Player point projections

[Flaming Satan]

What do you think the Flames stats will look like next season? ( Goals, Assists, Point totals )

Click to read more...

 

[CraigsList]

A week ago, I posted this:

Glencross: 28g - 24a - 52 points
Backlund: 23g - 25a - 48 points
Hudler: 17g- 30a - 47 points

Raymond: 20g - 18a - 38 points
Stajan: 12g - 28a - 40 points
Jones: 10g - 12a - 22 points

Baertschi: 15g - 25a - 40 points
Monahan: 25g - 17a - 42 points
Colborne: 17g - 22a - 39 points

Bollig: 7g - 8a - 15 points
Bouma: 5 g - 9a - 14 points
McGrattan: 6g - 4a - 10 points

Giordano: 15g- 40a - 55 points
Brodie: 8g - 32 a - 40 points

Smid: 2g - 6a - 8 points
Wideman: 10g - 25a - 35 points

Russell: 6g - 22a - 28 points
Engelland: 4g - 6a - 10 points

I think Glencross finally hit 50 points. Giordano can easily replicate his previous season with more points (if he plays all 82 games).

Also, these point totals are assuming they all play 82 games.

 

[Wayne Primeau]

Flames Point Totals

Glencross: 31 - 22 - 53 points
Backlund: 19 - 33 - 52 points
Hudler: 22 - 27 - 49 points
Raymond: 20 - 22 - 42 points
Stajan: 7 - 26 - 33 points
Jones: 23 - 14 - 37 points
Gaudreau: 3 - 15 - 18 points
Baertschi: 16 - 12 - 40 points
Monahan: 20 - 21 - 41 points
Colborne: 16 - 16 - 36 points
Bollig: 5 - 7 - 12 points
Bouma: 8 - 16 - 24 points
McGrattan: 4 - 5 - 9 points

Giordano: 17 - 53 - 70 points
Brodie: 14 - 18 - 32 points
Smid: 1 - 6 - 7 points
Wideman: 17 - 29 - 46 points
Russell: 11 - 22 - 33 points
Engelland: 0 - 4 - 4 points
Wotherspoon: 4 - 8 - 12 points

Engelland plays 27 games before being shipped to the press box/hospital with a broken/torn [body part]. Wotherspoon plays the remaining 55, and plays the full 82 in 15/16.

 

[Gritty]

Glencross: 31 - 22 - 53 points
Backlund: 19 - 33 - 52 points
Hudler: 22 - 27 - 49 points
Raymond: 20 - 22 - 42 points
Stajan: 7 - 26 - 33 points
Jones: 23 - 14 - 37 points
Baertschi: 16 - 12 - 40 points
Monahan: 20 - 21 - 41 points
Colborne: 16 - 16 - 36 points
Bollig: 5 - 7 - 12 points
Bouma: 8 - 16 - 24 points
McGrattan: 4 - 5 - 9 points

Giordano: 17 - 53 - 70 points
Brodie: 14 - 18 - 32 points
Smid: 1 - 6 - 7 points
Wideman: 17 - 29 - 46 points
Russell: 11 - 22 - 33 points
Engelland: 0 - 4 - 4 points
Wotherspoon: 4 - 8 - 12 points

Engelland plays 27 games before being shipped to the press box/hospital with a broken/torn [body part]. Wotherspoon plays the remaining 55, and plays the full 82 in 15/16.

You really expect to see some big offensive jumps from our D this year! I hope Brodie, Wideman, and Russell hit those numbers, but I doubt they will.

If Gio hits 70pts he will win the Norris. I know he had a crazy-good season and was on pace for similar numbers had he played all 82 games, but I just don't see it.

Besides the D, I really like your numbers for the forwards! They seem realistic and solid! (except for the Baertschi math )

 

[Wayne Primeau]

You really expect to see some big offensive jumps from our D this year! I hope Brodie, Wideman, and Russell hit those numbers, but I doubt they will.

If Gio hits 70pts he will win the Norris. I know he had a crazy-good season and was on pace for similar numbers had he played all 82 games, but I just don't see it.

Besides the D, I really like your numbers for the forwards! They seem realistic and solid! (except for the Baertschi math )

OOPS.

16 + 12 = 28. Wow.

(PS, Colborne is off, too: 16 + 16 does not equal 36.)

 

[Sparky93]

Glencross : 34
Backlund : 46
Raymond : 41
Hudler : 49
Monahan : 41
Colborne : 34
Bollig : 16
Stajan : 23
Jones : 25
Bouma : 14
Knight : 17
McGrattan : 8

Gio : 37
Brodie : 34
Russell : 26
Wideman : 32
Smid : 11
Engelland : 13

 

[Skobel24]

30 goals, 40 assists, 100 points

 

[Wayne Primeau]

@Skobel24

What?

