i dont see how you dont see the correlation. Boston doesnt have a .500 backup and hank's sv% isnt where it should be.
regardless of their back up goaltender if you truly think boston would be able to handle us in a 7 games series then the facts would prove you wrong. boston averages 2.56 goals be game and gives up 2.64 i believe. they are a minus 4 goal differential and have scored 36 less goals then us this year. Unless rask shuts us out 4 games they dont come close to us
Okay. Let me break this down slightly better for you.
They have a -4 differential because in 11 of their games, they've gotten AHL quality goaltending. They'll also have home ice advantage if we move to the Atlantic.
Khudobin/Subban/MacIntyre will NOT be playing in that series. Hank will. They will have Rask for however long it goes, without an injury. They dominate you with the puck. They have possession more than the other team. Our defense will be in our zone the majority of the game.
We'd need Hank to play like Mason did last game or like Hank did against the Kings for at least 4 games to win the series.
Plain and simple. Shot metrics have indicated playoff success at such a high rate, they make better indicators than goal differential. Those same metrics predicted the Rangers would get killed by the Penguins. The most lopsided series prediction last year. It was the most lopsided series in the entire playoffs. Next closest was Washington and Philly and it turned out that way too.
I don't understand how you cannot see if the Bruins had an NHL goalie in net for those 11 games, they'd likely be closer to Montreal than out of the playoffs.