Value of: Red Wings 1st in 2024

bernmeister

Registered User
Jun 11, 2010
27,774
3,764
Da Big Apple
Shesty
Othmann
Trouba
2025 1st
Jones

for

Seider
DET 2026 2nd
Rassmussen
Gettinger

one real high end piece each way
quality futures + useful adds to offset Seider younger w/mo team control

DET adds elite G, higher W prospect ready now in Oth
Trouba for Seider is downgrade but Trouba mitigates a bit
and Wings add useful extra D Jones
so depth
+ upgrade on better pick sooner

Red Wings keep 15OA

Rs add foundation RD
gamble Quick + Dominque hold fort while heir Garand advances

somethin like dat
 

Hobnobs

Pinko
Nov 29, 2011
8,912
2,271
Shesty
Othmann
Trouba
2025 1st
Jones

for

Seider
DET 2026 2nd
Rassmussen
Gettinger

one real high end piece each way
quality futures + useful adds to offset Seider younger w/mo team control

DET adds elite G, higher W prospect ready now in Oth
Trouba for Seider is downgrade but Trouba mitigates a bit
and Wings add useful extra D Jones
so depth
+ upgrade on better pick sooner

Red Wings keep 15OA

Rs add foundation RD
gamble Quick + Dominque hold fort while heir Garand advances

somethin like dat

We are not trading Rasmussen and Seider. You need to let go of that fantasy of yours...
 
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Ledge And Dairy

Registered User
Mid first in a shallow draft is the plus, not the main piece, in a deal for Swayman.
This is disingenuous, the draft is considered "shallow" because there is a drop-off around pick ~25. #15 this year is going to be just as good as any other years #15 on average. Were talking guys like Liam Greentree, Trevor Connelly, and Michael Brandsegg-Nygard. They are still quality prospects.

I don't expect Boston would move Swayman for anything less than a Kings ransom but don't undermine a mid round 1st because the later picks are weaker
 

Mersss

Registered User
Jul 12, 2014
4,812
1,996
Shesty
Othmann
Trouba
2025 1st
Jones

for

Seider
DET 2026 2nd
Rassmussen
Gettinger

one real high end piece each way
quality futures + useful adds to offset Seider younger w/mo team control

DET adds elite G, higher W prospect ready now in Oth
Trouba for Seider is downgrade but Trouba mitigates a bit
and Wings add useful extra D Jones
so depth
+ upgrade on better pick sooner

Red Wings keep 15OA

Rs add foundation RD
gamble Quick + Dominque hold fort while heir Garand advances

somethin like dat
Bern still trying to get elite young players while sending cap dumps like Trouba in a deal... Never changes.

Goalies aren't worth that much, R's would not get the retyrn they think for an 8.5M goalie
 
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bernmeister

Registered User
Jun 11, 2010
27,774
3,764
Da Big Apple
We are not trading Rasmussen and Seider. You need to let go of that fantasy of yours...
your no vote is acknowledged.
Prior to now, it was proper to presume Wings would be building
This thread by Red Wings fan OP, suggests something that also builds while adding immediate help would be considered, and future help on top of that possibly even welcomed.

Others, not me, introduced DET need to acquire quality netminder NOW

==========
given above reality,
if rest of your base concurs, we can agree Rs give up the dream of Seider while you surrender any hope of getting Shesty.

Or we can be open minded about some variation of a deal.

Whether or not our fave teams get more for those pieces elsewhere is a separate and fair ?, but we should not dismiss possibilities out of hand.

Remember, more of the same moves begets more of the same.
Gotta break some eggs if you are making an omelet.

If you want signif improvement, esp overnight, then signif assets have to be on the table.

peace out
 

FriendlyGhost92

Registered User
Jun 22, 2023
2,967
3,368
If Detroit does acquire another starting goalie, what would they do with Husso for next season? He'd be a damn expensive backup.

