David Singleton
Registered User
Different take. Pekka is overplaying everything. He ventures too far out to cut down angles, lunges toward the shooter, and therefore leaves the net wide open if the puck redirects. Count how many times goals go in on him to a virtual open net. It's as if he doesn't have enough confidence to "stay home" and make the save. There's a happy medium between playing to deep in your net and doing what Pekka does. The reason he makes you so nervous is because he's "too active".
Saros on the other hand achieves that happy medium. A Saros game is less stressful because he's a better technical goalie. He cuts down angles without selling out the net to a redirect. He's faster to the butterfly and a better director of rebounds. He's at a disadvantage with shots from the point in traffic because he takes up less of the net. Pekka stops shots he never see's because he fills more real estate.
Saros rarely gives up a softie. Pekka is softie prone. His November run was Pekka-at-his-best. Very few softie's. Battled. Got many shots. Played calmer. However October & December Pekka lacks confidence and therefore overplays everything to compensate.
I know Saros's book-of-business is 5 games but he was 40-10 in MKE. I deserves a chance to be at least 1b (i.e. split time with Peks) or #1 for a stretch to see if he can give us a longer dose of what we've been seeing. There's 7 million reasons why this won't happen. We can't have $7mm sitting on the bench, and Pekka hasn't been terrible enough to focus on him as the main reason for our inconsistency.
That said, regular Pred watches know Saros appears better and gives us a better chance of winning. If Pekka can be November Pekka going forward, we'll make the playoffs. My fear is, he'll be .908ish, 2.75 GAish, and therefore we only win with consistency if the offense is humming.
Next week, Saros will likely play against Chicago Friday, then Tampa the following Thursday. The next week we play 4 games with a day off between each. They would normally be all Pekka games but would like to see Saros play in one of them. The next week we have another back-to-back, so another Saros game for sure.
So, using my formula, over the next 13 games taking us to January 20th, Pekka plays 9 and Saros plays 4. For Lavy to make a change, Pekka would have to continue his December slide and Saros would have to continue to play sub-2.0 GA hockey.
Hate to see us miss the playoffs out of deference to Pekka. He's probably the most loved Pred in our history but fans will lose their patience if we go down with the Pekka-Ship.
The goalie position on the Nashville Predators roster will be paid roughly 7.75 million regardless of who is playing both this year and next. Now that players are under contract, the team needs to win as many games as possible.
It's similar to the Penguins last year with Fleury and Murray as Murray earned the right to remain the starter in the playoffs. And Murray is pushing Fleury again this season.
If Rinne continues to decline, Saros will start pushing him. In the bold predictions thread, I thought that Nashville would make the playoffs, but Rinne would not be the starting goalie. Still believe that to be the case.
Goalie isn't the only issue for this team though.
The defensive pairings need adjustment. Josi and Ellis play well together offensively and can be good defensively, but tend to get pushed around against bigger teams.
The forwards are too often tripping over each other, passing into a worse shooting position or making too many weak passes that result in turnovers. Even when they have large amounts of zone time, they often don't get a lot of traffic.
They remind me at times of an old western where the good guys get surrounded by bad guys that are continually circling around and shooting. That's the Preds. They do not score too many dirty goals like that last goal the Kings scored last night. They are feast or famine on the great shot or a shot from a great cross ice pass that got the goalie to move.