Injuries absolutely play a part. And, to a lesser extent, fewer games played on this date. Games last year at this point vs this year.
Zegras - 40/18
Terry - 40/35
Strome - 40/35
Henrique - 39/37
McTavish - 40/31
Vatrano - 40/38
Carlsson - 0/23
Killorn - 0/28
The top 6 had missed 1 game last year as a group, and weren't all new to the system.. That top 6 has missed 34 games as a group this season, frequently with multiples out at the same time. The addition of Carson and Killorn don’t offset that, because they’ve been out at the same time as other top 6 players, so it’s not a zero sum situation.
Keep in mind that players are usually neither game fit nor “healthy” when they return from injury, and it’s absolutely a valid excuse. As is the lack of ability to develop chemistry. We have had a number of 3rd/4th line guys playing on our 1st and 2nd line this year, vs a stable top 6 last year.
From your list, it shows we have more depth this year than last year for our top-6. What was one of my huge points.
- Extra points about top-6 roster games:
- Mac wasn't part of the top-6 when the team transitioned him to center, starting as a 4C in game 10 of the season. Mac eventually made the jump to 1C on game 39, leaping both Strome and Zegras. (We experimented on game 18 as 2C with Strome on his wing. It was disastrous and went back to Mac at 3C.)
- Carlsson playing 23 games is disingenuous b/c he's been on a proposed load mgmt program. Sure, he has been injured a couple of times, but Carlsson could have also logged far more games than 23 game before his latest injury.
- Sure, we've put some 3rd and 4th liners up in the top-6, but simultaneously put someone in our top-6 into the bottom-6 such as Rico, Strome, and Killorn.
I'm not saying injuries didn't hurt us this season. I'm saying our issues are far bigger than injuries since we have better talent depth this year.
We lost Drysdale last year for the season after 8 games. That was devastating for our defense as well as generating offensive production from the backend. We lost Vaak before the season started last year too. This season, we had a similar situation, but had more talent available to absorb those losses. We've lost Gudas off and on a few times as well. The defense is doing it's job well enough compared to last season.
Taken as a whole with injuries and talent depth, we're performing on defense, but not at offense. And the only grouping that can produce well on offense consistently are the ones that can dump-n-chase well with centers Mac and Carrick. Carrick not being a top-6 forward.
Before Terry's injury, Terry has incapable of scoring well. You use the excuse of a baby. That could be true, but his play this year was similar to last year with his puck hero mentality. Yet, he scored last year. Similarly with Zegras. Why can't either of those players score under Cronin? Why can't Strome and Vatrano score when Mac isn't available?
Injuries cannot be the default reason when injuries have hit our blueline and we're not struggling at ES. We're middle of the pack at GA at 5v5, but 2nd worst GF at 5v5, according to
Natural Stat Trick.
Our ES offense is akin to our PP. We can only score when more talented players are available. When we don't have those talented players, then we can't score because we have a terrible design. That's why we're streaky at both the PP and ES offense.