Husso might end up being an LTIR candidate with how poorly his recovery has gone. Tried coming back a couple months ago, didn't make it through a period without reinjuring himself. Tried to come back for an AHL conditioning stint, reinjured himself in practice.
 
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bernmeister

Registered User
Jun 11, 2010
27,774
3,764
Da Big Apple
Bern still trying to get elite young players while sending cap dumps like Trouba in a deal... Never changes.

Goalies aren't worth that much, R's would not get the retyrn they think for an 8.5M goalie
Wrong, multiple counts

In sequential order you stated
1.. would not say Seider is currently "elite"; elite potential, yes; around the corner more than down the road?; possibly. But he is not there TODAY.

2.."cap dumps like Trouba"
Cap dump implies level of quality talent/production << cap hit, regardless of salary #. [e.g., Panarin, Nylander, Larkin, McD, etc.]

esp given lack of RDs league wide creating higher demand
Trouba at 8 = too much, but only be 1.5-ish
So JT at 6.5 commands value.

Rs may deal trouba b'c they need to be cap flexible, but at 6.5 he is not a dump, and most clubs, despite him not being a unicorn w/his skating, for his clearing the crease and overall tuf presence, would take him. When he goes Rs will have no shortage of takers, and be limited only by:
a) not dealing him w/in division
b) accommodating his preference as to relocation


3. "Goalies aren't worth that much, R's would not get the retyrn they think for an 8.5M goalie" -- is what peeps who are trying to underpay for elite Vez quality say.
Wrong x at least 2.
a). Shesty is currently and into next season a ridiculous 5.x BARGAIN, not 8.5 now
he will command 8.75 x 4 or so going forward, but for Vez quality ACTUALLY ELITE netminder, this is what you pay.
You don't want to go there, then you takes yer chances.
But then don't be-atch and moan b'c WOEful netminding.

b). "Goalies aren't worth that much" -- the market sez you are wrong. You are entitled to yr opinion, not your own expression of actual facts when same are contrary to reality.
Best netminders command a premium, and they for most part earn it.
Rs doing well so far, but going forward may have to deal Shesty and break in Garand to stay ahead of the curve and correct for failure to not listen to bern and instead did win now rental miscues.

-------
you on the other hand, are same ol, same ol, critic
open yr eyes and yr brain
 

FlyguyOX

Registered User
Jun 29, 2018
3,729
3,620
Because the wings Defense is trash and Sanheim is in his prime on a good contract (all things considered - general UFA market etc). If Seider is PP1 of the future (should be if you're paying him 8.75-9MM) then what does that do to ASP's value on the team. At best he's Devon Toews maybe?

Farabee is young and on a decent contract that could help become part of the core around Raymond/Seider. They have Kasper and Danielson as the young centers. Could probably use a good young talented 2nd line wing.
Travis Sanheim? Or Joel Farabee? Why would that ever even be considered?
 

FriendlyGhost92

Registered User
Jun 22, 2023
2,967
3,368
Because the wings Defense is trash and Sanheim is in his prime on a good contract (all things considered - general UFA market etc). If Seider is PP1 of the future (should be if you're paying him 8.75-9MM) then what does that do to ASP's value on the team. At best he's Devon Toews maybe?

Farabee is young and on a decent contract that could help become part of the core around Raymond/Seider. They have Kasper and Danielson as the young centers. Could probably use a good young talented 2nd line wing.

My guess would be if ASP becomes what Detroit hopes he becomes, he's PP1 and Seider is left to the more defensive responsibilities. Essentially what they did with Ghost/Seider, except God-willing ASP would have developed some defensive ability that Ghost entirely lacks.

Whether Sanheim can play the right or not is irrelevant. He's a LHD on a team that's pretty deep on LHD.
 

FlyguyOX

Registered User
Jun 29, 2018
3,729
3,620
My guess would be if ASP becomes what Detroit hopes he becomes, he's PP1 and Seider is left to the more defensive responsibilities. Essentially what they did with Ghost/Seider, except God-willing ASP would have developed some defensive ability that Ghost entirely lacks.