 

[Johnny GODreau]

Glencross: 25g - 25a - 50 points
Backlund: 22g - 25a - 47 points
Hudler: 15g- 35a - 50 points
Raymond: 20g - 18a - 38 points
Stajan: 12g - 25a - 37 points
Jones: 10g - 12a - 22 points
Monahan: 25g - 17a - 42 points
Colborne: 17g - 22a - 39 points
Bollig: 6g - 6a - 12 points
Bouma: 5 g - 9a - 14 points
McGrattan: 5g - 2a - 7 points
Giordano: 15g- 40a - 55 points
Brodie: 8g - 32 a - 40 points
Smid: 2g - 6a - 8 points
Wideman: 12g - 26a - 38 points
Russell: 6g - 24a - 28 points
Engelland: 4g - 5a - 9 points

Mine mysteriously is exactly the same amount of goals from last season...
I don't know if Baertschi or Gaudreau or is both make it...

 

[slappipappi]

Glencross: 31 - 22 - 53 points
Backlund: 19 - 33 - 52 points
Hudler: 22 - 27 - 49 points
Raymond: 20 - 22 - 42 points
Stajan: 7 - 26 - 33 points
Jones: 23 - 14 - 37 points
Baertschi: 16 - 12 - 40 points
Monahan: 20 - 21 - 41 points
Colborne: 16 - 16 - 36 points
Bollig: 5 - 7 - 12 points
Bouma: 8 - 16 - 24 points
McGrattan: 4 - 5 - 9 points

Giordano: 17 - 53 - 70 points
Brodie: 14 - 18 - 32 points
Smid: 1 - 6 - 7 points
Wideman: 17 - 29 - 46 points
Russell: 11 - 22 - 33 points
Engelland: 0 - 4 - 4 points
Wotherspoon: 4 - 8 - 12 points

Engelland plays 27 games before being shipped to the press box/hospital with a broken/torn [body part]. Wotherspoon plays the remaining 55, and plays the full 82 in 15/16.

257 goals would put them about 4th in the NHL based on last year stats.

If they give up the same number of goals as last year (241), they would be +16 in goal differential, good enough for 11th in the NHL, and an easy playoff spot.

 

[dscott]

Monahan: 26 - 28 - 54 points
Hudler: 16 - 34 - 50 points
Backlund: 16 - 30 - 46 points
Glencross: 21 - 23 - 44 points
Raymond: 14 - 25 - 38 points
Stajan: 12 - 26 - 38 points
Baertschi: 20 - 18 - 38 points
Colborne: 14 - 22 - 36 points
Jones: 12 - 18 - 30 points
Reinhart/Granlund 11 - 14 - 25 points
Bouma: 5 - 12 - 17 points
McGrattan: 2 - 5 - 7 points


Giordano: 18 - 38 - 56 points
Brodie: 7 - 28 - 36 points
Wideman: 13 - 23 - 36 points
Russell: 6 - 22 - 28 points
Wotherspoon: 3 - 12 - 15 points
Smid: 1 - 9 - 11 points
Engelland: 0 - 1 - 1 points * Healthy scratch

Hiller: 0 - 2 - 2 points
Ramo: 0 - 1 - 1 point

 

[OlWpgJet]

Clicked on thread to see what people would think Gaudreau would get and not seeing any love for him. I was thinking he would be almost a lock to make the team and 40 - 50 points but maybe I am overestimating him. Thoughts ?

 

[MuffinMerc]

Clicked on thread to see what people would think Gaudreau would get and not seeing any love for him. I was thinking he would be almost a lock to make the team and 40 - 50 points but maybe I am overestimating him. Thoughts ?

For this season? That is waaaay too high.

 

[CraigsList]

Clicked on thread to see what people would think Gaudreau would get and not seeing any love for him. I was thinking he would be almost a lock to make the team and 40 - 50 points but maybe I am overestimating him. Thoughts ?

We just don't know if he will be playing NHL full time.

 

[JulianHopper*]

I'll wait till after training camp and even the exhibition games before making any predictions. So much can happen from now till the start of the regular season.

Flames have just signed Devin Setoguchi and I don't see Johnny Gaudreau on that roster.

There will be at least 1-2 other players from Adirondack that will make the team. Could be a trade as well before the season starts.

 

[chris11inter]

I'll wait till after training camp and even the exhibition games before making any predictions. So much can happen from now till the start of the regular season.

