatte Wylie
    Joel Hofer
    Santeri Salmela
    Mikhail Shalagin
    Marcus Karlberg
    Nico Gross
    David Tendeck
    Divid Lilja
    Sean Comrie
    Carl Berglund
    Zachary Bouthillier
    Jackson Leppard
    Dawson Barteaux
    Max Golod
    Mac Hollowell
    Akira Schmid
    Ondrej Buchtela

    I named those my final rankings but I might make slight alterations until draft.

    Remarks:
    - Dahlin is decidedly ranked at #1, while Svechnikov is decidedly ranked at #2 with Svechnikov being a lot closer to 1 than 3.
    - 3rd overall is a toss up for me, with the top11 all being very close. Small alterations in the algorithm or data entered (approximate playing time/quality of linemates) or scouting evaluations could have potentially placed either Wahlstrom, Zadina or Dobson instead of Kotkaniemi at #3 since they are all very close.

    Data taken into account:
    - Age, height, weight.
    - Scouting evaluation; Skating speed, edge work, shooting, puck control, offensive IQ, competitiveness, physical play, defensive play. (Those evaluations are impacting the statistical evaluation, both sources of data are tested again each other in different ways.)
    - Last 3 seasons stats in all leagues played; League difficulty, ice time, quality of teammates, organizational depth, (regular+playoff) GP, G, A, PTS and if available A1, A2, Sh%, relative +/-. Tournament play: WJC18, WJC20, Hlinka.
    (The statistics are used as an indicator of performance, but where the player stands in terms of organizational depth is also weighted, those two are weighted differently according to the algorithm depending on the context of each player, for example, independently of statistics being 2nd line SHL on draft eligible year mean something and can be measured as a value.)
    * On rare occasions some players are given positive or negative bonuses if something of relevancy hasn't been taken into account by the software, example; injury prone, attitude issue, extra international play.

    Last year (comparison with this year rankings is imperfect; algorithm revamped):
    Software evaluating draft eligible player

    Previous drafting results (drafting as MTL for the last 5 years):
    http://hfboards.mandatory.com/threa...-can-now-start-comparing-the-results.2430975/


    Previous 2018 draft rankings:
    http://hfboards.mandatory.com/threa...0-end-of-the-regular-season-rankings.2471469/
    If you have questions about the functionality of the software (such as why I use scouting evaluations (post #51 in that thread)) it probably has been answered in that thread.

    Why use software to evaluate prospects?
    Forwards entered in the software (scoring higher than 43):
    DY: Draft year. DY-1: 1 year before draft. DY-2: 2 years before draft.
    The first section (with DY, DY-1, DY-2) are the evaluations of each prospect season performance calculated by the software based on the data entered.
    The second section shows the percentage taken into account in the final score, it varies depending on the games/tournaments played for each season.
    The third section shows the player's style of play which is automatically generated based on the scouting evaluation I entered for the player.

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    Defensemen entered in the software (scoring higher than 43):
    DY: Draft year. DY-1: 1 year before draft. DY-2: 2 years before draft.
    The first section (with DY, DY-1, DY-2) are the evaluations of each prospect season performance calculated by the software based on the data entered.
    The second section shows the percentage taken into account in the final score, it varies depending on the games/tournaments played for each season.

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    Best re-eligible players/overagers:
    1. (F) Adam Mascherin, OHL +2
    2. (D) Sean Durzi, OHL +1
    3. (F) Logan Hutsko, NCAA +1
    4. (D) Scott Perunovich, NCAA +2
    5. (F) Patrick Khodorenko, NCAA +1
    6. (F) Justin Brazeau, OHL +2
    7. (F) Shawn Boudrias, QMJHL +1
    8. (F) Severi Lahtinen, Mestis +1
    9. (F) Linus Nyman, OHL +1
    10. (D) Vladislav Yeryomenko, WHL +1
    11. (D) Joey Keane, OHL +1
    12. (G) Veini Vehvilainen, SM-Liiga +3
    13. (F) Jerry Turkulainen, SM-Liiga +1
    14. (F) Einar Emanuelsson, SHL +3
    15. (F) Justin Almeida, WHL +1
    16. (F) Pavel Shen, KHL +1
    17. (D) Simon Johansson, SuperElit +1
    18. (F) Mikhail Shalagin, MHL +1

    Best draft eligible goaltenders:

