Post-Game Talk: Sun. March 10th: Capitals v. Thrashers

[txpd]

But Reirden can't coach! Their players can't defend. Etc. Etc.

You left out that Copley is a minor leaguer

 

[Sam Spade]

Since Jensen started playing Caps have given up 14 goals (five came in his first game) in 7 games.

 

[tenken00]

Who cares what Thrasher fans think. Our PK straight up owns their 6-4, 5-4, 5-3, 9-2, 60-1, whatever.

With a backup goalie

 

[twabby]

Obligatory stat post: the Jets first line of Laine-Schifele-Wheeler were a cool 20% CF while the Backstrom line was around 80% going up against them. Just a fantastic effort from 13-19-77.

 

[kicksavedave]

Are we not suck?

We no longer be suck.

 

[kicksavedave]

Huge two points.

That 35% FO% really sticks out.

It only sticks out if we completely ignore the 5 million different studies demonstrating zero correlation between FO % and winning.

 

[txpd]

Obligatory stat post: the Jets first line of Laine-Schifele-Wheeler were a cool 20% CF while the Backstrom line was around 80% going up against them. Just a fantastic effort from 13-19-77.

Backstrom really deserves a Selke. Meanwhile, with Backstrom on the team, Kuzy can get away with sleep walking thru this season.

Another reminder that the idea that Kuzy made Backstrom expendable was stupid.

 

[SpinningEdge]

Since Jensen started playing Caps have given up 9 goals in 6 games.

Anyone know what our PK is in past 7 games since Hags\Jensen have started playing together?

 

[txpd]

Niskanen played 6:08 of short handed time tonight.

 

[kicksavedave]

BTW, in the last month we've beaten the division leading SJS (5-1) the division leading Jets (3-1), and the division leading(at the time) Isles (3-1). We'll get three shots at division leading TB coming up, but we have shown we can get our effort in gear when playing good teams. 3 goals allowed in 3 games vs division leaders.

I like our defense.

 

[Bladerunner]

Since Jensen started playing Caps have given up 9 goals in 6 games.

And the WHOAAAA ! guy hasn't even been all that. Imagine when he gets going !

 

[kicksavedave]

Anyone know what our PK is in past 7 games since Hags\Jensen have started playing together?

Rangers and Sens scored 1 PPG each vs us at the end of Feb. Since then, in all of March, no PPG against in 5 games vs Isles, Rags, Flyers, Devs and Jets, in 17 SH tries I think.

 

[Sam Spade]

Anyone know what our PK is in past 7 games since Hags\Jensen have started playing together?

2 pp goals allowed in 7 games.

Rangers 1 for 4
Sens 1 for 1
Isles 0 for 2
Rangers 0 for 2
Flyers 0 for 1
Devils 0 for 6
Jets 0 for 5

edit: kicksave did the work.

 

[maacoshark]

Did you even watch this game? Copley was good but he didnt have to be spectacular. His team helped him out a lot by keeping the Jets to the outside and they also were jumping on the rebounds. The team defense was solid tonight.

 

[txpd]

Did you even watch this game?.

Yup. Saw the whole thing. Ok...I didn't watch between periods.

 

[BallardEra]

Tuesday night should be fun.

I’m sure Gudbranson will be called into old man Rutherford’s office that morning where he will ask him to sit down and then slide a picture of Tom Wilson over to him.

 

[AlexBrovechkin8]

Thought that was one of their better games in terms of structure. They didn’t offer a ton offensively but Winnipeg were frustrated offensively as well.

Great effort by everyone but Kuznetsov and Ovechkin. Kuznetsov was holy shit levels of terribad.

 

[maacoshark]

It only sticks out if we completely ignore the 5 million different studies demonstrating zero correlation between FO % and winning.

Losing a faceoff isnt the end of the world but there are times when it can cost you. A lot of goals are created from faceoff wins.
I would guess that the zero correlation FO% and wins is because the difference in faceoff % from one team to another isnt that great. The Caps are last in the league and are still not that far below 50%.
If a team had a percentage of 30% for an entire season then I'm sure you would see a difference.

 

[maacoshark]

Yup. Saw the whole thing. Ok...I didn't watch between periods.

Then you know I am speaking the truth. Anyone that saw the game could see that the team defense in front of Copley was very good. Or is that too difficult for you to grasp?

 

[txpd]

Then you know I am speaking the truth. Anyone that saw the game could see that the team defense in front of Copley was very good. Or is that too difficult for you to grasp?

 

[notDkristich]

Orlov with several pizzas and terrible defending at the blue line...tipsy

less suck decent win

 

[twabby]

Orlov with several pizzas and terrible defending at the blue line...tipsy

less suck decent win

I want some of what you’re drinking.

 

[Portable Mink]

The whole team skated hard for the first time in a while. Oshie led the charge in that department in the first and everyone followed.

 

[kicksavedave]

Losing a faceoff isnt the end of the world but there are times when it can cost you. A lot of goals are created from faceoff wins.
I would guess that the zero correlation FO% and wins is because the difference in faceoff % from one team to another isnt that great. The Caps are last in the league and are still not that far below 50%.
If a team had a percentage of 30% for an entire season then I'm sure you would see a difference.

A lot of goals are created from faceoff losses and good forecheck too. Whats the correlative stat for that? Some shorthanded goals are created by a clean FO loss then a blocked shot and a breakaway. For every clean FO win that leads to a clean one timer for a goal, there is a converse play which nullifies it statistically.

For a whole season, the differentials are close but they still don't correlate. But more importantly, even within a game where the FO differential can be 40, 40, 60% points different, there is still no correlation. Go back as far as you want to this season (or for all time). The Caps beat the Leafs easily, but lost FO by 68-32%. The Caps beat the Flyers easily, but lost FO% 70-30. The Caps lost badly to the Sabres, but won FO% 58-42. I could go on and on, its been like this for all time history for all teams across all seasons. There in no large or small scale correlation, and I don't think any team has finished at 30% FO for a season but I don't care enough to look it up.

 

[CapitalsCupReality]

I want some of what you’re drinking.

Probably the same pisswater as Sharkbait! Lol!!