I would be in a state somewhere between very pleasantly surprised and completely stunned if Seattle took Johnsson. I’m guessing Johnsson and Butcher are exposed since they are already signed and then Fitz will then presumably sign a RFA forward to expose them. (Unless trading for and then exposing Siegenthaler was Fitz’s 4D chess move to keep all his forwards lol.)
There’s a reason Fitz specifically named dropped Bastian pre-season. If you’ve read the updates the quarterly updates and comments about Bing players on AllAboutTheJersey.com Bastian had quietly developed into an impressive AHL middle winger/power forward who suddenly looked pretty promising as future NHL bottom six winger. I thought it was immediately clear, out of all of these guys, that he was a NHL player this season. A bottom six winger isn’t the most competitive spot in the line-up but Bastian brings a lot to it. He’s a real physical force, he’s very good defensively already and enough offense is there. He’s gotten, along with McLeod and Boqvist, the toughest defensive assignments with the weakest teammates so comparing stats straight up isn’t fair. (Zajac didn’t do the heavy lifting defensively this season, Ruff often had him function more as two-way forward leaning towards the scoring side with Nico out.)
I actually think Bastian is a bit better than McLeod right now* but center is obviously a more important job so I can’t see McLeod losing out in terms of getting protected.
I will discuss Merkley being the easiest to lose because he is. He still feels a bit like a tweener. A classic tweener is a player not quite good enough for the NHL top six who doesn’t quite work on the NHL bottom six so they go off to play in a top six in a different league. His defense isn’t terrible but it isn’t good either so it’s hard to give him a role on a checking line until he stops doing dumb shit with the puck. Sharagovich’s defense isn’t good either but his offensive upside and his terror of shot obviously easily make up for it.
Part of it isn’t his fault as injuries stalled his development but he is the oldest in the borderline group (AJ isn’t borderline lol) having been drafted in 2015. The comparison to Seney is off-base not only Seney because was drafted in the 6th round but also Seney was an overager, he qualified for the 2014 draft class and is 25. Merkley will be 24 in May though, he’s about run out of runway so this late season tryout is big for him. (And people need to stop using Coleman to create fairy tale endings for every stalled forward prospect, 24 is about the end of the line for forwards.)
Merkley’s kamikaze style and hustling really endeared him to me in his call-up last year, he’s one of those Johnny Hustle little guys that’s particularly fun in person. When Elite Prospects ranked our pool in the preseason they had Kuokkanen 6th and they said this about Merkley:
Merkley is a high-pace playmaker, with an arsenal of one-touch and two-touch passes to pick apart a defence with relative ease. He can problem-solve his way through secondary and tertiary defensive variables. He's proficient on the forehand and backhand alike, and even avails himself of the odd reach-adjusting pass, too. The checklist for an NHL level playmaker doesn't leave many empty spaces.
The question, for us, is whether there's enough substance in the rest of Merkley's game to project to an NHL level. He's about an NHL average skater, suffering a poor posture, and a wide stride recovery. He's feisty as all hell, but not exactly an overwhelming physical presence. His shot doesn't project as a reliable weapon at the next level, and that's going to limit his efficacy as a distributor in a league where everyone is pre-scouted to a bordering on excessive degree.
That seems pretty accurate actually. (Their enthusiasm for Kuokkanen was pretty spot on too and they had Studenic at 9th, one spot ahead of Merkley lol)
*This is a subjective opinion that I will preemptively refuse to debate or defend lol. Seriously they are bottom six wingers and we might lose one in the Expansion Draft (Nate *sob*), I’m good with people not agreeing with me about my boy Bastian.