Llamamoto
Nice Bison. Kind Bison. Yep.
- Sep 5, 2018
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Oilers should look into claiming Craig Anderson.
I say that because he's better than Mike Smith.
Even if he isn't, we could use the Covid flexibility with Forsberg gone.
Oilers should look into claiming Craig Anderson.
I say that because he's better than Mike Smith.
We have a deal! I hope Oilers actually do, but being a bettor I need to be realistic. To make sure I make money and not lose.No thanks. I am partial to a classic avatar bet though. Loser sports the avatar chosen by the winner for a month.
I say the Oilers finish ahead of the Leafs this year.
Gotcha. That Anderson contract could blow up all in their faces too.
Most people do not take any context into question. They just see the record and that's it. Small minded people who do not like doing any research.It’s funny because I was making this exact point to a friend of mine yesterday. Hard to put a lot of weight on our record against Canadian teams last year when half of them fell in a 6 week stretch of 4-10-1 hockey with a one line team and bad goaltending.
If Josh Anderson rebounds and scores over 15 goals
If Suzuki takes a step and proves he’s a bonafide top 6 center.
If Kotekniemi does the same
If price plays like a top 5 goalie.
If their PK takes massive strides
If Romanov comes in and anchors a bottom pair as a rookie
If their D stays healthy
If all these things happen they could make it but that’s a lot to go right. It’s not impossible just very unlikely. I’m baffled by how much love they’re getting in the media.
Most people do not take any context into question. They just see the record and that's it. Small minded people who do not like doing any research.
No idea why so much of the media is so high on the Canadiens. To me, they look terrible. What am I missing here?
Their first line is sneaky good. Only three top lines had a better expected goals rate together last season (Vegas, Colorado and Tampa Bay). Tatar-Danault-Gallagher that is, nobody is a "big name" but they play like an elite first line. As a whole the forward group is deep. They have Armia, Lehkonen and Byron as their bottom 3 wingers from depth chart that have a spot on opening night and they all are better than Zack Kassian.No idea why so much of the media is so high on the Canadiens. To me, they look terrible. What am I missing here?
There is, as usual, a strong anti Oiler bias in the media. I know I shouldn't let it bug me but it does.
Toronto HATES us because they didn't get McDavid. That will never go away.
Calgary hates us for good reason.
But most the league even before McDavid hates us for either beating up their team in the 80's or getting so much lotto luck.
While I personally don't like the way we have built our team it has gotten better and ironically enough in a model similar to Toronto. There is no reason for the media to be so high on a team like the Canadians and so low on us.
People rip on our media regardless. Heard far too many people talk about how the media is too soft on the team over the yearsHell, even our own media hates us. Just look at how much Spector shits on the Oilers, esp McDavid and Draisaitl, this past off season.
I’ve been saying all offseason this is my biggest area of concern. It’s the one area we aren’t as good on paper.I know it seems very minor to some degree, but Struds has really been banging the PK change drum a lot and got me thinking
Sheahan and Khaira were #1 and #4 from a forward standpoint. Klef and Russell were #1 and #4.
With the talk yesterday that Russell might be out and Koekkoek in I wonder how much 4 player personnel change is going to have.
The one thing that eases my mind a bit is I think Tippett/Holland are very good at identifying players for certain situations.I’ve been saying all offseason this is my biggest area of concern. It’s the one area we aren’t as good on paper.
What about the Oilers after they split up McDrai?We have a deal! I hope Oilers actually do, but being a bettor I need to be realistic. To make sure I make money and not lose.
But I can give you a answer why it is more likely that the Leafs win the division.
Do you follow European football (soccer)? 2015-1016 Leicester won the Premier league. That was a huge, huge surprise. They kept most of the important players. So by your logic they should have been the favourites to win again next year and also favourite in every game because they colledted to most points year earlier. But that's not how it works. 2016-2017 they finished 12th and nobody kept them even close to favourites to win again. Sometimes everything just lines up perfectly and miracles happen. Every outcome has percentage and sometimes even the unlikeliest scenarios happen. Now back to hockey...
Oilers had 83 pts in 71 games (.585 p%)
Leafs had 81 pts in 70 games (.579 p%)
Almost identical. Sligth edge to Oilers.
Toronto played 95 point pace, but that includes a month with Babcock. With Keefe they played 47 games and in those games they had 103 point pace. To me sounds reasonable that they can do better with a whole year with Keefe. Frederik Andersen has been very consistent goalie, but last year he was trash. .909 save% and the backup goaltending was even worse. To me it is pretty reasonable to think that he can be better than last year and now they have Jack Campbell and Aaron Dell as back-ups.
They had a lot better 5on5 numbers than Oilers.
Also I don't think Oilers can have such a good special teams again this year. PP 29.5% (rank 1st and that is insanely high. 2nd had 25.2), PK 84.4 (rank 2nd). Combined they are 113.9. I don't think Oilers will suddenly have trash special teams, but it is due to have some regression.
Of course there are a lot of other variables too, but to me these are obvious ones which are unlikely to happen again. If last year Oilers better goalie had .909 sv% and Leafs had by far the best special teams, these two teams would have been probably 10-20 points apart.
If most of the variables are "normal" Leafs finish higher more often than Oilers, because at the moment they have a better team that plays better at 5on5.
I know it seems very minor to some degree, but Struds has really been banging the PK change drum a lot and got me thinking
Sheahan and Khaira were #1 and #4 from a forward standpoint. Klef and Russell were #1 and #4.
With the talk yesterday that Russell might be out and Koekkoek in I wonder how much 4 player personnel change is going to have.
I’ve been saying all offseason this is my biggest area of concern. It’s the one area we aren’t as good on paper.
I think we’re easily better 5 on 5 I don’t think that’s even a question. Turris, Kahun, full season of Yam, full season of Ennis and the wild card that is Jesse up front and far and away the biggest offensive threat we’ve had on the blue line since Sheldon Souray 12 years ago in Tyson Barrie.Our biggest area of need is better 5v5 play and I don't believe we are much if any better 5v5. On top of that our special teams, both PK and PP, are drastically different.
I've often thought coaching was a big factor to success at the nhl level. I think that twice as much for the Oilers. On top of that with significant personal changes Tippett has his work cut out. Plus less time and no preseason.
Not to give the players a free pass but I can't remember a season where going into it the coach is the primary reason for success or failure. Imo.
I’ve been saying all offseason this is my biggest area of concern. It’s the one area we aren’t as good on paper.
Our biggest area of need is better 5v5 play and I don't believe we are much if any better 5v5. On top of that our special teams, both PK and PP, are drastically different.
I've often thought coaching was a big factor to success at the nhl level. I think that twice as much for the Oilers. On top of that with significant personal changes Tippett has his work cut out. Plus less time and no preseason.
Not to give the players a free pass but I can't remember a season where going into it the coach is the primary reason for success or failure. Imo.
I think we’re easily better 5 on 5 I don’t think that’s even a question. Turris, Kahun, full season of Yam, full season of Ennis and the wild card that is Jesse up front and far and away the biggest offensive threat we’ve had on the blue line since Sheldon Souray 12 years ago in Tyson Barrie.
Together they are/were magic in offense, scoring 3.76 goals per 60. Thats elite, but somehow they allow 3.91 goals againts per 60. When Yamamoto broke-out and 93-29-56 became line Draisaitl's expected-goals-against rate dropped from 3.24 per 60 to 2.49 and his goals-against rate was nearly cut in half from 3.95 per 60 to 2.19. So it definetely helped Draisaitl. The trio outscored teams by a two-to-one margin and led the Oilers in expected-goals percentage.What about the Oilers after they split up McDrai?