Suter and Brodin have played during our recent 3v3 successes; they aren't stapled to bench letting Reilly do his thing. Does he even see the ice in OT?
You're going to compare our record against other top NHL players to an inter-defensive squad scrimmage where no forwards are present? Go ahead, but it's nonsensical.
Suter's side wins 8 or 9 times out of 10 (or plays it to a draw, because Dumba's team gets zero good shots).
Man, I feel like I'm on the same page as you almost always, but this is one of those times I have to disagree. 8 or 9 out of 10? Man, they'd be lucky to win 7. I think it'd be closer than either side in this argument is conceding. Let's not forget that Dumba has proven to be quite the 3v3 player, and has generated shots and chances of his own. That's not a thought experiment, we've seen it in real life. One must ask themselves why Dumba is a good OD but a mediocre two-way guy in 5v5, then turns into an absolute stud in 3v3. I think Bazeek has the right of it, in that 3v3 favors speed and instinct rather than positional play, which has never been Dumba's strong suit. Put differently, I think 3v3 allows Dumba to play the type of game he did in juniors. It's tailor fit to his style. I don't know how well Reilly would perform in it, but given his creative style of play, slick hands and swift skating, I think he'd do alright, at least offensively. I think that team would do a lot better than you're letting on.
The other team, Suter-Brodin-Spurgeon would be better than 2Pair is letting on, as well. Suter isn't fast, but he has shown that when he needs to skate quickly, he isn't "slow" either. He merely looks slow. The problem with the Wild's 3v3 the past several seasons was that BB was putting him out there with
actually slow skaters. Brodin and Spurgeon are not slow, though I think it's difficult to gauge the speed of this team because we don't often see any of these three have to skate in an all-out sprint. Usually they're just gliding around, in position already. Positioning is a lot more difficult to maintain in 3v3, so we'd definitely get to see what their wheels looked like as early as the first game. Beyond that, they've got an underrated physical element in front of their net that the other team doesn't have, and they've the better stretch-passing ability, but I'm not sure which one of them would be "streaking" down the boards for a breakout, since none of them have ever really been that style of player. Maybe Spurgeon? I don't know, I feel that that stretch pass is a big part of what makes Suter and Spurgeon great defenders, and that weapon is mostly taken away in this format, unless one of them plays a little bit outside of his style (Spurgeon) or a lot outside of his style (Suter and Brodin). Also, if a team focuses solely on defending, it will lose. They may tie a bunch of the games, but in 50 minutes of play (ten 5-minute OTs) they will get scored upon at least a few times. There's a lot of space in a defensive zone when there are only 6 players skating in it.
Personally, I wouldn't be surprised to see a ten game series end 5-5. If I were forced to pick a winner (and not one I'd put money down on) I'd go with Team Dumba.