    1. (G) Olivier Rodrigue, QMJHL
    2. (G) Lukas Dostal, Czech2
    3. (G) Jakub Skarek, Czech2
    4. (G) Alexis Gravel, QMJHL
    5. (G) Amir Miftakhov, MHL
    6. (G) Jacob Ingham, OHL
    7. (G) Justus Annunen, Jr.A Liiga
    8. (G) Kevin Mandolese, QJMHL
    9. (G) Jordan Koy, OHL
    10. (G) Veini Vehviläinen, Liiga +3
    11. (G) Olof Lindbom, SuperElit
    12. (G) Joel Hofer, WHL
    13. (G) David Tendeck, WHL
    14. (G) Zachary Bouthillier, QMJHL
    15. (G) Akira Schmid, Elite Jr. A

    Other notable prospects (excluding goaltender):
    (D) Nico Gross, OHL
    (F) David Lilja, Allsvenskan
    (D) Sean Comrie, AJHL
    (F) Carl Berglund, SuperElit
    (F) Jackson Leppard, WHL
    (D) Dawson Barteaux, WHL
    (F) Max Golod, OHL
    (D) Mac Hollowell, OHL +1
    (D) Ondrej Buchtela, Czech2
    (D) Dennis Busby, OHL
    (F) Krisitan Reichel, WHL +1
    (D) Marc Del Gaizo, USHL
    (D) Thomas Gregoire, QMJHL +2
    (F) Damien Giroux, OHL
    (F) Jake Goldowski, OHL
    (D) Jack St. Ivany, USHL +1
    (D) Christian Lindberg, Allsvenkan
    (F) Angus Crookshank, BCHL
    (F) Ryan Roth, OHL
    (F) Yegor Sharangovich, KHL +2
    (F) Ivan Muranov, MHL
    (D) Tyler Tucker, OHL
    (F) David Levin, OHL
    (F) Alexei Polodyan, VHL +2
    (F) Kristian Tanus, JrA-Liiga
    (F) Samuel Bucek, USHL +1
    (F) German Grachyov, MHL
    (F) Trey Fix-Wolansky, WHL +1
    (F) Alex Gritz, OHL
    (F) Adam Liska, OHL
    (F) Luke Burghardt, OHL +2
    (D) Zack Malik, OHL
    (D) Adam Thilander, OHL +1
    (D) Peter Stratis, OHL
    (D) Jacob Semik, USHL
    (F) Zach Solow, NCAA +1
    (D) Artyom Minulin, WHL +1
    (F) Aleksi Halme, Mestis
    (D) Owen Lalonde, OHL
    (F) Maxime Grondin, OHL
    (F) Adam Gajarsky, Czech2
    (F) Razat Timirov, MHL +1
    (F) Oliver Okuliar, Slovakia
    (F) Demetrios Koumontzis, USHS
    (F) Mitchell Hoelscher, OHL
    (F) Connor Dewar, WHL +1
    (D) Christian Krygier, USHL
    (F) Jeremy Mckenna, QMJHL +1
    (F) Albert Michnac, OHL +1
    (F) Tristen Nielsen, WHL
    (F) Brandon Saigeon, OHL +2
    (D) Dillon Plouffe, WHL +1
    (F) William Moskal, OHL
    (D) Dennis Busby, OHL
    (D) Cole Krygier, USHL
    (F) Joel Teasdale, QJMHL +1
    (F) Hunter Holmes, OHL
    (D) Radim Salda, QMJHL +1
    (F) Carson Focht, WHL
    (F) Cole Reinhardt, WHL
    (F) Eli Zummack, WHL
    (F) Thomas Ethier, QMJHL
    (D) Spencer Meier, USHL +1
    (D) Alex Kannok-Leipert, WHL
    (D) Tommy Miller, NCAA +1
    (F) Carl Jakobsson, SuperElit
    (D) Benjamin Gleason, OHL +2
    (D) William Worge Kreu, SuperElit
    (F) Yegor Zudilov, WHL
    (F) Samuel Bitten, OHL
    (F) Ryan Savage, USHL
    (F) Conner Bruggen-Cate, WHL
    (F) Kevin Hancock, OHL +2
    (F) Tyler Popowich, WHL
    (F) Ivan Kosorenkov, QMJHL +2
    (D) Martin Bodak, WHL +1
    (F) Colin Schmidt, USHS
    (F) Alexander Zhabreyev, MHL
    (F) Leif Mattson, WHL +1
    (D) Peetro Seppala, JrA-Liiga
    (F) Jan Kalus, Czech2
    (D) Quinn Yule, OHL
    (F) Riley Hughes, USHS

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