Whether Sanheim can play the right or not is irrelevant. He's a LHD on a team that's pretty deep on LHD.
That's (Seider) an expensive #1 D-man who doesn't rack points on PP1. I guess a comp for that kind of usage and cap hit would be Nurse and Owen Power? Maybe Petro? I'm not sure anyone thinks those are good contracts right now. I personally was frustrated that Seider didn't get more PP time over ghost.

Sanheim played and is experienced on his right side FWIW. But I hear you.
 

wingfan

Registered User
Jul 1, 2012
875
425
Wrong, multiple counts

In sequential order you stated
1.. would not say Seider is currently "elite"; elite potential, yes; around the corner more than down the road?; possibly. But he is not there TODAY.

2.."cap dumps like Trouba"
Cap dump implies level of quality talent/production << cap hit, regardless of salary #. [e.g., Panarin, Nylander, Larkin, McD, etc.]

esp given lack of RDs league wide creating higher demand
Trouba at 8 = too much, but only be 1.5-ish
So JT at 6.5 commands value.

Rs may deal trouba b'c they need to be cap flexible, but at 6.5 he is not a dump, and most clubs, despite him not being a unicorn w/his skating, for his clearing the crease and overall tuf presence, would take him. When he goes Rs will have no shortage of takers, and be limited only by:
a) not dealing him w/in division
b) accommodating his preference as to relocation


3. "Goalies aren't worth that much, R's would not get the retyrn they think for an 8.5M goalie" -- is what peeps who are trying to underpay for elite Vez quality say.
Wrong x at least 2.
a). Shesty is currently and into next season a ridiculous 5.x BARGAIN, not 8.5 now
he will command 8.75 x 4 or so going forward, but for Vez quality ACTUALLY ELITE netminder, this is what you pay.
You don't want to go there, then you takes yer chances.
But then don't be-atch and moan b'c WOEful netminding.

b). "Goalies aren't worth that much" -- the market sez you are wrong. You are entitled to yr opinion, not your own expression of actual facts when same are contrary to reality.
Best netminders command a premium, and they for most part earn it.
Rs doing well so far, but going forward may have to deal Shesty and break in Garand to stay ahead of the curve and correct for failure to not listen to bern and instead did win now rental miscues.

-------
you on the other hand, are same ol, same ol, critic
open yr eyes and yr brain

1. Seider is playing 24 minutes a night with a dzone start rate of like 65% against the other teams best players night in and night out. He's a legit #1 defenseman at this point and the points will start coming when he doesn't start in his own zone 2/3rds of his shifts.

2. I don't think you understand the term cap dump. In a cap league, a player not playing to their contract is not an asset, especially when that contract has term. If the contract was expiring and he was a UFA at the end of the year, I'd be inclined to agree with you, but nobody wants to lock up 3 years at 6.5 for a player clearly on the decline. You're not getting assets for him.

3. List of trades involving goalies and 1st round picks since the 2013 lockout. Cory Schneider was a high end, young prospect when he was traded we have to keep in mind and the NJD were going to lose the pick if they didn't move it for the Kovalchuk cap circumvention.. You're not getting a top 15 pick + for a goalie that's going to demand a massive raise when his contract expires.
21-22Darcy KuemperConnor Timmins, 1st-2022, 3rd-2024
16-17Frederik Andersen1st-2016 (#30 OVR), 2nd-2017
15-16Martin Jones1st-2016 (#29 OVR), Sean Kuraly
15-16Robin Lehner *1st-205 (#21 OVR)
13-14Cory Schneider1st-2013 (#9 OVR)

15+ Berggren for Zegras?

15+Berggren+Ed or ASP is probably the baseline..
 
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FriendlyGhost92

Registered User
Jun 22, 2023
2,967
3,368
That's (Seider) an expensive #1 D-man who doesn't rack points on PP1. I guess a comp for that kind of usage and cap hit would be Nurse and Owen Power? Maybe Petro? I'm not sure anyone thinks those are good contracts right now. I personally was frustrated that Seider didn't get more PP time over ghost.

