b-mad said:Anybody know what the odds are for the draft lottery for each slot?
Flames Draft Watcher said:So according to your numbers Zed, the last place team has a 48.2% chance of retaining the #1 pick.
Zednik20 said:Yeah, so the odds (for Pittsburgh) are even better than I thought.
Pittsburgh GP 51 PTS 30
Chicago GP 51 PTS 36
Washington GP 51 PTS 37
Columbus GP 50 PTS 38
Anaheim GP 51 PTS 44
Zednik20 said:Yeah, so the odds (for Pittsburgh) are even better than I thought.
Pittsburgh GP 51 PTS 30
Chicago GP 51 PTS 36
Washington GP 51 PTS 37
Columbus GP 50 PTS 38
Anaheim GP 51 PTS 44
Zednik20 said:30th........... 25.0%
29th........... 18.8%
28th........... 14.2%
27th........... 10.7%
26th............. 8.1%
25th............. 6.2%
24th............. 4.7%
23rd............. 3.6%
22nd............ 2.7%
21st............. 2.1%
20th............. 1.5%
19th............. 1.1%
18th............. 0.8%
17th............. 0.5%
teams can move up a max of 4 spots. So teams 1-5 are the only ones who have a shot at Ovechkin.
MHJS said:and the #1 team can't fall past #2 I think. I may be wrong.
hawksfan50 said:This is INCORRECT---teams can move up a maximum of 4 positions--but this includes the position a team is at pre-lotto ......in effect they can only move up 3 positions above their current position.........the example in the Draft Rules spelled out on the www.centralscouting.com website makes this crystal clear stating only a lotto winner from one of the 4 worst finishers can select #1 overall.......the 5th place team pre--lotto thus only can move to #2 overall if it wins the lotto........
Flames Draft Watcher said:INCORRECT.
Or are you somehow going to try and explain away the year the Isles finished 5th, won the lottery and moved up to 1st and grabbed Dipietro? Didn't think so.
Still not sure how you can think moving up a maximum of 4 positions somehow means a maximum of 3 positions.
http://www.isles-list.com/index.cfm?action=news&articleid=2967