Jets At The World Hockey Championship (Part II)

[surixon]

I'm getting increasingly excited about that Statistics class I'm taking this summer.

Who needs a stats class when you have this thread :p

 

[garret9]

Logarithmically

logarithmically

 

[FlyingW]

Like gas.....

Like a kidney stone

 

[truck]

That'll pass quickly.

Your mode is mean.

 

[Whileee]

Conceptually they are, but the point still holds out the same that simple does not mean bad, and it still lets me use the concept that the simple model can still be better than no model (like the assumptions that were made that started this conversation) or a poor model (like plus/minus).

Now you are falling to semantics to try and defend your debate.

1) The alternative argument being made by others in your example still have lower probability of being right than the ones being made by Truck, myself, et al.

2) Last time I checked, the kurtosis is actually quite positive, not negative, especially if you use marcel based regressions to reduce the volatility of player performance metrics (like for example Scheifele's p/60 will likely fall next season).

It's not semantic.

I actually agree with your assessment / prediction vis-à-vis Scheif and Barkov.

I still think that referencing an "average" curve for individual projections and comparisons is fraught with logical and statistical problems.

Checking out of this conversation now, to the relief of everyone, I'm sure...

 

[Whileee]

How is your level of excitement growing? Linear or exponentially?

Spline function, like some other types of "excitement"....

 

[Puckatron 3000]

For what it's worth, I'm quite enjoying the stats conversation.

It's the off season. Derail away! We'll take whatever we can get for an interesting debate around here.

 

[buggs]

Your mode is mean.

True dat.

(stats minor + bitter = not good)