Sanheim played and is experienced on his right side FWIW. But I hear you.

I've had a sneaking suspicion all year that Ghost was brought on to nerf Seider's PP time/production for his contract. Nonetheless, if you can eat 23-25 minutes a night of top line matchups, I'd pay near $9M for what Seider brings to the table. (Especially now, right before the cap rockets upward) Problem is, they stretched that to the extreme and buried him because the other RHD suck and he doesn't really have a legitimate top pairing partner.

As far as Sanheim, I get that he's played on the right, I just don't see the need to trade 15+ for him to play his off hand. I think they'd be better off trading that same package for an actual RHD.

Also wouldn't be surprised if they just throw Chiarot over there. I'm not saying he's better than Sanheim, I just don't know that the difference is worth giving up that package for.
 
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bernmeister

Registered User
Jun 11, 2010
27,774
3,764
Da Big Apple
1. Seider is playing 24 minutes a night with a dzone start rate of like 65% against the other teams best players night in and night out. He's a legit #1 defenseman at this point and the points will start coming when he doesn't start in his own zone 2/3rds of his shifts.

2. I don't think you understand the term cap dump. In a cap league, a player not playing to their contract is not an asset, especially when that contract has term. If the contract was expiring and he was a UFA at the end of the year, I'd be inclined to agree with you, but nobody wants to lock up 3 years at 6.5 for a player clearly on the decline. You're not getting assets for him.

3. List of trades involving goalies and 1st round picks since the 2013 lockout. Cory Schneider was a high end, young prospect when he was traded we have to keep in mind and the NJD were going to lose the pick if they didn't move it for the Kovalchuk cap circumvention.. You're not getting a top 15 pick + for a goalie that's going to demand a massive raise when his contract expires.
21-22Darcy KuemperConnor Timmins, 1st-2022, 3rd-2024
16-17Frederik Andersen1st-2016 (#30 OVR), 2nd-2017
15-16Martin Jones1st-2016 (#29 OVR), Sean Kuraly
15-16Robin Lehner *1st-205 (#21 OVR)
13-14Cory Schneider1st-2013 (#9 OVR)

...

In order you presented...
1 Seider. No one said anything negative about him trying to lower the return, which the one I am offering is ample.

2. What is a cap dump, is Trouba a cap dump, esp if retained...
"... a player not playing to their contract is not an asset, especially when that contract has term."
Trouba is 8mil per
he is overpaid, but only by max 1.5 per, and I indicated Rs would retain that much.
So if the level of his production is commensurate w/6.5 per then he IS "playing to [...] {his} contract".

Also, "... nobody wants to lock up 3 years at 6.5 for a player clearly on the decline. You're not getting assets for him."
It is only 2 years after this season, not 3.
He is 30 per cf, so this does not mean a gamble on a guy who is gonna completely breakdown w/age a major factor. 32 end of his deal is not mid or late 30s. That is objective, factual math and it does not lie.

Now, if you want to make an argument that he is already in substantial decline, we can agree to disagree.
He still provides critical elements teams want/need. Specifically, he is very effective at clearing the crease.
He is not a unicorn like McAvoy, but those are few and far between.
He was brought in to provide a tough presence with an effective physical game and he still does that. So your argument does not really hold water, esp since this is a short term contract/commitment.

As to "You're not getting assets for him." you are completely ignoring supply and demand. RDs in short supply, more so w/height + beast factor.
W/retention, Rs will recover picks/futures.

It is not hypocritical for Rs to want to move Shesty/JT for salary mgt.
Have another yr before they can recover all or most of bread's 11.6m+.
Need $ for kakko, Schneider, possibly KAM etc. Not a crazy amount, and there are multiple scenarios. But there is no reason for Rs not to sell high here.

You don't want to pay my price, fine.
But don't misrepresent it as what it is not.

