seventieslord
Student Of The Game
I don't think I am very impressed with Wayne Connelly. He managed to tie for 4th in goals in 1968. He was one of three players from the expansion division to crack the top-20 (only Bathgate cracked the top-20 in points) - 35 goals scored against mostly expansion competition is obviously not the same as 35 goals scored against balanced, or mostly established competition. What is it worth? How does one value it? Tough to say for sure. Intuitively, I'd take Ken Wharram's 27 goals for chicago, or Mahovlich's 26 for Toronto and Montreal. Duff, Goyette, and Hodge scoring 25 for O6 teams is probably more impressive as well.
There should be an objective way to look at this. I thought of one. It's likely that as the North Stars went, so did Connelly. So if we look at their offense vs. good teams compared to expansion teams we can see what it would have looked like if the tables were turned:
vs O6 teams: 24 GP, 49 goals, 2.04 GPG
vs expansion: 50 GP, 142 goals, 2.84 GPG
total: 74 GP, 191 goals, 2.58 GPG
So if it was reversed:
vs. O6 teams: 50 GP, 2.04 GPG = 102 goals
vs. expansion: 24 GP, 2.84 GPG = 68 goals
total: 78 GP, 170 goals = 2.18 GPG
With the opposite proportion of games played against O6 and expansion teams, Minnesota's total goals would have likely been at 84% of the levels that they were at. Therefore, a realistic guess for what Connelly's goals were worth for an O6 player in 1968, is 30, which would have been good for 9th in the NHL.
Which is still very good. But never topping 23 goals in the NHL again is troubling.
There should be an objective way to look at this. I thought of one. It's likely that as the North Stars went, so did Connelly. So if we look at their offense vs. good teams compared to expansion teams we can see what it would have looked like if the tables were turned:
vs O6 teams: 24 GP, 49 goals, 2.04 GPG
vs expansion: 50 GP, 142 goals, 2.84 GPG
total: 74 GP, 191 goals, 2.58 GPG
So if it was reversed:
vs. O6 teams: 50 GP, 2.04 GPG = 102 goals
vs. expansion: 24 GP, 2.84 GPG = 68 goals
total: 78 GP, 170 goals = 2.18 GPG
With the opposite proportion of games played against O6 and expansion teams, Minnesota's total goals would have likely been at 84% of the levels that they were at. Therefore, a realistic guess for what Connelly's goals were worth for an O6 player in 1968, is 30, which would have been good for 9th in the NHL.
Which is still very good. But never topping 23 goals in the NHL again is troubling.