Leon-Colby - I think there is a chance this is one of those "MMA Math doesn't work" type of of fights. Leon beat Usman twice + Colby lost to Usman twice = Leon beats Colby. But I think Colby's pressure is different than what Usman does. Colby is not going to let him stay in kick boxing range for any amount of time and I'm not sure how Leon is going to handle it. I don't even particularly like Leon, but I'm definitely rooting for him. It's a tough fight, though.
Pantoja-Royval - Who f***ing knows with this division.
Rahkmonov-Wonderboy - I think Rahkmonov is the scariest dude in the division. The only thing that I wonder about is if Rahkmonov tries to prove something by standing with Wonderboy. I think he could beat him there, too, but it makes it a lot closer. If he wrestles, I think it's an easy win.
Tony-Paddy - I think this is great matchmaking. I mean, I wish Tony would have hung them up by now, but if he's going to keep fighting, finding him the biggest name who's not going to kill him is what I want to see. Paddy's the best fit for that right now.
Luque-Garry - This is also great matchmaking to me. Garry is not going to be able to bully Luque (I think). Luque's as tough as they come, can crack back, and has a good ground game. It's a fight Garry 'should' win, but if he goes in there overconfident, Luque's a dangerous dude and could catch him.
Emmett-Mitchell - When I first saw this, I thought "yikes" for Mitchell, but Emmett's TDD is only 46%. I've also made the case his power is overrated. He throws absolute bombs and he's connected on a few to walk off KO a guy or 2, but those shots rarely land. If Mitchell can time those big power shots Emmett throws, he can probably grind out a win here.
A lot of other decent names on the prelims Cody-Kelleher, Aldana, Fili, Brown. You know, the usual "Why are they burying this guy/gal on the prelims or early prelims when he'd be a nice addition to one of these shitty Fight Nights" type of names.