Like I said, you want a vez quality guy, he ain't gonna be cheap.
 

Pavel Buchnevich

Drury and Laviolette Must Go
Dec 8, 2013
57,766
23,704
New York
What is your interest in Trouba? Not going to ask for a lot. I’d expect Detroit to pick up most, if not all, of his contract as opposed to wanting a return back.

He’s now on the Rangers third pair. Schneider has overtaken him and Trouba costs too much for a third pair RHD on a right side with Fox.
 
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lwvs84

Registered User
Jan 25, 2003
4,114
2,808
Los Angeles, CA
15+ Berggren for Zegras?
Nope, don't need downgrades or depth anymore. If you want Zegras, we want a similar age RHD with the potential to be a #2/3 guy. Anaheim is basically set at every position going forward outside if top pair RHD to play with Mintyukov (assuming everyone hits realistic expectations).
Fowler would actually probably be a good fit for them, assuming Anaheim can take back one of their defensemen ofc. A top 4 of Seider, Fowler, Edvinsson, and Walman for next season would be pretty solid
Ducks have a lot of young, NHL ready LHD. Even moving Fowler for a similar RHD (#2/3 D in their 30's that can PK and doesn't have a lot of term left). Mintyukov/Zellweger/LaCombe/Vaakanainen all are LHD (Zell and LaCombe play on their off side a lot), Gudas and Lindstrom are our RHD. Verbeek has said he wants guys on their natural side.
 

Ledge And Dairy

Registered User
Nope, don't need downgrades or depth anymore. If you want Zegras, we want a similar age RHD with the potential to be a #2/3 guy. Anaheim is basically set at every position going forward outside if top pair RHD to play with Mintyukov (assuming everyone hits realistic expectations).

Ducks have a lot of young, NHL ready LHD. Even moving Fowler for a similar RHD (#2/3 D in their 30's that can PK and doesn't have a lot of term left). Mintyukov/Zellweger/LaCombe/Vaakanainen all are LHD (Zell and LaCombe play on their off side a lot), Gudas and Lindstrom are our RHD. Verbeek has said he wants guys on their natural side.
I think if you are trading Fowler and taking back 1 year of like Maatta you aren't going to be that picky about 1 player on their off hand.

I think if Anaheim's top 6 next year is something like:
Mintyukov - xxx
Zellweger - Gudas
Maatta - LaCombe
They will be fine. Maybe you play LaCombe with Mintyukov then keep one of Vaak or Lindstrom, or give Helleson a chance. Maybe you bring in a minute munching UFA looking for their last big deal like DeMelo or Myers
 

Mrfenn92

Proud to be American
Sponsor
Nov 27, 2018
30,750
30,135
Chicago,Illinois
Shesty
Othmann
Trouba
2025 1st
Jones

for

Seider
DET 2026 2nd
Rassmussen
Gettinger

one real high end piece each way
quality futures + useful adds to offset Seider younger w/mo team control

DET adds elite G, higher W prospect ready now in Oth
Trouba for Seider is downgrade but Trouba mitigates a bit
and Wings add useful extra D Jones
so depth
+ upgrade on better pick sooner

Red Wings keep 15OA

Rs add foundation RD
gamble Quick + Dominque hold fort while heir Garand advances

somethin like dat
Come on now bern
 
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StreetHawk

Registered User
Sep 30, 2017
26,242
9,785
I think if you are trading Fowler and taking back 1 year of like Maatta you aren't going to be that picky about 1 player on their off hand.

I think if Anaheim's top 6 next year is something like:
Mintyukov - xxx
Zellweger - Gudas
Maatta - LaCombe
They will be fine. Maybe you play LaCombe with Mintyukov then keep one of Vaak or Lindstrom, or give Helleson a chance. Maybe you bring in a minute munching UFA looking for their last big deal like DeMelo or Myers
Not wise to leave the kids with minimal vets on the backend like that. No issue moving Fowler but they need good vets for each kid.
 

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