Flames have just signed Devin Setoguchi and I don't see Johnny Gaudreau on that roster.

There will be at least 1-2 other players from Adirondack that will make the team. Could be a trade as well before the season starts.

Do we think this is a gurantee?

 

[CraigsList]

Glencross: 28g - 24a - 52 points
Backlund: 23g - 25a - 48 points
Hudler: 17g- 30a - 47 points

Raymond: 20g - 18a - 38 points
Stajan: 12g - 28a - 40 points
Jones: 10g - 7a - 17points

Byron - 15g-20a - 35 points
Monahan: 25g - 17a - 42 points
Colborne: 17g - 22a - 39 points

Bollig: 7g - 8a - 15 points
Bouma: 5 g - 9a - 14 points
McGrattan: 6g - 4a - 10 points

Giordano: 15g- 40a - 55 points
Brodie: 8g - 32 a - 40 points

Smid: 2g - 6a - 8 points
Wideman: 10g - 25a - 35 points

Russell: 6g - 22a - 28 points
Engelland: 4g - 6a - 10 points

Setoguchi: 15g - 15a - 30 points

(If they play in the NHL)
Gaudreau: 25g - 40a - 65 points (yes, I think Johnny can do this).
Baertschi: 15g - 25a - 40 points

Bolded are ones I changed/added. Keep in mind that these are totals based on an 82 game play.

 

[42]

Hiller - 30 wins
Ramo - 12 wins

 

[Ace Rimmer]

Do we think this is a gurantee?

No, where he starts the year will depend if he earns a roster spot in training camp.

Personally I think it's 50/50 chance for starting in the NHL, and even then he'll possibly be given protected / limited minutes - at least to start.

 

[SmellOfVictory]

Why does everyone seem to have Hudler at 47-50 points? He hasn't dropped below 50 points in a season in like five years and he's basically guaranteed top line/top PP unit minutes.

 

[Hand of Gaudreau]

Why does everyone seem to have Hudler at 47-50 points? He hasn't dropped below 50 points in a season in like five years and he's basically guaranteed top line/top PP unit minutes.

Because he generally relies on people to finish, and until we know what we have in a lot of our young players, this team doesn't appear to have a lot of finish on the roster. Maybe Baertschi and Gaudreau are NHL players this year and if they are, that is a ton of finish thrown into the lineup immediately, but if they aren't ready, this team will struggle to find people for Hudler to get the puck to.

Also, he's only been OVER 50 points twice in his whole career.

 

[SmellOfVictory]

Because he generally relies on people to finish, and until we know what we have in a lot of our young players, this team doesn't appear to have a lot of finish on the roster. Maybe Baertschi and Gaudreau are NHL players this year and if they are, that is a ton of finish thrown into the lineup immediately, but if they aren't ready, this team will struggle to find people for Hudler to get the puck to.

Also, he's only been OVER 50 points twice in his whole career.

Well, in the last six years he's only scored below a 50 point pace once, so I'd bet the over rather than the under.

 

[Mr Lebowski]

Raymond (24g, 20a, 44p) - Backlund (21g, 27a, 48p) - Hudler (30g, 32a, 62p)
Gaudreau (21g, 25a, 46p) - Monahan (26g, 23a, 49p) - Colborne (18g, 21a, 39p)
Glencross (27g, 28a, 55p) - Stajan (17g, 21a, 38p) - Jones (12g, 12a, 24p)
Bollig (5g, 4a, 9p) - Bouma (11g, 13a, 24p) - Byron (11g, 15a, 26p)
McGrattan (3g, 3a, 6p), Setoguchi (15g, 17a, 32p)

 

[Pirate King Luffy]

Raymond (24g, 20a, 44p) - Backlund (21g, 27a, 48p) - Hudler (30g, 32a, 62p)
Gaudreau (21g, 25a, 46p) - Monahan (26g, 23a, 49p) - Colborne (18g, 21a, 39p)
Glencross (27g, 28a, 55p) - Stajan (17g, 21a, 38p) - Jones (12g, 12a, 24p)
Bollig (5g, 4a, 9p) - Bouma (11g, 13a, 24p) - Byron (11g, 15a, 26p)
McGrattan (3g, 3a, 6p), Setoguchi (15g, 17a, 32p)

I doubt this forward group scores a combined 252 goals.

 

[SmellOfVictory]

I doubt this forward group scores a combined 252 goals.

Yeah, goal totals are too high for the 4th line and extra forwards. It's highly unlikely that anyone outside of the regular top 9 gets close to 10 goals.